Gustavo Beltran — OGILVIE

Gustavo BeltranSS DSL Mariners

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 145 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .270 / .273

PA58

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	97	86	12	2	0	1	7	35	1	2	2	140	213	198	410	58	212	36	7	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	97	81	15	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	2	185	298	259	557	74	246	26	12	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	96	83	11	1	0	0	11	29	2	0	1	133	250	145	395	12	204	30	11	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	96	79	13	1	0	0	15	20	2	0	1	165	312	177	490	13	220	21	16	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	SEA	—	58	53	10	2	0	0	4	17	1	1	0	189	259	226	485	38	287	29	7	252	51	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SEA	34%	115	104	22	4	1	1	9	33	1	1	0	212	281	298	579	87	289	29	8	263	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	SEA	48%	250	225	48	8	1	4	20	71	3	3	1	213	286	311	597	98	290	28	8	271	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	349	314	68	11	2	6	28	97	4	4	1	217	289	322	611	105	291	28	8	277	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	409	369	80	13	2	7	33	113	4	4	1	217	288	320	608	103	292	28	8	280	72	-13	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2027	22	MLB	SEA	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	286	30	8	254	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	SEA	48%	121	109	24	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	220	292	330	622	110	288	28	8	261	58	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	184	165	36	6	1	3	15	51	2	2	1	218	291	321	612	103	289	28	8	267	62	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	224	202	43	7	1	4	18	62	2	2	1	213	284	317	601	104	289	28	8	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	569	513	110	18	3	9	46	159	5	5	2	214	285	314	599	99	290	28	8	266	62	-25	+0	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	125	21	3	10	53	182	6	6	2	213	285	311	596	97	290	28	8	266	62	-28	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1374	1234	251	41	6	19	112	395	16	15	6	203	278	293	571	89	280	29	8	262	58	-65	+1	+0	+15	+39	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	119	19	3	9	53	187	8	7	3	204	280	293	572	89	281	29	8	262	58	-31	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	97	81	15	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	2	185	298	259	557	74	246	26	12	258	55	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	96	79	13	1	0	0	15	20	2	0	1	165	312	177	490	13	220	21	16	251	50	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	626	10	7	216	284	317	+7	+9	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	11	7	216	284	317	+7.1	+9.5	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Beltran (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/270/273	73	287	0	1	30%	8%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Kevin Ahrens 2010 · A	21	41→46	38→45	47→40	41	198/251/277	80	281	5	3	30%	6%	43	-2.2	198/257/302	104	262	10	3	27%	7%	53	-1.5	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Narbe Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	37→40	45	41	202/278/276	74	302	5	7	32%	7%	56	-1.3	208/260/292	84	290	6	6	29%	5%	51	-1.7	208/260/295	87	295	8	6	31%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Gavin LaValley 2016 · A	21	43	38→50	48→40	40	204/261/280	75	297	5	4	32%	6%	48	-1.9	212/261/333	121	291	13	2	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/253/340	137	270	17	1	31%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4