Miguel Ugueto — OGILVIE

Miguel UguetoRF Springfield Cardinals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 191 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .254 / .322

PA191

HR2

SB10

K%23

BB%3

BABIP273

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	135	130	29	9	1	2	4	38	1	7	1	223	252	354	606	131	300	28	3	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	135	127	42	15	2	2	7	26	1	7	1	331	370	528	898	197	404	19	5	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	97	91	24	6	1	0	3	28	0	3	1	264	287	352	639	88	364	29	3	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	97	90	28	7	1	0	4	17	0	3	1	311	340	411	752	100	368	18	4	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	205	197	34	7	1	2	5	70	1	12	3	173	197	249	446	76	252	34	2	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	205	194	42	9	1	2	8	50	1	12	3	216	251	304	555	88	278	24	4	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	249	233	44	9	3	3	8	73	2	7	4	189	222	292	514	103	252	29	3	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	249	231	56	13	3	4	10	50	2	7	4	242	280	377	656	134	284	20	4	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	313	297	77	15	2	2	6	57	5	15	9	259	286	343	629	84	309	18	2	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	313	292	80	14	1	3	11	46	5	15	9	274	312	360	671	86	310	15	4	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	STL	—	287	266	57	15	3	4	9	66	8	22	5	214	261	338	600	124	265	23	3	260	57	-14	+2	+0	-3	+8	-0.7
YTD	23	AA	STL	—	287	262	63	17	3	5	13	51	8	22	5	240	297	385	682	145	276	18	5	301	89	-4	+2	+0	-3	+8	0.4
ROS	23	AA	STL	2%	191	180	39	9	2	2	6	44	3	10	3	216	254	322	575	105	273	23	3	258	55	-10	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.6
ROS	23	MLB	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		273	25	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	STL	—	291	270	58	15	3	4	9	67	8	22	5	215	261	337	598	122	266	23	3	260	57	-14	+2	+0	-3	+8	-0.7
TOT	23	AA	STL	—	478	446	96	24	5	6	15	110	11	32	8	215	258	332	590	117	268	23	3	259	56	-24	+3	+0	-5	+14	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	31%	379	356	80	18	3	6	14	85	6	16	5	225	266	343	609	118	274	22	4	269	64	-15	+1	+0	-4	+11	-0.8
2028	25	MLB	STL	45%	419	392	88	19	3	8	17	93	7	18	5	224	269	349	619	125	276	22	4	277	70	-14	+2	+0	-4	+12	-0.5
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	442	413	94	20	3	9	19	99	7	19	6	228	273	356	629	128	276	22	4	280	73	-14	+1	+0	-5	+13	-0.5
2030	27	MLB	STL	53%	448	418	95	21	3	9	20	100	7	19	6	227	274	356	631	129	276	22	4	281	74	-13	+1	+0	-5	+13	-0.4
2031	28	MLB	STL	53%	448	417	94	20	3	9	21	101	7	18	5	225	274	353	627	127	276	23	5	280	73	-14	+2	-1	-5	+13	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	STL	31%	118	111	25	6	1	2	4	27	2	5	1	225	265	351	616	126	274	23	3	257	55	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	STL	45%	187	174	39	9	1	3	8	42	3	8	2	224	270	339	609	115	275	22	4	265	61	-8	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	225	209	47	10	2	4	10	50	4	10	3	225	274	349	623	124	276	22	4	269	64	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2030	27	MLB	STL	53%	235	218	51	11	2	5	11	53	4	10	3	234	283	372	655	138	276	23	5	270	65	-9	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.5
2031	28	MLB	STL	53%	239	222	51	11	2	5	11	54	4	10	3	230	278	365	643	135	276	23	5	269	64	-10	+1	-0	-3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1008	938	214	47	8	19	44	227	17	43	12	228	275	356	631	128	280	23	4	267	62	-43	+4	-0	-11	+29	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	137	30	5	12	28	146	11	28	8	226	273	352	625	126	278	22	4	267	62	-28	+2	-0	-7	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	3326	3124	698	153	25	52	123	788	46	144	48	223	263	338	602	115	279	24	4	264	60	-149	+10	-1	-36	+94	-8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	611	136	30	5	10	24	154	9	28	9	223	262	337	600	115	279	24	4	264	60	-29	+2	-0	-7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	135	127	42	15	2	2	7	26	1	7	1	331	370	528	898	197	404	19	5	393	159	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	97	90	28	7	1	0	4	17	0	3	1	311	340	411	752	100	368	18	4	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	205	194	42	9	1	2	8	50	1	12	3	216	251	304	555	88	278	24	4	248	48	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	249	231	56	13	3	4	10	50	2	7	4	242	280	377	656	134	284	20	4	285	76	-7	-0	—	—	+7	0.0
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	199	189	48	8	1	2	6	25	1	9	5	254	281	339	619	85	279	13	3	274	68	-7	-0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	20	18	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	278	350	333	683	56	312	10	0	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	26	25	6	2	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	240	269	320	589	80	316	23	4	265	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	68	60	21	3	0	1	4	13	2	4	3	350	409	450	859	100	417	19	6	376	146	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Womacklast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,230 PA	7	3,230	23	169	269	310	351	-8	-7	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	5	35	269	310	351	-1.7	-1.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,010	19	42	228	271	355	-11	-2	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	13	28	228	271	355	-7.1	-1.3	-0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Ugueto (OGILVIE)	23	55	30	55	20	215/258/332	117	268	6	32	23%	3%	56	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Liles 2010 · A	23	47→57	35→30	55→50	41	219/255/285	65	264	2	16	18%	4%	46	-2.0	259/294/325	66	308	1	13	15%	4%	72	-0.2	268/305/329	61	318	1	12	15%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Franklin Rollin 2019 · AAA	23	44	40	50→55	41	211/255/302	91	263	7	18	22%	4%	50	-1.7	199/250/282	83	267	7	13	27%	5%	43	-2.2	144/191/181	37	204	3	13	30%	4%	-10	-1.4
✕Matt Lipka 2015 · AA	23	42→52	38→45	54→60	39	203/248/284	81	270	5	23	26%	4%	43	-2.2	206/247/289	83	266	5	18	24%	4%	44	-2.1	230/283/343	114	308	11	31	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Pedro Ciriaco 2009 · A	23	50→58	37→40	53→55	38	238/265/307	69	299	4	20	22%	3%	55	-1.4	236/254/313	77	290	5	24	20%	2%	52	-1.6	252/276/340	87	309	4	26	20%	3%	63	-0.5
✕Jeff Kobernus 2011 · A	23	50→60	36→40	48→65	40	238/273/307	70	302	3	17	22%	4%	59	-1.1	250/281/323	73	320	4	36	22%	4%	66	-0.6	267/312/328	61	335	3	48	20%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Garcia 2011 · AA	23	47→57	37→40	52→55	43	223/265/294	71	275	5	18	20%	5%	52	-1.6	246/289/319	73	313	6	18	22%	5%	69	-0.4	262/307/326	64	334	6	20	22%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Francisco Martinez 2014 · AA	23	47→51	37→40	52→55	39	223/263/293	71	307	4	18	28%	5%	51	-1.7	214/245/297	83	296	6	18	29%	4%	44	-2.1	209/234/294	85	285	6	20	28%	3%	35	-2.0
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Ramon R Ramirez 2014 · AAA	23	48→55	41→45	50	37	234/263/331	97	297	9	14	25%	3%	62	-0.9	231/266/324	93	306	8	12	26%	4%	61	-1.0	243/277/350	107	317	10	8	26%	3%	69	-0.2
✕Joaquin Arias 2008 · AAA	23	50→60	39→45	54→55	41	238/262/324	86	272	6	20	15%	3%	59	-1.1	239/268/321	82	272	5	20	14%	3%	60	-1.0	274/303/367	93	310	6	5	14%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Eliezer Ortiz 2010 · AAA	23	46→52	40	46→55	38	223/256/312	89	269	8	17	20%	3%	54	-1.4	229/279/328	99	300	8	23	26%	4%	69	-0.4	251/286/347	96	342	7	18	28%	2%	73	-0.1
✕Francisco Lugo 2015 · AAA	23	41→51	41→40	52→45	40	199/226/295	95	234	8	11	19%	3%	36	-2.7	248/277/324	76	292	6	9	17%	3%	65	-0.7	271/300/342	72	315	7	9	16%	3%	75	+0.0
✕William Bergolla 2006 · MLB	23	52→56	38→40	55→50	43	247/272/331	85	278	4	16	13%	3%	65	-0.7	249/283/335	86	284	6	14	14%	4%	70	-0.3	250/289/333	83	284	6	13	14%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Austin Wates 2012 · A	23	50→58	39→40	53→55	43	239/288/323	84	298	6	16	22%	5%	70	-0.3	254/307/343	89	321	6	24	21%	6%	83	+0.6	268/324/355	87	337	4	33	20%	6%	90	+0.6
✕Gabriel Mejia 2018 · A	23	50	35→30	52→70	44	233/280/289	57	296	2	22	22%	6%	57	-1.2	214/266/275	61	298	3	13	27%	6%	48	-1.9	217/272/262	45	282	0	10	21%	6%	46	-0.4
✕Walker Gourley 2014 · A	23	50→52	39→40	53→55	38	238/272/317	79	311	7	21	25%	4%	61	-1.0	220/256/285	65	315	4	18	30%	4%	46	-2.0	209/241/246	37	311	1	22	32%	3%	25	-2.4
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2021 · A	23	49→58	36→45	50	41	232/275/302	70	282	2	16	18%	4%	59	-1.1	248/290/352	104	291	8	14	17%	4%	79	+0.3	249/294/353	104	292	8	16	17%	3%	76	+0.1
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48	39→40	56→55	38	228/263/311	83	304	6	18	26%	4%	56	-1.3	234/267/321	87	288	6	17	20%	3%	60	-1.0	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Kurtis Muller 2012 · A	23	46	36→40	55	45	216/289/284	69	272	3	19	20%	6%	62	-0.9	231/293/337	106	279	8	20	19%	6%	77	+0.1	251/308/383	132	286	10	28	16%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Robert Garcia 2017 · A	23	51	37→30	53→60	42	238/292/314	76	311	5	18	24%	5%	69	-0.4	205/255/266	61	341	4	13	38%	5%	41	-2.3	191/239/232	41	327	3	16	40%	5%	24	-2.2