Gustavo Beltran — OGILVIE

Gustavo BeltranSS DSL Mariners

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 145 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .269 / .273

PA5

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	97	81	15	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	2	185	298	259	557	74	246	26	12	258	61	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	96	79	13	1	0	0	15	20	2	0	1	165	312	177	490	13	220	21	16	251	56	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	97	86	12	2	0	1	7	35	1	2	2	140	213	198	410	58	193	36	7	180	8	-11	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	96	84	11	1	0	0	10	29	2	0	1	131	240	143	382	12	193	30	10	184	11	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	97	86	12	2	0	1	7	35	1	2	2	140	213	198	410	58	212	36	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	97	81	15	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	2	185	298	259	557	74	246	26	12	258	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	96	84	11	1	0	0	10	29	2	0	1	131	240	143	382	12	200	30	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	96	79	13	1	0	0	15	20	2	0	1	165	312	177	490	13	220	21	16	251	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	97	89	12	2	0	1	7	35	1	2	2	135	213	191	404	56	193	36	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	96	84	11	1	0	0	10	29	2	0	1	131	240	143	382	12	193	30	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	97	89	12	2	0	1	7	35	1	2	2	135	213	191	404	56	193	36	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	96	84	11	1	0	0	10	29	2	0	1	131	240	143	382	12	193	30	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	20	0	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	115	104	22	4	1	1	9	33	1	1	0	212	281	298	579	87	289	29	8	263	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	250	225	48	8	1	4	20	71	3	3	1	213	286	311	597	98	290	28	8	271	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	349	314	68	11	2	6	28	97	4	4	1	217	289	322	611	105	291	28	8	276	73	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	409	370	80	13	2	7	32	113	4	4	1	216	286	319	605	103	291	28	8	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	447	403	88	15	2	8	36	124	5	5	2	218	291	325	616	107	291	28	8	281	76	-13	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	466	420	92	15	3	9	38	130	5	5	2	219	292	333	625	114	291	28	8	281	76	-13	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	473	426	93	15	3	9	39	132	5	5	2	218	291	331	622	113	291	28	8	280	76	-14	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	471	424	92	15	2	9	39	133	5	4	1	217	291	325	616	108	290	28	8	278	74	-14	+0	-1	+5	+10	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	465	419	90	15	2	8	38	132	5	4	1	215	288	317	605	103	289	28	8	276	73	-15	+0	-2	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	286	30	8	253	64	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	121	110	24	4	1	2	9	34	1	1	0	218	283	327	611	109	287	28	7	261	69	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	184	165	36	6	1	3	15	51	2	2	1	218	291	321	612	103	289	28	8	266	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	224	202	43	7	1	4	18	62	2	2	1	213	284	317	601	104	289	28	8	269	75	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	249	224	49	8	1	5	20	69	3	3	1	219	291	330	622	112	289	28	8	270	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	256	230	50	8	1	5	21	71	3	3	1	217	291	326	617	109	289	28	8	271	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	259	233	50	8	1	5	21	72	3	3	1	215	288	322	610	107	288	28	8	270	76	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	251	225	48	8	1	4	21	71	3	2	1	213	289	311	600	98	288	28	8	268	74	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	244	220	47	8	1	4	20	69	2	2	1	214	285	314	599	100	287	28	8	266	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1828	1646	354	58	8	32	148	511	19	18	7	215	287	318	606	103	290	28	8	268	71	-56	+1	-2	+20	+40	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	126	21	3	11	53	182	7	6	2	215	288	318	606	103	291	28	8	268	71	-20	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3643	3280	697	114	18	62	296	1030	40	37	14	212	286	315	601	102	288	28	8	272	71	-107	+3	-4	+37	+75	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	124	20	3	11	53	184	7	7	2	212	285	313	598	101	288	28	8	272	71	-20	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,886	33	19	217	286	324	+20	+18	1.4	1.4
/162	664	12	7	+7.1	+6.3	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Beltran (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/269/273	73	287	1	1	30%	8%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	197/270/305	108	273	9	3	29%	8%	64	-1.3	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→48	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	57	-1.8	193/273/282	89	275	6	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→43	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	230/261/332	102	302	9	2	26%	4%	65	-1.2	238/272/346	108	283	9	0	19%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	57	-1.8	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	89	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→49	37→45	43→45	44	198/271/274	75	282	3	5	29%	8%	57	-1.8	197/270/281	84	288	5	5	31%	8%	58	-1.7	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2021 · A	21	44	37→50	45→40	42	208/272/281	73	279	3	5	26%	6%	59	-1.7	212/288/322	110	284	11	5	28%	7%	75	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	42	-2.9	200/264/305	105	311	11	4	37%	7%	61	-1.5	205/282/349	144	303	16	3	35%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Narbe Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	45	41	202/279/277	74	301	5	7	32%	7%	61	-1.5	207/259/292	85	288	7	6	29%	5%	56	-1.9	206/258/296	90	291	8	6	30%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	42→52	39→45	50	41	204/263/293	89	285	6	11	29%	6%	58	-1.7	228/278/329	101	310	10	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Lenyn Sosa 2021 · A	21	42→51	40→50	43→40	37	207/237/300	93	263	7	5	25%	3%	49	-2.4	227/259/346	119	289	14	3	26%	4%	68	-1.0	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps