Osvaldo Heredia — OGILVIE

Osvaldo HerediaOF DSL Miami

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .276 / .285

PA8

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	162	143	27	3	2	3	9	45	10	13	5	189	284	301	585	112	253	28	6	273	71	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Miami	—	113	73	10	2	1	0	31	32	6	10	5	137	427	192	619	55	227	28	27	324	105	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	162	147	20	2	1	2	5	65	10	13	5	136	216	204	420	68	215	40	3	186	12	-17	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	113	84	8	1	1	0	20	44	6	10	5	95	309	131	440	36	173	39	18	227	40	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	162	147	20	2	1	2	5	65	10	13	5	136	216	204	420	68	225	40	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	162	143	27	3	2	3	9	45	10	13	5	189	284	301	585	112	253	28	6	273	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	113	84	8	1	1	0	20	44	6	10	5	95	309	131	440	36	186	39	18	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	113	73	10	2	1	0	31	32	6	10	5	137	427	192	619	55	227	28	27	324	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	162	146	20	2	1	2	5	65	10	13	5	137	216	205	422	68	215	40	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	113	86	8	1	1	0	20	44	6	10	5	93	309	128	437	35	173	39	18	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	162	146	20	2	1	2	5	65	10	13	5	137	216	205	422	68	215	40	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	113	86	8	1	1	0	20	44	6	10	5	93	309	128	437	35	173	39	18	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		286	25	12	260	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	183	163	34	6	1	3	15	55	3	6	1	209	287	313	600	104	288	30	8	272	70	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	312	277	59	10	2	6	26	91	6	11	2	213	294	329	623	116	289	29	8	280	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	402	359	77	13	3	8	33	115	7	14	3	214	293	334	627	120	290	29	8	286	80	-10	+2	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	461	412	89	15	3	10	38	131	8	16	3	216	295	340	635	124	291	28	8	290	82	-10	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	496	443	97	16	4	11	41	141	9	18	4	219	298	348	646	129	292	28	8	292	84	-10	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	516	458	101	17	4	12	43	147	10	18	4	221	301	354	655	133	291	28	8	293	85	-10	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	524	465	102	17	4	12	44	149	10	19	4	219	301	351	651	131	291	28	8	293	85	-10	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	524	464	102	17	4	12	45	150	10	18	4	220	303	351	654	131	291	29	9	292	84	-10	+2	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	517	459	100	16	4	12	44	149	9	18	4	218	299	349	647	131	290	29	9	290	83	-11	+2	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	63	57	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	2	0	193	270	281	551	88	281	30	8	252	70	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	151	135	28	4	1	3	12	44	3	5	1	207	287	319	605	111	282	29	8	260	76	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	218	194	41	7	2	4	18	63	4	8	2	211	292	330	622	119	283	29	8	266	80	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	256	228	48	8	2	5	21	73	5	9	2	211	291	329	620	118	284	29	8	270	82	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	278	248	52	8	2	6	23	79	5	10	2	210	290	331	621	121	284	28	8	271	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	290	259	55	9	2	6	24	82	5	10	2	212	292	332	624	120	284	28	8	272	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	290	259	55	9	2	6	24	83	5	10	2	212	292	332	624	120	283	29	8	273	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	287	256	54	9	2	6	24	82	5	10	2	211	291	332	623	121	283	29	8	272	84	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	276	245	52	8	2	6	24	80	5	10	2	212	296	335	630	122	282	29	9	270	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2109	1881	396	64	15	43	175	605	38	74	15	211	291	329	620	119	284	29	8	269	78	-45	+9	-1	-13	+46	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	122	20	5	13	54	186	12	23	5	210	291	329	620	119	285	29	8	269	78	-14	+3	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4218	3738	790	130	31	88	355	1239	88	161	39	211	295	333	628	122	288	29	8	284	78	-85	+16	-2	-24	+85	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	122	20	5	14	55	191	14	25	6	212	297	337	633	125	288	29	8	284	78	-14	+3	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,205	47	77	217	294	342	-13	+0	0.8	1.0
/162	664	14	23	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Osvaldo Heredia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	197/276/285	88	286	1	3	31%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	45→46	41→55	57→55	43	217/275/321	104	306	8	21	30%	7%	69	-0.9	208/280/300	92	300	8	18	31%	9%	66	-1.1	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	59	-1.6	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	76	-0.4	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Nick Pratto 2019 · A	20	41→45	43→55	50	36	202/250/311	109	309	10	12	37%	6%	57	-1.8	185/246/316	131	302	15	12	41%	7%	57	-1.8	194/287/372	178	283	22	7	37%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	47	-2.5	233/286/369	136	325	11	13	30%	7%	84	+0.1	238/300/383	144	331	12	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Silva 2011 · A	20	40→46	39→45	52→55	40	190/249/284	95	293	5	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	212/282/311	99	311	8	13	32%	9%	70	-0.9	229/311/332	104	311	8	29	27%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	44→50	47→50	41	198/276/319	121	305	10	9	36%	8%	70	-0.9	189/268/291	102	310	9	8	39%	8%	61	-1.5	158/247/253	95	261	8	8	39%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→47	39→50	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	217/292/295	78	287	5	17	24%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/346	119	306	11	20	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	51→50	44	199/273/280	81	308	5	13	35%	9%	59	-1.7	234/307/336	102	347	7	13	31%	9%	84	+0.2	245/313/363	118	342	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps