Juan Obispo — OGILVIE

Juan ObispoOF FCL Nationals

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 42 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.155 / .234 / .181

PA42

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP243

ISO26

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED68

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	8	1	1	1	1	51	4	4	1	104	159	182	340	78	280	62	1	140	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	102	94	13	1	0	1	3	33	5	10	3	138	206	181	387	43	200	32	3	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	108	102	20	4	1	0	4	32	1	15	8	196	234	255	489	59	286	30	4	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	WSH	—	64	54	9	3	0	1	7	30	1	6	2	167	274	278	552	111	320	47	11	233	37	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
YTD	20	ROK	WSH	—	64	50	12	4	0	1	11	21	1	6	2	240	387	380	767	140	367	33	17	343	121	+2	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.3
ROS	20	ROK	WSH	0%	42	38	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	155	234	181	415	26	273	33	7	240	42	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	230	34	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	WSH	—	64	55	9	3	0	1	7	30	1	6	2	164	274	273	547	109	308	47	11	233	37	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
TOT	20	ROK	WSH	—	106	92	15	4	0	1	10	44	2	7	2	162	258	237	495	76	282	41	9	236	39	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	WSH	34%	179	163	32	6	1	3	12	56	2	5	1	196	260	301	561	104	275	31	7	251	50	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	WSH	48%	310	282	57	11	2	5	21	94	4	9	2	202	267	309	576	106	277	30	7	260	57	-15	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.7
2027	21	MLB	WSH	34%	62	57	11	2	0	1	4	19	1	2	0	193	258	281	539	88	275	31	6	241	43	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	WSH	48%	150	137	27	5	1	2	10	46	2	4	1	197	262	292	554	95	277	31	7	250	49	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	212	195	38	7	1	3	14	65	3	6	1	195	261	287	548	92	273	31	7	247	47	-13	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	116	21	3	9	43	199	9	18	3	194	260	284	544	90	272	31	7	247	47	-39	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	823	756	136	24	5	10	44	280	17	44	15	180	241	264	505	85	268	34	5	230	34	-61	+3	+0	-5	+23	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	108	19	4	8	35	221	13	35	12	181	241	266	508	85	270	34	5	230	34	-48	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	52	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	70	-4	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	104	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	304	4	8	197	257	295	-2	+0	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	9	18	197	257	295	-4.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Obispo (OGILVIE)	20	25→30	32→37	63→68	45	162/258/237	76	282	1	7	41%	9%	39	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2015 · A	19	47→38	35→45	60→50	41	217/275/282	65	309	2	20	29%	6%	54	-1.4	212/274/303	91	300	6	16	29%	7%	59	-1.1	178/233/300	122	252	15	10	35%	6%	40	-1.6
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Oswaldo Pina 2019 · A	20	41	37→40	58→55	40	191/250/268	77	300	4	20	36%	7%	40	-2.4	203/265/280	77	309	4	14	33%	7%	50	-1.8	193/263/258	65	289	3	15	31%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Jevi Hernandez 2019 · A	20	41	37→40	55→60	44	197/246/276	80	244	4	22	21%	6%	40	-2.4	198/254/269	71	284	3	17	29%	6%	42	-2.3	158/215/195	38	250	0	23	34%	5%	4	-1.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Gabriel Ovalle 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	57→60	41	173/225/241	68	239	1	15	27%	6%	22	-3.7	188/252/246	58	261	1	15	26%	7%	35	-2.8	179/270/216	37	224	0	32	18%	9%	34	-0.9
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	34	-2.8	185/250/308	123	307	12	20	41%	7%	51	-1.7	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Heiker Meneses 2011 · A	20	38→48	36→40	55	39	182/248/250	67	276	4	18	33%	6%	35	-2.8	212/260/288	76	315	4	17	32%	4%	50	-1.8	226/266/266	40	325	0	15	29%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→42	37→50	60	37	183/239/254	71	300	4	28	38%	6%	31	-3.0	192/245/311	119	312	12	26	40%	6%	50	-1.8	199/253/334	135	284	13	30	34%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→36	39→45	54→55	42	185/269/272	86	287	7	14	35%	8%	51	-1.7	179/261/271	92	253	8	15	30%	7%	47	-1.9	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Jose Vinicio 2011 · A	18	42→30	37→40	59→55	39	203/240/285	82	262	4	14	24%	4%	40	-2.4	206/240/279	73	282	4	20	27%	3%	37	-2.6	246/270/308	62	315	1	12	22%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Mariel Bautista 2018 · A	20	48→34	37→45	54→50	40	225/272/303	77	290	4	15	23%	4%	58	-1.2	212/259/310	98	273	9	15	25%	4%	55	-1.4	193/239/302	108	251	12	16	28%	4%	43	-1.0