Juan Obispo

OF FCL Nationals

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKWSH	108	.283/.336/.384	0	15	24	—	.178/.224/.238
2026	20	ROKWSH	69	.236/.373/.382	1	6	38	—	.153/.254/.254
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBWSH	179	.203/.263/.285	2	5	55	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBWSH	52	.207/.268/.298	1	1	61	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO63

BB%54

wRC+44

Chase%42

Speed42

wOBA36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Roller (age 21) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20) · Kyle Nevin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .261 / .283

PA67

HR1

K%30

BB%6

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	69	55	13	5	0	1	11	23	1	6	2	236	373	382	755	145	364	33	16	337	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	0	1	44	4	4	1	91	146	130	276	39	224	54	1	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	93	12	1	0	1	4	29	5	10	3	129	206	172	378	43	176	28	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	101	18	4	1	0	5	26	1	15	8	178	224	238	462	59	239	24	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	69	59	9	3	0	1	7	33	1	6	2	153	254	254	508	102	278	48	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	0	1	44	4	4	1	91	146	130	276	39	212	54	1	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	93	12	1	0	1	4	29	5	10	3	129	206	172	378	43	175	28	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	101	18	4	1	0	5	26	1	15	8	178	224	238	462	59	240	24	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	69	59	9	3	0	1	7	33	1	6	2	153	254	254	508	102	296	48	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	69	55	13	5	0	1	11	23	1	6	2	236	373	382	755	145	364	33	16	337	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	0	1	44	4	4	1	91	146	130	276	39	224	54	1	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	92	12	1	0	1	4	29	5	10	3	130	206	174	380	43	176	28	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	101	18	4	1	0	5	26	1	15	8	178	224	238	462	59	239	24	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	69	61	9	3	0	1	7	33	1	6	2	148	254	246	500	98	278	48	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	92	12	1	0	1	4	29	5	10	3	130	206	174	380	43	176	28	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	101	18	4	1	0	5	26	1	15	8	178	224	238	462	59	239	24	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	69	61	9	3	0	1	7	33	1	6	2	148	254	246	500	98	278	48	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	179	164	33	6	1	2	11	53	2	5	1	203	263	285	549	82	286	30	6	250	55	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	151	138	29	5	1	2	10	44	2	4	1	208	269	301	570	93	287	29	7	259	61	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	52	48	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	207	268	298	567	91	286	29	6	257	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	48	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	208	269	312	582	104	281	29	6	257	29	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	125	25	0	12	38	188	12	12	0	208	269	310	579	102	282	29	6	257	29	-30	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	579	530	87	16	3	5	31	196	14	41	15	164	230	234	464	70	247	34	5	211	29	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	98	18	3	6	35	220	16	46	17	165	231	235	466	71	247	34	5	211	29	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Obispo (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/261/283	82	286	1	2	30%	6%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	39	38→45	49→50	45	189/262/271	82	256	4	11	26%	7%	53	-2.1	189/262/284	95	312	7	8	38%	8%	56	-1.9	153/243/273	121	268	13	9	44%	10%	46	-1.1
✕Wander Ramos 2011 · A	21	40	35→45	49→45	41	187/259/250	63	288	3	12	33%	7%	47	-2.5	209/268/347	138	312	15	8	36%	7%	73	-0.6	198/259/358	160	288	18	7	37%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Miguel Ugueto 2024 · A	21	42	38→45	52→55	35	205/234/289	84	287	5	16	30%	4%	45	-2.7	208/240/299	91	271	6	17	25%	3%	49	-2.4	207/240/303	96	262	6	22	23%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Jose Vinicio 2014 · A	21	40→32	36→40	51→55	33	194/224/259	65	280	3	19	32%	3%	34	-3.5	223/252/290	67	302	3	13	26%	3%	51	-2.2	254/278/317	63	323	1	12	21%	3%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2