Juan Obispo
OF FCL Nationals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKWSH | 102 | .209/.294/.297 | 2 | 10 | 1 | — | .129/.206/.172 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKWSH | 108 | .283/.336/.384 | 0 | 15 | 24 | — | .178/.224/.238 |
| 2026 | 20 | ROKWSH | 69 | .236/.373/.382 | 1 | 6 | 38 | — | .153/.254/.254 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBWSH | 179 | .203/.263/.285 | 2 | 5 | 55 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBWSH | 32 | .207/.268/.298 | 0 | 1 | 61 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 82 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 244 | 316 | 560 | 132 | 342 | 45 | 2 | 253 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 294 | 297 | 591 | 88 | 266 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 99 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 283 | 336 | 384 | 720 | 101 | 359 | 19 | 6 | 321 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 373 | 382 | 755 | 145 | 364 | 33 | 16 | 337 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 82 | 77 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 91 | 146 | 130 | 276 | 39 | 224 | 54 | 1 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 93 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 129 | 206 | 172 | 378 | 43 | 176 | 28 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 178 | 224 | 238 | 462 | 59 | 239 | 24 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 153 | 254 | 254 | 508 | 102 | 278 | 48 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 82 | 77 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 91 | 146 | 130 | 276 | 39 | 212 | 54 | 1 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 82 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 244 | 316 | 560 | 132 | 342 | 45 | 2 | 253 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 93 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 129 | 206 | 172 | 378 | 43 | 175 | 28 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 294 | 297 | 591 | 88 | 266 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 178 | 224 | 238 | 462 | 59 | 240 | 24 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 99 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 283 | 336 | 384 | 720 | 101 | 359 | 19 | 6 | 321 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 153 | 254 | 254 | 508 | 102 | 296 | 48 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 373 | 382 | 755 | 145 | 364 | 33 | 16 | 337 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 82 | 77 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 91 | 146 | 130 | 276 | 39 | 224 | 54 | 1 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 92 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 130 | 206 | 174 | 380 | 43 | 176 | 28 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 178 | 224 | 238 | 462 | 59 | 239 | 24 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 148 | 254 | 246 | 500 | 98 | 278 | 48 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 102 | 92 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 130 | 206 | 174 | 380 | 43 | 176 | 28 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 108 | 101 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 178 | 224 | 238 | 462 | 59 | 239 | 24 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 69 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 148 | 254 | 246 | 500 | 98 | 278 | 48 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | WSH | 0% | 179 | 164 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 203 | 263 | 285 | 549 | 82 | 286 | 30 | 6 | 250 | 55 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | WSH | 34% | 94 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 93 | 287 | 29 | 6 | 259 | 61 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | WSH | 34% | 32 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 268 | 298 | 567 | 91 | 286 | 28 | 6 | 257 | 61 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 219 | 200 | 419 | 33 | 238 | 28 | 6 | 257 | 24 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 101 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 183 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 166 | 218 | 199 | 417 | 33 | 237 | 28 | 6 | 257 | 24 | -30 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 497 | 455 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 171 | 13 | 38 | 14 | 156 | 223 | 218 | 440 | 62 | 240 | 34 | 5 | 204 | 24 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 224 | 17 | 50 | 18 | 156 | 223 | 218 | 441 | 62 | 241 | 34 | 5 | 204 | 24 | -31 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Nationals · 69 PAwOBA .339 → .224 (−115)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 17.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 11.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .224; ISO .145 → .095; BABIP .364 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Nationals · 108 PAwOBA .313 → .204 (−109)K% 19.4% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.48% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | ×1.038 | ×0.995 | 17.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.999 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×0.995 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.999 | ×0.600 | ×1.038 | ×0.995 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.300 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .313 → .204; ISO .101 → .061; BABIP .359 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Nationals · 102 PAwOBA .269 → .170 (−99)K% 24.5% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.51% | ÷1.043 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.053 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.90% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.018 | ×0.680 | ×1.014 | ×1.008 | 15.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.970 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×1.008 | 1.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.014 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.207 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.19% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 109, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .269 → .170; ISO .088 → .039; BABIP .266 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Nationals · 82 PAwOBA .246 → .143 (−103)K% 45.1% → 53.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 45.12% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 53.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.44% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 14.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.078 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.946 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 3.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.22% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 89, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .246 → .143; ISO .132 → .065; BABIP .342 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).