Juan Obispo — OGILVIE

Juan ObispoOF FCL Nationals

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .143 / .143

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	57	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	73	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	103	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	1	1	52	4	4	1	91	146	169	315	78	266	63	1	135	-22	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	93	13	1	0	1	4	34	5	10	3	140	216	183	398	43	213	33	4	186	12	-11	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	102	20	4	1	0	4	31	1	15	8	196	234	255	489	59	290	29	4	225	38	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	1	1	52	4	4	1	91	146	169	315	78	250	63	1	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	82	76	14	3	2	1	2	37	4	4	1	184	244	316	560	132	342	45	2	253	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	93	13	1	0	1	4	34	5	10	3	140	216	183	398	43	207	33	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	102	91	19	2	0	2	6	25	5	10	3	209	294	297	591	88	266	25	6	276	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	102	20	4	1	0	4	31	1	15	8	196	234	255	489	59	282	29	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	108	99	28	6	2	0	7	21	1	15	8	283	336	384	720	101	359	19	6	321	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	1	1	52	4	4	1	91	146	169	315	78	266	63	1	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	92	13	1	0	1	4	34	5	10	3	141	216	185	400	43	213	33	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	102	20	4	1	0	4	31	1	15	8	196	234	255	489	59	290	29	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	82	77	7	1	1	1	1	52	4	4	1	91	146	169	315	78	266	63	1	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	102	92	13	1	0	1	4	34	5	10	3	141	216	185	400	43	213	33	4	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	108	102	20	4	1	0	4	31	1	15	8	196	234	255	489	59	290	29	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	WSH	—	69	59	9	3	0	1	7	33	1	6	2	153	254	254	508	102	296	48	10	225	38	-5	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	WSH	—	69	55	13	5	0	1	11	23	1	6	2	236	373	382	755	145	364	33	16	337	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	WSH	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		270	29	0	237	46	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	WSH	—	76	66	10	3	0	1	7	35	1	6	2	152	243	242	486	91	281	46	9	226	39	-6	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	179	163	32	6	1	3	12	56	2	5	1	196	260	301	561	104	274	31	7	249	55	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2027	21	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	62	57	10	2	0	1	4	20	1	2	0	175	242	263	505	88	272	32	6	238	55	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	62	57	10	2	0	1	4	20	1	2	0	175	242	263	505	88	250	32	6	238	29	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	104	21	0	10	42	210	10	21	0	174	240	259	499	85	249	32	6	238	29	-35	+4	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	478	442	73	12	3	5	21	175	12	34	13	165	223	240	463	75	259	37	4	210	29	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	99	16	4	7	29	238	16	46	18	165	223	240	463	75	258	37	4	210	29	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Obispo (OGILVIE)	20	24→29	32→37	62→67	45	183/246/268	85	270	1	3	33%	6%	46	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jevi Hernandez 2019 · A	20	41	37→40	55→60	44	197/246/276	80	244	4	22	21%	6%	47	-2.6	198/254/269	71	284	3	17	29%	6%	49	-2.4	158/215/195	38	250	0	23	34%	5%	15	-1.1
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	51	-2.3	183/244/264	81	367	5	13	48%	6%	44	-2.8	90/155/144	54	278	2	18	64%	5%	-18	-1.9
✕Raul Fortunato 2011 · A	20	35→42	35→40	53→55	40	172/227/231	59	234	3	17	27%	5%	30	-3.8	212/264/303	91	284	7	18	26%	6%	60	-1.6	207/250/286	79	279	6	17	27%	5%	47	-1.5
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	45	-2.7	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	59	-1.7	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2021 · A	20	46→34	38→40	52→55	41	218/270/299	81	295	4	15	26%	5%	61	-1.5	186/232/269	83	289	7	9	36%	5%	40	-3.0	164/212/245	80	249	7	12	36%	4%	25	-2.3
✕Ramon Beltre 2017 · A	20	44→29	38→40	52→50	46	210/263/288	79	254	5	11	19%	6%	56	-1.9	208/242/295	87	281	7	8	28%	4%	49	-2.4	191/216/272	82	272	6	7	32%	3%	32	-2.1
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→55	48	202/276/307	105	263	8	20	26%	8%	66	-1.1	187/267/266	79	277	4	22	31%	8%	54	-2.0	193/287/265	72	281	6	28	30%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Juan Carlos Smith 2019 · A	21	39	40→45	54→55	38	190/243/290	99	261	6	18	28%	5%	49	-2.4	201/251/292	91	291	6	12	31%	5%	53	-2.1	185/226/264	79	275	5	12	34%	4%	34	-1.0
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37→39	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	42	-2.9	188/253/309	121	310	11	20	40%	7%	58	-1.7	195/263/321	126	297	12	19	36%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	38	-3.2	196/247/255	59	258	3	9	24%	6%	42	-2.9	189/241/241	52	247	3	7	23%	6%	35	-1.2