Luis Guevara

SS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 167 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Orioles O…	144	.273/.433/.318	0	20	55	—	.185/.312/.218
2025	19	ABAL	91	.243/.386/.314	0	6	88	—	.240/.352/.307
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBAL	201	.211/.289/.295	2	6	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBAL	54	.219/.296/.316	1	2	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBBAL	136	.223/.300/.329	2	5	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

Speed92

wRC+73

BB%72

Chase%71

K%70

Z-Con%68

CompsJose Salas (age 21) · Brainer Bonaci (age 20) · Carlos Jimenez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .286 / .292

PA76

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	160	129	41	6	1	0	28	24	2	16	5	318	447	380	826	62	387	15	18	382	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	110	30	5	0	0	28	21	3	20	1	273	433	318	751	45	326	15	19	353	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	70	17	1	2	0	13	18	4	6	2	243	386	314	701	71	315	20	14	321	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	160	138	29	4	1	0	19	31	2	16	5	210	314	254	568	43	266	19	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	119	22	4	0	0	19	26	3	20	1	185	312	218	531	34	219	18	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	75	18	1	2	0	9	25	4	6	2	240	352	307	659	67	322	27	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	160	138	29	4	1	0	19	31	2	16	5	210	314	254	568	43	269	19	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	160	129	41	6	1	0	28	24	2	16	5	318	447	380	826	62	387	15	18	382	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	119	22	4	0	0	19	26	3	20	1	185	312	218	531	34	229	18	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	110	30	5	0	0	28	21	3	20	1	273	433	318	751	45	326	15	19	353	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	75	18	1	2	0	9	25	4	6	2	240	352	307	659	67	346	27	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	70	17	1	2	0	13	18	4	6	2	243	386	314	701	71	315	20	14	321	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	160	138	29	4	1	0	19	31	2	16	5	210	314	254	568	43	266	19	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	121	22	4	0	0	19	26	3	20	1	182	312	215	527	33	219	18	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	78	18	1	2	0	9	25	4	6	2	231	352	295	647	64	322	27	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	144	121	22	4	0	0	19	26	3	20	1	182	312	215	527	33	219	18	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	91	78	18	1	2	0	9	25	4	6	2	231	352	295	647	64	322	27	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	201	179	38	6	2	2	17	54	3	6	1	211	289	295	583	83	287	27	8	268	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	156	140	30	5	1	2	13	41	2	5	1	216	293	310	603	94	288	26	8	275	72	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	280	250	55	9	2	4	24	73	4	9	2	220	297	322	619	103	289	26	9	281	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	370	331	74	12	3	6	31	95	5	12	2	223	300	333	632	110	291	26	8	287	80	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	423	378	85	14	3	8	36	108	6	14	2	225	302	341	642	116	291	26	9	290	83	-9	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	456	408	93	15	4	9	39	116	6	15	2	226	303	347	650	120	291	25	9	293	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	471	422	95	15	4	9	40	120	6	16	3	225	302	344	646	119	290	25	8	292	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	477	427	96	15	4	9	41	123	6	15	3	224	300	340	640	116	290	26	9	289	82	-10	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	473	424	95	15	4	9	40	123	6	15	3	221	298	334	631	112	288	26	8	286	80	-11	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	467	419	91	14	3	8	39	123	6	14	3	219	294	327	621	108	287	26	8	282	77	-13	+2	-2	+5	+10	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	455	409	87	14	3	7	38	122	5	13	3	215	289	317	607	103	284	27	8	276	73	-15	+1	-3	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	54	48	11	2	0	1	5	14	1	2	0	219	296	316	612	97	292	26	9	279	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	136	122	27	4	1	2	11	35	2	5	1	223	300	329	628	106	293	26	8	285	77	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	195	173	39	6	2	3	17	50	3	7	1	226	303	340	642	113	295	26	9	291	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	231	206	47	8	2	4	20	59	3	8	1	228	305	348	653	120	295	26	9	295	83	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	254	227	52	8	2	5	22	65	3	8	1	230	306	355	661	124	295	26	9	298	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	259	232	53	9	2	5	22	66	3	9	1	229	305	352	657	123	294	25	8	296	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	261	234	53	9	2	5	22	67	3	8	1	227	303	347	651	120	294	26	8	294	82	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	252	226	51	8	2	5	21	66	3	8	1	225	301	341	642	116	292	26	8	290	80	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	266	239	53	8	2	5	22	70	3	8	1	222	297	334	631	112	291	26	8	286	77	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	271	244	53	8	2	5	22	73	3	8	2	218	292	324	616	106	288	27	8	280	73	-9	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2179	1951	439	70	17	40	184	565	27	71	10	225	301	340	640	115	294	26	8	290	78	-52	+10	-4	+23	+47	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	131	21	5	12	55	169	8	21	3	225	301	340	641	115	295	26	8	290	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4499	4009	885	139	35	72	394	1146	62	172	32	221	300	327	627	106	289	25	9	284	78	-100	+16	-7	+44	+89	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	127	20	5	10	57	166	9	25	5	219	299	323	622	104	288	26	9	284	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,255	39	72	222	295	334	+24	+18	4.1	3.8
/162	664	12	21	+7.1	+5.3	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guevara (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/286/292	83	287	1	2	27%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Salas 2024 · A	21	40→43	39→45	54→55	40	194/259/277	83	275	7	21	31%	6%	53	-2.1	187/243/287	100	281	10	20	35%	5%	49	-2.4	173/229/282	108	262	12	23	37%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2021 · A	21	43	38→40	54→55	44	205/266/286	81	277	4	14	26%	7%	57	-1.8	189/254/294	105	346	10	13	44%	8%	55	-1.9	165/238/268	103	295	10	15	44%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	193/258/302	109	254	8	22	26%	7%	58	-1.7	195/272/314	119	297	11	25	35%	8%	67	-1.1	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	41→45	41→45	54→50	39	200/255/302	102	297	8	15	34%	6%	57	-1.8	205/269/312	107	318	9	14	36%	8%	65	-1.2	199/269/311	112	312	11	14	37%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	217/271/293	76	299	5	21	28%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/264	57	287	2	13	26%	7%	53	-2.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Blake Perkins 2019 · A	22	45→51	38→50	51→55	45	212/282/289	77	303	5	17	30%	8%	64	-1.3	197/268/292	95	285	9	16	32%	8%	59	-1.6	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	42→47	36→45	46→55	44	199/262/261	62	279	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	203/271/281	78	291	6	12	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Robert Moore 2024 · A	22	41→44	40→45	48→50	44	198/265/297	99	262	7	16	26%	7%	60	-1.6	204/268/313	109	256	10	14	23%	7%	65	-1.2	196/264/316	120	235	12	13	22%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3

Luis Guevara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps