Glynn Davis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 458 | .268/.330/.343 | 2 | 23 | 63 | — | .243/.292/.304 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 303 | .246/.307/.371 | 6 | 7 | 55 | — | .222/.267/.326 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 359 | .256/.301/.375 | 4 | 9 | 45 | — | .215/.246/.311 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 27 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 435 | 519 | 652 | 1.171 | 217 | 474 | 11 | 15 | 510 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 97 | 82 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 256 | 358 | 293 | 651 | 37 | 368 | 26 | 12 | 301 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 465 | 397 | 100 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 51 | 91 | 6 | 29 | 9 | 252 | 346 | 302 | 648 | 50 | 322 | 20 | 11 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 410 | 364 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 234 | 316 | 313 | 629 | 80 | 288 | 18 | 10 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 96 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 312 | 340 | 406 | 746 | 94 | 372 | 19 | 2 | 322 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 395 | 352 | 104 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 69 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 295 | 364 | 386 | 750 | 91 | 364 | 17 | 9 | 336 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 408 | 365 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 79 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 268 | 334 | 348 | 682 | 79 | 337 | 19 | 8 | 306 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 50 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 304 | 596 | 43 | 316 | 16 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 277 | 247 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 251 | 315 | 377 | 691 | 126 | 305 | 22 | 8 | 304 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 26 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 231 | 320 | 551 | 120 | 235 | 27 | 4 | 246 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 98 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 272 | 337 | 609 | 102 | 301 | 23 | 4 | 270 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 255 | 230 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 265 | 313 | 391 | 704 | 126 | 326 | 22 | 6 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 27 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 320 | 370 | 480 | 850 | 160 | 372 | 15 | 7 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 97 | 87 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 230 | 295 | 264 | 559 | 34 | 365 | 36 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 465 | 415 | 91 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 118 | 6 | 29 | 9 | 219 | 286 | 258 | 544 | 39 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 410 | 380 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 109 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 205 | 260 | 263 | 523 | 58 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 97 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 330 | 350 | 423 | 773 | 93 | 389 | 24 | 1 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 395 | 365 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 98 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 249 | 297 | 321 | 618 | 71 | 331 | 25 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 408 | 375 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 98 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 243 | 292 | 304 | 596 | 61 | 316 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 277 | 254 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 74 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 228 | 274 | 331 | 605 | 102 | 284 | 27 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 280 | 472 | 120 | 180 | 38 | 4 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 104 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 212 | 243 | 303 | 546 | 91 | 287 | 29 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 255 | 236 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 79 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 216 | 248 | 314 | 562 | 97 | 285 | 31 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 27 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 320 | 370 | 480 | 850 | 160 | 350 | 15 | 7 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 27 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 435 | 519 | 652 | 1.171 | 217 | 474 | 11 | 15 | 510 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 501 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 153 | 7 | 37 | 10 | 222 | 290 | 259 | 549 | 38 | 314 | 27 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 562 | 479 | 121 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 63 | 116 | 7 | 37 | 10 | 253 | 348 | 301 | 649 | 48 | 329 | 21 | 11 | 297 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 410 | 380 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 109 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 205 | 260 | 263 | 523 | 58 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 410 | 364 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 74 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 234 | 316 | 313 | 629 | 80 | 288 | 18 | 10 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 499 | 462 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 123 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 264 | 306 | 340 | 646 | 76 | 352 | 25 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 499 | 448 | 134 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 89 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 299 | 359 | 391 | 750 | 92 | 366 | 18 | 8 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 420 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 109 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 243 | 292 | 302 | 594 | 60 | 325 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 411 | 110 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 87 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 268 | 330 | 343 | 673 | 75 | 334 | 19 | 8 | 301 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 280 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 214 | 257 | 307 | 564 | 93 | 284 | 28 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 303 | 272 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 67 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 246 | 307 | 371 | 679 | 125 | 299 | 22 | 7 | 299 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 336 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 109 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 214 | 244 | 310 | 553 | 95 | 300 | 30 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 359 | 328 | 84 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 79 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 256 | 301 | 375 | 676 | 119 | 319 | 22 | 6 | 294 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 27 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 320 | 370 | 480 | 850 | 160 | 372 | 15 | 7 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 509 | 111 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 153 | 7 | 37 | 10 | 218 | 290 | 255 | 545 | 37 | 302 | 27 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 410 | 379 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 109 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 206 | 260 | 264 | 524 | 58 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 499 | 468 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 123 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 261 | 306 | 335 | 642 | 75 | 343 | 25 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 426 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 109 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 239 | 292 | 298 | 590 | 59 | 316 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 284 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 211 | 257 | 303 | 560 | 92 | 275 | 28 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 343 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 109 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 210 | 244 | 303 | 547 | 93 | 286 | 30 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2618 | 2404 | 553 | 97 | 15 | 12 | 147 | 691 | 17 | 119 | 51 | 230 | 279 | 298 | 577 | 68 | 314 | 26 | 6 | 253 | 58 | -132 | +3 | +0 | +9 | +57 | -6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 172 | 4 | 30 | 13 | 231 | 279 | 300 | 579 | 69 | 316 | 26 | 6 | 253 | 58 | -33 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Frederick Keys · 255 PAwOBA .302 → .239 (−64)K% 21.6% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.57% | ÷0.993 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.27% | ÷1.010 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×0.968 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.968 | 7.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.983 | ×0.968 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.238 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 1.21% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .302 → .239; ISO .126 → .097; BABIP .326 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABowie Baysox · 104 PAwOBA .263 → .226 (−37)K% 23.1% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.043 | ×0.860 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.016 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 103, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .263 → .226; ISO .102 → .081; BABIP .301 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABowie Baysox · 277 PAwOBA .301 → .258 (−43)K% 21.7% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.66% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 22.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.053 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.057 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 97, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .301 → .258; ISO .126 → .101; BABIP .305 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Orioles · 26 PAwOBA .239 → .153 (−86)K% 26.9% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 2.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 4.09% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .239 → .153; ISO .120 → .075; BABIP .235 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABowie Baysox · 408 PAwOBA .299 → .262 (−37)K% 19.4% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.36% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.87% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 24.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.123 | ×0.950 | ×1.001 | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.197 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 125, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .299 → .262; ISO .079 → .065; BABIP .337 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Frederick Keys · 395 PAwOBA .328 → .270 (−58)K% 17.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.47% | ÷0.999 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.56% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 25.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 6.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.076 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.29% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .328 → .270; ISO .091 → .074; BABIP .364 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 104 PAwOBA .322 → .324 (+2)K% 19.2% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.92% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 1.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.26% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 32.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 7.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.15% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .322 → .324; ISO .094 → .087; BABIP .372 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Frederick Keys · 410 PAwOBA .282 → .233 (−50)K% 18.0% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.05% | ÷0.964 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.49% | ÷1.028 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷0.958 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.324 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 92, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .282 → .233; ISO .080 → .061; BABIP .288 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .