Jose Guerra

C DSL Colorado

Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Colorado	84	.176/.238/.216	0	4	-24	—	.120/.175/.147
2025	19	ROKDSL Colorado	115	.242/.339/.347	1	2	24	—	.153/.239/.194
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCOL	225	.214/.272/.291	2	3	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCOL	40	.229/.287/.327	0	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCOL	122	.233/.291/.340	2	2	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%80

Whiff%72

K%67

ISO55

wOBA36

Speed31

CompsLuis Valenzuela (age 21) · Jean Walters (age 21) · Drew Stankiewicz (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .270 / .288

PA63

HR0

K%25

BB%6

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	72	61	16	3	0	1	11	10	0	0	1	262	375	361	736	98	300	14	15	340	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	84	74	13	3	0	0	5	15	1	4	0	176	237	216	454	41	210	18	6	204	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	115	95	23	7	0	1	8	21	6	2	1	242	339	347	687	105	289	18	7	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	65	12	2	0	1	7	12	0	0	1	185	264	262	525	77	209	17	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	84	75	9	2	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	120	175	147	322	27	126	20	5	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	115	98	15	4	0	0	5	25	6	2	1	153	239	194	432	41	186	22	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	65	12	2	0	1	7	12	0	0	1	185	264	262	525	77	212	17	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	72	61	16	3	0	1	11	10	0	0	1	262	375	361	736	98	300	14	15	340	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	84	75	9	2	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	120	175	147	322	27	148	20	5	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	84	74	13	3	0	0	5	15	1	4	0	176	237	216	454	41	210	18	6	204	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	115	98	15	4	0	0	5	25	6	2	1	153	239	194	432	41	197	22	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	115	95	23	7	0	1	8	21	6	2	1	242	339	347	687	105	289	18	7	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	72	65	12	2	0	1	7	12	0	0	1	185	264	262	525	77	209	17	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	84	79	9	2	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	114	175	139	314	25	126	20	5	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	115	103	15	4	0	0	5	25	6	2	1	146	239	184	423	39	186	22	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	84	79	9	2	0	0	4	17	1	4	0	114	175	139	314	25	126	20	5	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	115	103	15	4	0	0	5	25	6	2	1	146	239	184	423	39	186	22	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	225	207	45	9	1	2	13	57	3	3	1	214	272	291	563	76	285	25	6	256	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	116	106	23	4	1	1	7	29	2	2	1	218	277	305	581	86	287	25	6	264	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	251	230	51	10	1	3	15	62	4	4	1	222	281	316	597	95	288	25	6	270	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	350	320	72	14	2	5	22	86	5	6	2	225	285	326	611	102	289	25	6	276	73	-11	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	410	375	85	16	2	7	26	101	6	7	2	227	287	335	622	108	289	25	6	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	448	410	94	18	3	8	29	109	6	7	2	228	289	341	630	113	289	24	6	283	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	466	427	97	18	3	8	30	115	6	7	2	227	288	338	627	111	289	25	6	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	474	434	98	18	3	8	31	118	6	7	2	225	286	334	620	108	288	25	7	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	472	432	95	18	2	7	31	118	6	7	3	223	283	327	611	105	286	25	7	275	73	-15	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	466	427	93	17	2	7	30	118	6	7	3	220	280	320	599	100	284	25	6	271	69	-17	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	40	37	8	2	0	0	2	10	1	1	0	229	287	327	614	97	300	25	5	277	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	122	112	26	5	1	2	7	30	2	2	1	233	291	340	631	107	302	25	6	284	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	185	168	40	7	2	3	12	46	3	3	1	236	295	351	646	115	303	25	6	290	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	224	205	49	9	2	4	14	55	3	4	1	238	298	360	658	122	304	25	6	295	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	249	228	55	10	2	5	16	61	3	4	1	240	300	367	668	127	304	24	6	298	78	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	256	234	55	10	2	5	17	63	3	4	1	239	299	364	663	125	303	25	7	297	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	259	237	56	10	2	5	17	64	3	4	1	237	297	359	656	122	302	25	7	293	75	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	252	231	54	10	2	4	16	63	3	4	1	234	294	352	645	118	300	25	6	289	73	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	245	224	51	9	2	4	16	62	3	4	2	231	290	343	633	112	298	25	7	284	69	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1832	1676	394	72	15	32	117	454	24	30	9	235	294	353	648	118	302	25	6	291	69	-57	+2	-2	+33	+40	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	140	26	5	11	42	161	9	11	3	235	296	351	647	116	303	25	6	291	69	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3787	3457	755	143	19	55	241	926	55	61	20	218	280	318	599	100	280	24	6	270	69	-111	+4	-4	+63	+76	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	129	25	3	9	41	159	9	10	3	218	278	315	593	98	280	24	6	270	69	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.9	1,895	29	30	225	282	330	+34	+24	2.9	2.8
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+8.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Guerra (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	213/270/288	76	285	0	1	25%	6%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Jean Walters 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	48→45	38	192/235/244	52	279	2	8	31%	5%	35	-3.4	210/250/284	74	285	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	214/261/301	87	283	6	5	26%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	191/238/261	70	281	5	9	33%	6%	40	-3.0	224/280/307	83	290	4	7	22%	7%	67	-1.1	229/290/317	88	294	5	5	22%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Guadalupe Chavez 2006 · A	21	39→49	37→45	49→55	38	189/237/259	70	282	4	6	33%	6%	40	-3.1	211/269/277	66	271	4	10	22%	7%	56	-1.9	258/322/359	101	312	8	19	19%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Chris Garia 2014 · A	21	40→50	35→40	51→60	41	189/242/247	59	252	2	17	25%	5%	39	-3.1	229/269/329	100	306	7	28	26%	4%	68	-1.0	233/273/343	109	307	8	32	26%	4%	68	-0.6
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	45→40	44	189/239/257	67	237	4	5	22%	6%	40	-3.1	217/264/293	76	271	5	3	21%	6%	57	-1.8	215/290/341	125	253	14	3	20%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Michael Beltre 2016 · A	21	40→50	35→45	50→60	39	185/254/245	60	288	3	12	34%	7%	44	-2.8	212/276/297	85	297	4	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Nomar Fana 2024 · A	21	39	38→50	47→50	44	187/258/266	79	280	6	11	33%	8%	51	-2.3	182/260/291	109	294	12	12	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/241/265	110	245	14	14	40%	10%	43	-1.3
✕Bryan Mejia 2015 · A	21	41→42	36→45	55→50	38	192/229/267	75	251	2	11	24%	3%	38	-3.2	219/246/319	100	308	6	13	30%	3%	56	-1.9	205/228/293	88	297	5	13	32%	2%	41	-1.9
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	176/239/245	69	249	3	10	29%	7%	38	-3.2	210/270/299	89	304	8	12	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/284/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Jalen Miller 2017 · A	20	38→44	38→45	50	37	188/229/268	79	258	5	9	29%	4%	38	-3.2	202/244/306	104	272	9	9	28%	5%	53	-2.1	184/243/300	116	238	12	18	28%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Nate Nankil 2024 · A	21	42→51	37→40	50→45	43	198/250/270	72	264	4	7	26%	6%	47	-2.5	225/294/314	89	290	7	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/293/305	83	282	7	5	22%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Jose Marquez 2017 · A	19	39	35→50	43→50	39	188/235/250	62	260	2	6	28%	5%	36	-3.3	206/251/301	95	277	7	6	27%	5%	55	-2.0	193/242/300	108	259	10	7	29%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	40→44	35→45	55→65	41	190/234/243	53	254	2	18	26%	5%	34	-3.5	203/260/293	90	270	8	18	26%	6%	57	-1.8	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Rey Navarro 2009 · A	19	40→50	36→45	48→50	36	193/233/260	67	282	3	11	32%	4%	38	-3.2	218/251/297	79	279	4	8	23%	4%	53	-2.1	242/276/357	115	268	11	5	14%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	37→47	35→45	52→55	45	176/234/234	58	224	2	14	22%	6%	33	-3.6	205/271/276	71	256	3	20	20%	8%	57	-1.8	258/296/362	104	307	8	28	18%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	191/224/270	79	281	4	10	33%	4%	36	-3.3	181/266/248	67	242	2	17	24%	9%	50	-2.3	158/266/216	57	204	1	25	20%	11%	42	-1.2
✕Victor Cruzado 2013 · A	21	39→48	36→40	47→45	52	184/266/256	71	244	3	10	24%	10%	51	-2.3	218/286/313	95	287	6	6	24%	8%	71	-0.8	223/291/325	102	293	6	4	24%	8%	74	-0.3

Jose Guerra

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps