Wilmer Lugo
P
FCL Mets
Age 20
LHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%22.4%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 11 | 7 | 32 | 168 | 37 | 28 | 0 | 64% | 2.9 | 15.0% | 20.8% | -5.9% | 0.0% | 3.94 | 4.47 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 11 | 7 | 32 | 168 | 37 | 28 | 0 | 64% | 2.9 | 22.0% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 3.94 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 9 | 0 | 11 | 61 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 8.9% | 38.9% | -30.0% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 7.28 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 9 | 0 | 11 | 61 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.1% | 31.1% | -18.0% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 6.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 10 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.7% | 21.6% | -5.9% | 2.7% | 7.30 | 5.99 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 23 | 107 | 25 | 17 | 2 | — | — | 23.5% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 6.03 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 7 | 55 | 291 | 40 | 72 | 2 | 23% | 1.8 | 13.9% | 24.8% | -10.9% | 0.6% | 5.69 | 5.39 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 25 | 200 | 1052 | 146 | 261 | 6 | 23% | 1.8 | 13.9% | 24.8% | -10.9% | 0.6% | 5.69 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilmer Lugo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.39 | 22.9% | 12.7% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Denny Bentley L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 84 |
| Harry Gustin L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 83 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 83 |
| Connor Curlis L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 82 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 80 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 80 |
| Zach Morris L 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 79 |
| Vance Tatum L 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .319 | 5.18 | 15.6% | 2.3% | 85 | +0.14 | 4.80 | 116 | 79 |
| Drew Harrington L 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 79 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 79 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 78 |
| Oddanier Mosqueda L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.65 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.15 | 25.7% | 14.1% | 106 | +0.50 | 3.05 | 433 | 78 |
| Sean Mellen L 2029 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 78 |
| Evan Sisk L 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.51 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 1.1% | .293 | 3.93 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 114 | +0.42 | 1.98 | 417 | 77 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2029 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 77 |
| Chase Watkins L 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 77 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2029 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 76 |
| Johnathan Frebis L 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .245 | 4.25 | 9.7% | -0.6% | 124 | +0.44 | 3.81 | 146 | 76 |
| Garvin Alston L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 76 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 76 |