Mario Baez

SS FCL Braves

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKATL	134	.208/.366/.236	0	13	36	—	.165/.284/.183
2026	19	ROKATL	79	.232/.329/.304	0	2	26	—	.164/.228/.205
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBATL	189	.224/.291/.307	2	4	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBATL	55	.229/.297/.323	1	1	76	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBATL	143	.232/.301/.335	2	3	81	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%89

Whiff%67

BB%31

ISO26

Z-Con%25

wRC+20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDerrik Gibson (age 20) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 20) · Nick Morabito (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .289 / .304

PA73

HR1

K%24

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	16	ROK	DSL Braves	—	206	180	56	7	2	3	20	25	5	24	5	311	395	422	817	111	346	12	10	368	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	FCL Braves	—	193	173	35	5	1	0	15	36	2	16	2	202	272	243	515	40	254	19	8	239	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	134	106	22	3	0	0	20	15	7	13	4	208	366	236	602	28	242	11	15	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	79	69	16	5	0	0	10	10	0	2	2	232	329	304	633	72	271	13	13	296	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	206	186	40	5	1	2	14	32	5	24	5	215	288	285	573	70	241	16	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	193	179	28	4	1	0	10	50	2	16	2	156	209	190	399	34	207	26	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	134	115	19	2	0	0	12	22	7	13	4	165	284	183	466	17	199	16	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	79	73	12	3	0	0	6	14	0	2	2	164	228	205	433	41	210	18	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	206	186	40	5	1	2	14	32	5	24	5	215	288	285	573	70	248	16	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	206	180	56	7	2	3	20	25	5	24	5	311	395	422	817	111	346	12	10	368	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	193	179	28	4	1	0	10	50	2	16	2	156	209	190	399	34	215	26	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	193	173	35	5	1	0	15	36	2	16	2	202	272	243	515	40	254	19	8	239	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	134	115	19	2	0	0	12	22	7	13	4	165	284	183	466	17	204	16	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	134	106	22	3	0	0	20	15	7	13	4	208	366	236	602	28	242	11	15	300	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	79	73	12	3	0	0	6	14	0	2	2	164	228	205	433	41	203	18	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	79	69	16	5	0	0	10	10	0	2	2	232	329	304	633	72	271	13	13	296	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	206	185	40	5	1	2	14	32	5	24	5	216	288	286	574	70	241	16	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	193	179	28	4	1	0	10	50	2	16	2	156	209	190	399	34	207	26	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	134	114	19	2	0	0	12	22	7	13	4	167	284	184	468	18	199	16	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	79	73	12	3	0	0	6	14	0	2	2	164	228	205	433	41	210	18	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	193	179	28	4	1	0	10	50	2	16	2	156	209	190	399	34	207	26	5	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	134	114	19	2	0	0	12	22	7	13	4	167	284	184	468	18	199	16	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	79	73	12	3	0	0	6	14	0	2	2	164	228	205	433	41	210	18	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	189	171	39	7	1	2	14	46	2	4	1	224	291	307	598	83	293	24	7	272	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	161	146	33	6	1	2	12	38	2	4	1	229	297	323	619	94	294	24	7	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	295	267	62	11	2	4	22	69	4	7	2	232	301	335	636	103	295	23	7	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	389	351	82	15	2	6	30	90	5	10	2	235	304	345	648	110	295	23	8	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	453	409	97	17	3	8	35	104	6	11	3	237	306	352	658	115	296	23	8	296	87	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	490	443	105	19	3	9	38	112	6	12	3	238	307	356	663	118	296	23	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	511	460	110	20	3	10	40	117	6	12	3	238	307	357	664	119	296	23	8	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	520	468	111	20	3	10	41	120	6	12	3	237	306	354	660	117	295	23	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	521	469	110	20	3	9	41	121	6	11	3	235	305	350	654	114	295	23	8	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	515	464	108	19	3	9	40	121	6	10	3	