Pedro Ibarguen

RF Wilson Warbirds

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ACarolina Mudc…	68	.268/.397/.321	1	6	79	—	.237/.338/.288
2025	19	ROKMIL	106	.303/.415/.461	2	12	78	—	.232/.311/.347
2026	20	AMIL	335	.245/.372/.361	5	19	69	—	.203/.303/.292
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIL	445	.214/.305/.315	6	11	78	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIL	132	.217/.307/.328	2	3	84	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIL	219	.220/.310/.339	4	6	87	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%79

BB%74

K%57

wOBA55

wRC+54

Speed46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%

CompsAlexis Hernandez (age 21) · Cody Freeman (age 21) · Troy Stokes Jr. (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .302 / .312

PA320

HR4

SB8

K%25

BB%10

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	132	41	7	1	3	25	32	7	7	7	311	445	447	892	136	380	19	15	399	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	145	114	18	1	1	0	26	43	1	9	2	158	319	184	503	26	240	30	18	250	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	68	56	15	0	0	1	11	16	1	6	1	268	397	321	718	54	359	24	16	341	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	106	89	27	4	2	2	16	15	1	12	4	303	415	461	876	157	347	14	15	393	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	274	67	15	1	5	51	77	6	19	12	245	372	361	734	117	320	23	15	337	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	139	27	4	1	1	18	38	7	7	7	194	317	259	576	65	238	23	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	124	14	1	1	0	16	62	1	9	2	113	220	137	357	24	194	43	11	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	68	59	14	0	0	1	8	21	1	6	1	237	338	288	626	51	361	31	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	106	95	22	3	1	2	10	22	1	12	4	232	311	347	659	116	278	21	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	291	59	12	1	4	36	105	6	19	12	203	303	292	595	89	293	31	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	139	27	4	1	1	18	38	7	7	7	194	317	259	576	65	252	23	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	132	41	7	1	3	25	32	7	7	7	311	445	447	892	136	380	19	15	399	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	124	14	1	1	0	16	62	1	9	2	113	220	137	357	24	212	43	11	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	145	114	18	1	1	0	26	43	1	9	2	158	319	184	503	26	240	30	18	250	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	154	35	3	1	2	18	43	2	18	5	227	316	299	615	71	303	25	10	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	174	145	42	4	2	3	27	31	2	18	5	290	408	407	815	117	351	18	16	372	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	291	59	12	1	4	36	105	6	19	12	203	303	292	595	89	299	31	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	274	67	15	1	5	51	77	6	19	12	245	372	361	734	117	320	23	15	337	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	—	167	140	27	4	1	1	18	38	7	7	7	193	317	257	574	64	238	23	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	127	14	1	1	0	16	62	1	9	2	110	220	134	354	24	194	43	11	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	152	35	3	1	2	18	43	2	18	5	230	316	303	619	72	310	25	10	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	290	59	12	1	4	36	105	6	19	12	203	303	293	596	90	293	31	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	145	127	14	1	1	0	16	62	1	9	2	110	220	134	354	24	194	43	11	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	152	35	3	1	2	18	43	2	18	5	230	316	303	619	72	310	25	10	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	335	290	59	12	1	4	36	105	6	19	12	203	303	293	596	90	293	31	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	445	392	84	17	2	6	45	110	5	11	4	214	305	315	620	101	278	25	10	284	78	-11	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	383	336	74	14	2	7	39	93	5	10	4	219	309	331	640	112	280	24	10	292	84	-7	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	452	398	89	17	2	9	46	108	5	12	4	223	312	342	654	119	281	24	10	297	87	-7	+1	+0	-5	+10	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	498	438	98	19	2	10	51	118	6	13	5	226	314	349	663	123	283	24	10	301	90	-6	+1	+0	-5	+11	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	523	459	104	20	2	11	53	123	6	13	5	227	315	353	669	126	283	24	10	303	91	-6	+1	+0	-6	+11	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	536	471	108	21	2	12	54	126	6	13	5	228	315	356	671	128	283	24	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	-6	+12	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	540	474	107	21	2	11	55	127	6	13	5	226	314	353	667	126	282	24	10	302	90	-6	+1	+0	-6	+12	0.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	538	473	106	21	2	11	54	128	6	12	5	224	312	347	659	123	281	24	10	299	88	-7	+0	-1	-6	+12	-0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	529	465	103	20	2	10	53	128	6	11	5	221	309	340	649	119	279	24	10	295	86	-9	+0	-1	-6	+11	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	132	115	26	5	1	2	14	32	2	3	1	217	307	328	635	111	275	24	11	290	84	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	219	192	42	8	1	4	22	52	3	6	2	220	310	339	649	119	277	24	10	295	87	-3	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	263	231	51	9	1	6	27	62	3	7	2	223	312	347	659	124	278	24	10	299	90	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	286	252	55	10	1	6	29	67	3	7	3	225	313	351	664	127	278	23	10	301	91	-3	+0	+0	-3	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	298	263	59	11	1	7	30	70	3	7	3	225	313	354	667	128	278	23	10	302	91	-3	+0	+0	-3	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	297	262	59	11	1	7	30	70	3	7	3	224	312	351	663	127	278	24	10	300	90	-3	+0	+0	-3	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	294	259	56	10	1	6	30	70	3	7	3	222	310	345	655	123	276	24	10	297	88	-4	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	306	269	59	11	1	6	31	74	3	6	3	219	307	338	645	119	274	24	10	293	86	-5	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2095	1843	407	75	8	44	213	497	23	50	20	221	309	342	651	121	277	24	10	298	83	-28	+2	-1	-22	+45	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	126	23	2	14	66	154	7	16	6	220	309	341	649	121	275	24	10	298	83	-9	+1	-0	-7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5140	4502	983	185	21	92	526	1278	66	158	67	218	309	330	639	112	282	25	10	291	83	-62	+5	-2	-46	+94	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	125	23	3	12	67	162	8	20	8	220	311	334	644	114	283	25	10	291	83	-9	+1	-0	-7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Danny Moeller'07-'16 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,912 PA	4.4	2,912	15	171	242*	323*	402*	-31	-13	2.8	2.8
/162	664	3	39	-7.0	-3.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Herbie Moran'08-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,518 PA	3.8	2,518	2	103	236*	329*	348*	-18	-17	1.0	1.0
/162	664	1	27	-4.7	-4.5	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,415	47	59	224	309	345	-26	-5	0.8	1.0
/162	664	13	16	-7.1	-1.4	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Ibarguen (OGILVIE)	21	36→41	36→41	57→62	63	212/302/312	100	278	4	8	25%	10%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexis Hernandez 2024 · A	21	44→50	39→50	52→50	48	209/282/296	87	276	7	15	26%	8%	66	-1.1	216/289/327	111	296	11	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	220/295/346	126	292	14	18	28%	8%	80	-0.1
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Adrian Pinto 2024 · A	21	48	38→45	56→65	53	222/315/303	82	283	4	25	21%	10%	81	-0.1	237/306/380	143	292	14	11	23%	8%	95	+0.9	237/306/381	144	288	10	4	20%	8%	90	+0.2
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Kenedy Corona 2021 · A	21	46→42	42→50	53→55	46	221/284/328	107	271	8	14	21%	6%	74	-0.5	210/267/329	119	292	12	21	31%	6%	68	-1.0	203/263/338	135	278	15	26	31%	6%	66	-0.8
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	47→51	43→50	55→50	46	228/291/347	119	293	10	16	25%	7%	80	-0.1	206/267/305	99	276	8	12	27%	7%	62	-1.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Oliver Carrillo 2023 · A	21	42→28	46→45	52→45	49	210/293/339	129	282	13	7	29%	10%	80	-0.1	187/296/309	122	278	13	4	34%	12%	76	-0.4	158/271/272	114	242	14	3	37%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	46→50	53→55	51	214/301/343	129	269	14	20	25%	10%	84	+0.2	213/273/327	114	268	11	17	24%	7%	70	-0.9	205/251/306	101	252	8	18	21%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	193/258/302	109	254	8	22	26%	7%	58	-1.7	195/272/314	119	297	11	25	35%	8%	67	-1.1	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	43	35→40	56→55	50	201/277/262	60	263	2	12	23%	9%	56	-1.9	215/296/295	80	325	5	20	32%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Sam McWilliams 2019 · A	21	46→52	39→50	54→50	43	214/280/306	92	310	5	15	31%	7%	67	-1.1	212/271/315	103	332	8	9	36%	7%	66	-1.1	236/300/388	152	376	15	10	38%	8%	92	+0.5

Pedro Ibarguen

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps