Jesus Anton — OGILVIE

Jesus Anton P FCL Mets

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%23.2%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	10	0	10	63	12	17	3	0%	1.0	13.0%	33.7%	-20.8%	7.7%	14.81	10.49	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	10	0	10	63	12	17	3	0%	1.0	19.0%	27.0%	-7.9%	4.8%	14.81	9.49	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	6	3	10	50	12	14	0	50%	1.6	16.3%	35.0%	-18.7%	0.0%	7.45	6.16	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	6	3	10	50	12	14	0	50%	1.6	16.3%	35.0%	-18.7%	0.0%	7.45	6.16	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	6	3	10	50	12	14	0	50%	1.6	24.0%	28.0%	-4.0%	0.0%	7.45	4.96	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	4	0	2	17	2	10	0	0%	0.4	11.8%	58.8%	-47.1%	0.0%	21.60	9.56	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	4	0	2	17	2	10	0	0%	0.4	11.8%	58.8%	-47.1%	0.0%	21.60	9.56	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	4	0	2	17	2	10	0	0%	0.4	11.8%	58.8%	-47.1%	0.0%	21.60	18.70	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	NYM	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.0%	10.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.5%	12.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.51	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.5%	12.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.5%	12.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.5%	12.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		20	3	22	130	18	49	5	15%	1.1	14.1%	37.5%	-23.4%	3.7%	12.05	8.70	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		185	28	200	1200	169	450	45	15%	1.1	14.1%	37.5%	-23.4%	3.7%	12.05	8.70	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Anton (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.2%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.51	24.1%	12.6%	20	-0.31	—	—	—
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	87
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	85
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	84
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	83
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	83
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	83
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	83
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.43	249	83
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	83
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	82
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	82
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	81
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	81
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	81
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	81
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	81
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	81
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	81
Tyler Mattison R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SU	3.67	24.7%	14.5%	1.5%	.315	3.80	29.0%	15.4%	79	+0.13	3.67	166	81
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	81