Juan Ortega

C Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	136	.264/.400/.436	4	11	62	—	.186/.289/.297
2026	20	ABAL	208	.213/.338/.320	2	13	57	—	.194/.299/.291
2026	20	ROKBAL	35	.345/.424/.517	1	1	98	—	.300/.364/.467
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBAL	353	.211/.288/.313	5	8	72	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	22	MLBBAL	129	.218/.295/.333	2	3	76	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	23	MLBBAL	236	.222/.299/.343	5	6	80	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed88

Whiff%72

K%62

Z-Con%50

wRC+39

BB%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 83%

CompsJuan Mora (age 21) · Jeter Downs (age 21) · Jared Serna (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 229 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .285 / .310

PA229

HR3

SB5

K%25

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	41	11	2	2	0	5	13	2	1	1	268	375	415	790	146	393	27	10	349	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	93	22	6	0	2	18	24	18	12	4	237	450	366	815	129	294	18	14	384	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	136	110	29	3	2	4	21	30	4	11	4	264	400	436	836	173	325	22	15	376	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	208	169	36	4	4	2	22	46	10	13	7	213	338	320	658	107	276	22	11	298	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	35	29	10	2	0	1	2	5	2	1	1	345	424	517	941	172	375	14	6	396	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	43	7	1	1	0	3	17	2	1	1	163	250	233	483	70	253	35	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	99	15	4	0	1	12	30	18	12	4	152	349	222	571	71	183	23	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	253	32	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	208	175	34	3	4	2	16	63	10	13	7	194	299	291	590	97	263	30	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	35	30	9	2	0	1	1	7	2	1	1	300	364	467	830	167	295	20	3	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	43	7	1	1	0	3	17	2	1	1	163	250	233	483	70	269	35	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	41	11	2	2	0	5	13	2	1	1	268	375	415	790	146	393	27	10	349	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	99	15	4	0	1	12	30	18	12	4	152	349	222	571	71	203	23	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	93	22	6	0	2	18	24	18	12	4	237	450	366	815	129	294	18	14	384	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	264	32	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	136	110	29	3	2	4	21	30	4	11	4	264	400	436	836	173	325	22	15	376	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	205	42	5	4	2	17	70	12	14	8	205	303	298	601	93	294	29	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	243	198	46	6	4	3	24	51	12	14	8	232	350	348	699	116	293	21	10	312	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	49	44	7	1	1	0	3	17	2	1	1	159	250	227	477	68	253	35	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	100	15	4	0	1	12	30	18	12	4	150	349	220	569	70	183	23	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	253	32	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	212	42	5	4	2	17	70	12	14	8	198	303	288	591	90	268	29	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	131	100	15	4	0	1	12	30	18	12	4	150	349	220	569	70	183	23	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	136	118	22	2	1	3	13	44	4	11	4	186	289	297	585	110	253	32	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	212	42	5	4	2	17	70	12	14	8	198	303	288	591	90	268	29	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	353	316	67	12	3	5	26	88	8	8	3	211	288	313	601	103	273	25	7	274	72	-12	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	43%	298	267	57	10	2	5	23	73	6	7	2	215	292	326	619	111	275	24	8	281	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	387	346	75	13	3	7	30	94	8	10	3	218	296	336	632	117	276	24	8	286	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	66%	447	400	89	16	3	9	35	108	9	11	4	221	298	343	641	122	278	24	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	480	429	95	17	3	10	38	115	10	12	4	223	300	347	647	124	279	24	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+10	1.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	499	447	100	18	4	10	39	119	10	12	4	224	301	350	650	126	279	24	8	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	506	451	101	18	4	10	40	122	10	12	4	222	300	347	647	125	278	24	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	74%	505	450	99	18	3	10	40	123	10	11	4	221	298	342	640	122	277	24	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	498	447	97	17	3	10	39	122	9	10	4	218	295	336	631	118	276	24	8	286	79	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	78%	489	439	94	17	3	9	38	122	9	9	4	215	291	328	619	113	274	25	8	281	76	-14	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	BAL	79%	463	416	87	15	3	8	36	117	8	8	5	211	286	318	604	107	271	25	8	275	72	-15	-0	-3	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	43%	129	115	25	5	1	2	10	32	3	3	1	218	295	333	629	115	279	25	8	285	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	236	211	47	8	2	5	18	57	5	6	2	222	299	343	642	121	280	24	8	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	66%	296	265	60	11	2	6	23	72	6	7	2	225	302	350	652	126	282	24	8	294	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	330	294	66	12	2	7	26	79	7	8	3	226	303	355	658	129	283	24	8	297	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	348	310	71	13	2	8	28	83	7	9	3	227	304	358	662	130	283	24	8	298	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	349	311	70	13	2	7	28	84	7	8	3	226	303	355	658	129	283	24	8	296	84	-7	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	74%	373	333	75	13	3	8	30	91	7	8	3	224	301	350	651	126	281	24	8	294	82	-8	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	381	341	77	14	3	8	30	94	7	8	3	222	298	343	641	122	280	25	8	290	79	-9	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	78%	382	342	74	13	2	7	30	95	7	7	3	218	294	335	629	117	278	25	8	285	76	-11	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	BAL	79%	368	330	71	13	2	7	28	93	7	6	4	214	289	325	614	111	275	25	8	279	72	-12	-0	-2	+7	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3192	2852	636	115	21	65	251	780	63	70	27	223	300	346	646	123	282	24	8	291	78	-75	+3	-5	+57	+69	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	23	4	13	51	159	13	14	5	222	299	343	642	120	282	24	8	291	78	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5360	4762	1023	179	39	97	420	1333	130	145	57	215	296	330	626	115	276	25	8	283	78	-115	+5	-7	+86	+104	7.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	125	22	5	12	51	162	16	18	7	217	298	334	633	118	278	25	8	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,420	65	76	219	293	338	+61	+32	7.6	6.9
/162	664	13	15	+11.9	+6.2	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Ortega (OGILVIE)	21	32→37	37→42	56→61	55	209/285/310	102	273	3	5	25%	7%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	47	44→50	56→50	44	229/282/358	129	287	10	10	23%	6%	80	-0.2	230/274/338	108	308	6	9	26%	5%	72	-0.7	232/275/343	110	324	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2021 · A	21	46→42	42→50	53→55	46	221/284/328	107	271	8	14	21%	6%	74	-0.5	210/267/329	119	292	12	21	31%	6%	68	-1.0	203/263/338	135	278	15	26	31%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	42	39→40	51→45	49	202/274/291	88	241	7	11	19%	7%	62	-1.4	201/261/287	86	290	7	8	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	46→50	53→55	51	214/301/343	129	269	14	20	25%	10%	84	+0.2	213/273/327	114	268	11	17	24%	7%	70	-0.9	205/251/306	101	252	8	18	21%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	54→70	39	222/273/314	92	299	6	7	27%	5%	66	-1.1	222/292/327	105	280	8	19	23%	7%	77	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A	22	43→40	41→40	54→50	45	207/278/303	97	283	8	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	199/257/265	66	283	5	7	29%	7%	49	-2.4	190/244/239	49	270	5	5	30%	6%	36	-2.2
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Max Wagner 2023 · A	21	46→38	41→50	53→50	44	218/294/323	105	304	8	9	29%	7%	77	-0.3	197/265/314	117	297	11	16	35%	7%	64	-1.3	191/259/328	137	284	16	13	37%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7

Juan Ortega

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps