Lenin Mendez — OGILVIE

Lenin Mendez P DSL Brewers Blue

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 193 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%20.1%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%4.0%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	12	0	27	118	26	17	0	0%	2.2	15.0%	18.0%	-3.0%	0.0%	4.72	4.12	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	12	0	27	118	26	17	0	0%	2.2	22.0%	14.4%	7.6%	0.0%	4.72	3.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	17	0	21	96	10	11	1	0%	1.3	7.1%	14.3%	-7.2%	1.8%	2.95	5.31	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	17	0	21	96	10	11	1	0%	1.3	7.1%	14.3%	-7.2%	1.8%	2.95	5.31	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	17	0	21	96	10	11	1	0%	1.3	10.4%	11.5%	-1.0%	1.0%	2.95	4.32	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	17	0	24	120	17	21	2	0%	1.4	9.6%	21.9%	-12.2%	2.2%	8.37	6.29	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	17	0	24	120	17	21	2	0%	1.4	9.6%	21.9%	-12.2%	2.2%	8.37	6.29	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	17	0	24	120	17	21	2	0%	1.4	14.2%	17.5%	-3.3%	1.7%	8.37	5.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIL	13	0	14	59	12	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	16.0%	4.0%	3.0%	5.45	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	21	0	22	93	20	13	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	110	18	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		46	0	72	334	36	61	4	0%	1.6	10.8%	18.3%	-7.5%	1.3%	5.40	5.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	0	200	932	101	171	12	0%	1.6	10.8%	18.3%	-7.5%	1.3%	5.40	5.24	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lenin Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	20.1%	16.0%	3.0%	—	5.05	21.2%	7.4%	22	-0.40	—	—	—
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	92
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	92
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	91
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	91
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	89
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	87
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	87
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	86
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	86
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	86
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	86
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	86