Osvaldo Heredia
OF DSL Miami| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROKDSL Miami | 162 | .189/.284/.301 | 3 | 13 | 5 | — | .123/.210/.171 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKDSL Miami | 113 | .137/.427/.192 | 0 | 10 | 45 | — | .098/.327/.134 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIA | 223 | .189/.300/.260 | 1 | 7 | 65 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIA | 25 | .188/.298/.262 | 0 | 1 | 69 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | — | 162 | 143 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 189 | 284 | 301 | 585 | 112 | 253 | 28 | 6 | 273 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 137 | 427 | 192 | 619 | 55 | 227 | 28 | 27 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 162 | 146 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 123 | 210 | 171 | 381 | 48 | 181 | 34 | 4 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 82 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 98 | 327 | 134 | 461 | 37 | 143 | 34 | 19 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 162 | 146 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 123 | 210 | 171 | 381 | 48 | 189 | 34 | 4 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Miami | — | 162 | 143 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 189 | 284 | 301 | 585 | 112 | 253 | 28 | 6 | 273 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 82 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 98 | 327 | 134 | 461 | 37 | 170 | 34 | 19 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 137 | 427 | 192 | 619 | 55 | 227 | 28 | 27 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 162 | 145 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 124 | 210 | 172 | 382 | 48 | 181 | 34 | 4 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 84 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 95 | 327 | 131 | 458 | 36 | 143 | 34 | 19 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 113 | 84 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 95 | 327 | 131 | 458 | 36 | 143 | 34 | 19 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 223 | 191 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 70 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 189 | 300 | 260 | 560 | 71 | 287 | 31 | 12 | 265 | 65 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 72 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 194 | 303 | 274 | 577 | 80 | 288 | 31 | 11 | 271 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 298 | 262 | 560 | 75 | 279 | 32 | 12 | 264 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 227 | 507 | 45 | 286 | 32 | 12 | 264 | 34 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 104 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 208 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 227 | 507 | 45 | 286 | 32 | 12 | 264 | 34 | -24 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 385 | 324 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 127 | 18 | 26 | 10 | 139 | 270 | 194 | 464 | 56 | 217 | 33 | 10 | 219 | 34 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 547 | 75 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 68 | 214 | 30 | 44 | 17 | 137 | 268 | 190 | 458 | 53 | 215 | 33 | 10 | 219 | 34 | -25 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 DSLDSL Miami · 113 PAwOBA .327 → .234 (−93)K% 28.3% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.32% | ÷1.040 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.43% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 19.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.31% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.07% | ÷0.978 | ×0.680 | ×0.951 | ×0.995 | 11.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.026 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×0.995 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.088 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×0.995 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.423 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 118, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .327 → .234; ISO .055 → .035; BABIP .227 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Miami · 162 PAwOBA .266 → .175 (−90)K% 27.8% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.17% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 4.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×1.049 | ×1.022 | 14.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.039 | ×0.600 | ×1.049 | ×1.022 | 1.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.049 | ×1.022 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.948 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .266 → .175; ISO .112 → .058; BABIP .253 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).