233	302	344	646	111	294	23	8	291	83	-10	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	506	457	106	19	3	8	39	121	5	9	3	230	299	337	635	106	293	24	8	287	80	-12	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	494	448	101	18	2	7	38	120	5	8	4	227	294	327	622	101	290	24	8	281	77	-14	+0	-3	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	55	50	11	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	229	297	323	619	94	294	24	7	281	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	143	129	30	5	1	2	11	33	2	3	1	232	301	335	636	103	295	23	8	288	81	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	211	190	44	8	1	3	16	49	3	5	1	235	304	345	648	110	295	23	8	293	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	251	227	54	10	2	4	19	58	3	6	2	237	306	352	658	115	296	23	8	296	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	274	248	59	11	2	5	21	63	3	7	2	238	307	356	663	118	296	23	8	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	287	259	61	11	2	5	23	66	3	7	2	238	307	357	664	119	296	23	8	299	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	288	260	61	11	2	5	23	66	3	7	2	237	306	354	660	117	295	23	8	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	286	259	61	11	2	5	22	67	3	6	2	235	305	350	654	114	295	23	8	295	86	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	275	249	58	10	2	5	21	65	3	6	2	233	302	344	646	111	294	24	8	291	83	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	266	240	55	10	1	4	21	64	3	5	2	230	299	337	635	106	293	24	8	287	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	258	233	52	9	1	4	20	63	3	4	2	227	294	327	622	101	290	24	8	281	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2594	2344	546	98	16	43	201	607	30	57	18	233	302	343	645	110	295	23	8	293	78	-49	+4	-4	+28	+56	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	137	25	4	11	50	152	8	14	5	233	302	346	648	112	295	23	8	293	78	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5540	5002	1139	201	30	85	423	1269	72	163	43	228	297	331	628	103	287	23	8	284	78	-95	+10	-7	+53	+107	6.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	135	24	4	10	50	149	8	19	5	230	299	336	635	106	290	23	8	284	78	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,667	45	59	235	300	346	+29	+21	5.6	5.2
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+5.2	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Zeb Terry'16-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,666 PA	4.0	2,666	2	32	240*	309*	357*	+19	+13	4.0	4.0
/162	664	0	8	+4.8	+3.3	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mario Baez (OGILVIE)	20	60→65	28→33	55→60	57	222/289/304	82	293	1	2	24%	7%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→58	34→40	50→55	44	226/277/276	51	291	2	11	23%	6%	58	-1.7	252/304/303	51	305	2	9	17%	5%	74	-0.5	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	251/295/355	104	308	7	26	20%	5%	83	+0.1	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
●Michael Reed 2014 · A	21	51→61	36→45	56→55	45	229/294/309	80	338	2	15	31%	8%	72	-0.7	225/309/325	100	322	5	21	28%	10%	82	+0.0	220/309/321	102	329	11	16	33%	10%	80	-0.1
✕James Triantos 2024 · A	21	51→59	40→45	53→60	46	244/297/337	93	292	7	14	19%	6%	80	-0.2	260/304/360	100	303	7	30	16%	5%	88	+0.4	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2015 · A	20	48→54	37→45	54→55	45	226/278/307	81	281	4	18	20%	6%	66	-1.1	236/280/321	85	295	5	22	21%	5%	70	-0.9	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	48→58	39→45	50	42	231/277/305	74	295	7	15	24%	5%	65	-1.2	250/299/357	107	306	10	17	21%	6%	85	+0.2	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	51→61	38→40	54→65	48	241/306/317	75	289	5	19	18%	7%	79	-0.2	271/304/332	61	335	3	34	19%	4%	80	-0.1	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	53→62	37→40	51→50	47	248/300/324	76	291	4	12	16%	6%	78	-0.3	257/311/327	70	304	3	8	15%	6%	83	+0.1	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2018 · A	20	50→60	37→45	51→50	40	235/276/311	76	279	4	15	17%	3%	66	-1.1	239/278/313	74	292	3	16	18%	3%	67	-1.1	257/302/356	100	301	7	16	17%	3%	83	+0.0
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Christopher Bostick 2013 · A	20	50→58	40→45	53→55	39	235/285/335	100	337	7	10	31%	6%	76	-0.4	219/271/339	120	302	10	15	30%	6%	72	-0.7	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	56→62	39→40	51→50	44	263/313/353	91	333	5	13	22%	6%	90	+0.6	245/277/329	84	298	6	13	19%	4%	70	-0.8	243/278/327	84	280	6	17	15%	4%	67	-0.9

Mario Baez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps