Starlyn Nunez — OGILVIE

Starlyn NunezSS Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 155 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .227 / .298

PA187

HR4

SB6

K%37

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.9M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	215	203	49	8	2	4	8	43	4	7	5	241	284	360	643	118	288	20	4	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	215	194	63	12	3	4	17	29	4	7	5	325	391	479	870	155	366	13	8	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	134	119	19	5	1	3	10	33	2	5	1	160	237	294	531	134	186	25	7	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	134	114	26	8	2	3	15	24	2	5	1	228	328	412	741	184	256	18	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	416	79	19	4	8	16	136	8	21	6	190	234	312	547	123	257	31	4	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	405	101	24	8	8	27	91	8	21	6	249	309	407	716	158	300	20	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	BOS	—	281	260	43	8	2	8	16	122	2	12	5	165	219	304	523	138	263	43	6	225	30	-22	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.1
YTD	20	A	BOS	—	281	251	57	11	3	10	25	86	2	12	5	227	302	414	717	187	297	31	9	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+3	+8	1.1
ROS	20	A	BOS	0%	187	174	31	7	1	4	9	70	2	6	2	178	227	298	525	120	269	37	5	242	43	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	237	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	BOS	—	281	261	43	8	2	8	16	122	2	12	5	165	219	303	522	138	261	43	6	225	30	-22	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.1
TOT	20	A	BOS	—	468	434	74	15	3	12	25	192	4	18	7	170	222	302	524	131	265	41	5	232	35	-34	+1	+0	+5	+13	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	524	484	94	19	4	14	29	185	6	11	4	194	249	337	585	143	274	35	6	257	55	-27	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	577	532	105	21	4	16	34	195	6	12	4	197	253	342	596	145	276	34	6	268	63	-24	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	613	563	115	23	5	18	38	202	7	13	5	204	263	359	622	155	277	33	6	275	69	-22	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.3
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	627	575	120	24	5	19	40	203	7	13	5	209	268	367	635	158	279	32	6	279	72	-20	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.5
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	634	581	121	24	5	20	41	204	7	13	5	208	269	370	639	162	279	32	6	281	73	-19	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.6
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	639	586	122	24	5	20	41	206	7	13	5	208	268	369	637	160	279	32	6	282	74	-19	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2033	27	MLB	BOS	60%	637	583	121	24	5	20	42	206	7	12	4	208	269	369	638	161	279	32	7	282	74	-19	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2034	28	MLB	BOS	62%	631	577	118	23	4	20	42	205	7	12	4	205	267	362	629	158	278	32	7	281	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2035	29	MLB	BOS	57%	621	567	116	23	4	19	42	203	7	11	4	205	268	360	628	155	277	33	7	280	72	-19	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.4
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	180	166	33	7	1	5	10	64	2	4	1	199	253	343	596	145	279	36	6	252	51	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	280	258	53	11	2	8	17	95	3	6	2	205	263	357	619	151	282	34	6	263	60	-13	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	332	305	63	13	2	10	20	109	4	7	2	207	264	361	625	154	284	33	6	271	65	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	348	319	67	14	2	11	22	113	4	7	3	210	270	370	639	160	285	32	6	275	69	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	355	325	68	14	2	11	23	115	4	7	3	209	270	366	636	157	285	32	6	277	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	359	329	69	14	2	11	23	116	4	7	3	210	270	365	634	155	285	32	6	278	71	-12	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB	BOS	60%	380	348	74	15	3	12	25	123	4	7	3	213	273	376	650	164	285	32	7	278	71	-12	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2034	28	MLB	BOS	62%	389	356	75	15	3	12	26	126	4	7	3	211	272	371	643	160	284	32	7	277	70	-13	+0	-0	+4	+11	0.2
2035	29	MLB	BOS	57%	356	325	68	14	2	11	24	116	4	6	2	209	272	366	638	157	283	33	7	276	69	-12	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2979	2732	570	117	19	91	190	977	33	58	22	209	268	365	634	157	285	33	6	273	67	-110	+3	-1	+32	+84	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	125	26	4	20	41	213	7	13	5	210	268	367	636	158	287	33	6	273	67	-24	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6483	5960	1210	244	49	185	392	2091	77	149	54	203	261	354	615	150	276	32	6	272	67	-245	+8	-2	+69	+184	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	121	24	5	19	39	210	8	15	5	202	261	355	615	152	273	32	6	272	67	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	215	194	63	12	3	4	17	29	4	7	5	325	391	479	870	155	366	13	8	387	154	+13	-1	—	—	+6	1.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	134	114	26	8	2	3	15	24	2	5	1	228	328	412	741	184	256	18	11	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	444	405	101	24	8	8	27	91	8	21	6	249	309	407	716	158	300	20	6	316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+13	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,299	97	66	205	260	358	+35	+18	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	20	13	205	260	358	+7.1	+3.6	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Starlyn Nunez (OGILVIE)	20	40	40	50	25	170/222/302	131	265	12	18	41%	5%	35	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Karexon Sanchez 2009 · A	21	42→48	43→45	48→50	39	208/265/320	111	292	11	11	31%	6%	60	-1.0	211/282/323	112	303	10	11	31%	8%	69	-0.4	222/301/333	110	309	10	11	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Manuel Geraldo 2018 · A	21	38→48	39→40	52→50	32	188/224/268	80	281	8	14	35%	3%	29	-3.2	217/250/299	82	329	7	14	35%	4%	47	-1.9	220/252/297	77	332	6	14	34%	4%	44	-1.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Pedro Chavez 2008 · A	20	39	44→45	48→50	38	198/242/317	119	259	11	9	28%	4%	50	-1.7	200/251/294	94	272	8	8	28%	6%	48	-1.9	179/233/262	83	242	6	8	28%	6%	34	-1.4
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	43→50	52→55	37	212/244/323	111	275	11	11	28%	4%	51	-1.7	239/271/370	131	290	14	24	22%	4%	76	+0.0	235/266/368	133	286	15	29	23%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Robert Moore 2023 · A	21	42→40	41→45	50	42	203/268/305	102	288	9	13	31%	7%	58	-1.2	192/255/288	96	258	8	15	27%	6%	48	-1.9	192/256/302	110	236	11	15	24%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Kaleb Cowart 2012 · A	20	43→52	41→45	48→50	35	207/254/300	93	316	9	8	36%	5%	50	-1.8	220/270/328	108	299	10	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	221/276/341	119	299	10	17	28%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Anderson Tejeda 2018 · A	20	40→39	42→45	50	36	196/241/309	113	298	7	8	36%	5%	46	-2.0	196/243/303	107	321	10	11	40%	5%	46	-2.0	170/219/274	104	287	11	13	43%	5%	26	-1.9
✕Yunior Garcia 2021 · A	20	39→49	42→45	48→30	34	194/242/299	105	301	10	7	38%	5%	45	-2.1	221/271/332	111	330	10	4	34%	5%	66	-0.6	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Noel Cuevas 2012 · A	20	42→49	42→45	48→55	36	208/243/317	108	280	9	11	29%	4%	50	-1.8	220/264/323	103	282	8	19	24%	5%	60	-1.0	241/274/340	99	304	7	12	22%	3%	65	-0.5
✕Marcus Lee Sang 2022 · A	21	40→43	43→45	51→50	35	196/244/306	110	307	11	14	39%	6%	48	-1.9	204/267/321	117	330	12	14	39%	7%	62	-0.9	210/272/336	126	317	13	16	36%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Jose Marquez 2019 · A	21	43	42→50	48→50	39	212/256/319	107	280	8	7	27%	5%	56	-1.3	211/260/311	100	309	9	8	33%	5%	56	-1.3	125/197/206	81	204	13	12	44%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Jean Batista 2012 · A	20	43	40→55	50→45	36	208/238/300	92	279	7	8	28%	4%	42	-2.3	219/243/339	120	283	10	7	26%	3%	55	-1.4	223/237/369	146	276	12	6	24%	1%	58	-0.3
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1