Heriberto RinconOF FCL Mets
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION149 act + 99 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .242 / .257
PA99
HR1
SB6
K%28
BB%5
BABIP264
ISO64
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -22.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +3.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +7.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -1.40-1.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.9M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 196176 39511 13595 173 222294278572 57322 307 250 50
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 196166 50711 23395 173 301402373776 72383 2012 355 130
202418 ROKDSL Mets Orange 167148 25221 13382 136 169245230475 61212 238 209 18
202418 ROKDSL Mets Orange 167140 29321 19262 136 207307279585 71239 1611 268 63
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 206191 45922 13462 346 236291335626 99301 226 270 65
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 206185 581132 19302 346 314383438821 124366 159 368 140
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKNYM 149140 25202 3504 162 179218236453 57256 342 195 7 -16 +2 +0 -1 +4 -1.0
YTD20 ROKNYM 149139 34303 4354 162 245286331617 86301 233 276 70 -5 +2 +0 -1 +4 0.1
ROS20 ROKNYM 0% 9993 18301 5281 61 193242257499 64271 285 240 42 -7 +1 -0 -1 +3 -0.4
ROS20 MLBNYM 0% 01 0000 000 00 271 229 33 -0 -0
FULL20 ROKNYM 149141 25202 3504 162 177218234452 57253 342 195 7 -16 +2 +0 -1 +4 -1.0
TOT20 ROKNYM 248233 43503 8785 223 184227244472 60259 313 213 21 -22 +3 -0 -1 +7 -1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBNYM 34% 276255 53815 15744 102 208263306569 98274 275 258 55 -14 +1 -0 -2 +8 -0.7
202822 MLBNYM 48% 383353 761228 221015 122 215271329600 113277 266 270 65 -15 +2 -1 -2 +11 -0.6
202923 MLBNYM 54% 453417 9214211 271176 143 221278343621 122279 266 279 71 -15 +2 -1 -3 +13 -0.4
203024 MLBNYM 55% 499458 10316313 311287 143 225284358642 133280 266 284 75 -14 +2 -1 -3 +14 -0.2
203125 MLBNYM 56% 525481 10917314 321357 143 227285362646 135280 266 287 77 -13 +2 -1 -3 +15 -0.1
203226 MLBNYM 56% 539494 11217315 331387 143 227285364649 138280 266 288 79 -13 +2 -1 -3 +15 -0.0
202721 MLBNYM 34% 9589 18302 5261 31 202253303556 101274 275 248 48 -6 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.3
202822 MLBNYM 48% 186171 37614 11492 61 216272333605 117277 266 260 58 -9 +1 -0 -1 +5 -0.4
202923 MLBNYM 54% 246226 50816 15643 71 221279345624 124279 266 269 64 -10 +1 -0 -1 +7 -0.4
203024 MLBNYM 55% 277254 57917 17714 82 224284350634 126280 266 274 68 -10 +1 -0 -2 +8 -0.4
203125 MLBNYM 56% 294270 61928 18754 82 226284363647 137280 266 277 70 -10 +1 -0 -2 +8 -0.3
203226 MLBNYM 56% 303277 631028 19784 82 227287365651 137280 266 278 71 -10 +1 -0 -2 +9 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 14011288 28645735 8536318 409 222280349629 127280 266 271 65 -55 +4 -2 -8 +40 -2.1
/ 162G 650598 13221316 391688 194 221278346624 125278 266 271 65 -25 +2 -1 -4 +18 -1.0
Career 33433066 6721031971 20486446 14832 219278335613 115279 266 273 67 -125 +17 -4 -20 +95 -3.8
/ 162G 650596 13120414 401689 296 220280337617 117280 266 273 67 -24 +3 -1 -4 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 196166 50711 23395 173 301402373776 72383 2012 355 130 +7 +2 +6 1.5
202418 ROKDSL Mets Orange 167140 29321 19262 136 207307279585 71239 1611 268 63 -7 +0 +5 -0.2
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 206185 581132 19302 346 314383438821 124366 159 368 140 +9 +4 +6 2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,5933648221276342-10+0-1.2-0.6
/1626641520-4.0+0.0-0.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Heriberto Rincon (OGILVIE) 20 20→40 30→50 60 40 184/227/244 60259 322 31% 3% 21 -1.4
Troy Stokes Jr.
2016 · A
20 42→38 38→50 54→55 43 198/270/278 80278 620 29% 7% 53 -1.5 204/274/319 115276 1018 28% 7% 65 -0.7 194/270/326132268131931%8%62-0.7
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Derek Hill
2016 · A
20 42→51 37→50 57→60 43 201/256/274 73272 424 26% 6% 44 -2.1 198/248/270 72310 327 35% 6% 39 -2.5 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
Jeffrey Baez
2014 · A
20 44→43 38→50 58→60 40 209/260/290 82288 527 28% 5% 50 -1.7 202/244/300 98284 822 31% 5% 46 -2.0 196/251/342146261191532%6%58-0.6
Eudy Pina
2011 · A
20 43→48 39→45 56→55 38 207/270/295 88295 622 31% 5% 56 -1.3 194/252/291 97287 812 33% 5% 47 -1.9 220/272/347127311101131%5%67-0.4
Óscar Mercado
2015 · A
20 37→47 37→55 53→60 42 180/237/249 69230 519 23% 5% 30 -3.1 202/248/271 69254 426 21% 5% 40 -2.4 240/303/397157276162219%7%94+1.0
Luke Williams
2018 · A
21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Masyn Winn
2022 · A
20 42→52 40→50 57→55 42 201/257/293 92281 622 30% 7% 50 -1.8 232/286/367 135290 1221 23% 7% 82 +0.5 254/312/374120299111118%7%92+1.0
Victor Soto
2009 · A
20 43 37→45 55→60 43 202/265/282 80275 321 27% 6% 50 -1.7 192/236/264 72278 318 30% 5% 33 -2.9 159/184/2246523522232%3%-4-1.2
Anthony Jimenez
2016 · A
20 46→45 39→45 57→55 45 220/280/313 92263 522 18% 5% 65 -0.7 226/270/328 102322 719 31% 4% 64 -0.8 226/264/33110634381935%4%58-0.6
Jorge Mateo
2015 · A
20 43→46 41→50 60→65 44 207/270/305 98282 730 28% 7% 58 -1.2 205/250/310 105293 737 31% 5% 50 -1.7 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Tito Polo
2016 · A
21 43→50 38→45 56→60 40 207/261/291 84276 526 26% 5% 51 -1.7 223/277/331 108297 1027 27% 5% 68 -0.5 225/280/337113299113228%5%68-0.3
Manuel Hilario
2012 · A
20 41 39→45 53→55 49 191/292/282 91255 518 25% 9% 64 -0.8 206/275/300 94272 617 25% 7% 60 -1.0 200/260/2929325962024%6%49-0.6
Kenny Wilson
2010 · A
20 35→45 37→40 56→60 37 170/241/239 69279 427 38% 6% 30 -3.1 179/252/238 59281 327 34% 7% 34 -2.8 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
Cameron Cauley
2023 · A
20 39→42 37→50 60 37 183/239/254 71300 428 38% 6% 31 -3.0 192/245/311 119312 1226 40% 6% 50 -1.8 199/253/334135284133034%7%56-0.9
Monte Harrison
2016 · A
20 39→44 38→50 56→60 37 179/258/254 75309 521 40% 7% 42 -2.3 195/255/306 111321 1116 40% 5% 53 -1.5 206/263/349143355183144%5%64-0.5
Lane Adams
2010 · A
20 44→46 35→50 57→60 41 198/263/261 63321 218 37% 8% 44 -2.1 209/258/301 92302 712 31% 6% 52 -1.6 228/279/363136311163631%6%74-0.0
Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A
20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
Gilberto Celestino
2019 · A
20 43→53 38→45 52→55 41 206/254/285 79277 512 27% 6% 46 -2.0 219/275/319 100284 88 25% 7% 64 -0.8 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0