Tyler Mattison
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%24.6%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 40 | 164 | 54 | 19 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 4.54 | 3.52 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 40 | 164 | 54 | 19 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 32.9% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 1.2% | 4.54 | 2.47 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 5 | 60 | 240 | 91 | 27 | 5 | 12% | 1.5 | 30.0% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 2.41 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 5 | 60 | 240 | 91 | 27 | 5 | 12% | 1.5 | 37.9% | 11.2% | 26.7% | 2.1% | 2.41 | 2.50 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 37 | 1 | 39 | 172 | 44 | 30 | 4 | 3% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 19.3% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 4.38 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 37 | 1 | 39 | 172 | 44 | 30 | 4 | 3% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 4.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 30 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 44 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 19.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.17 | 5.42 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 51 | 223 | 59 | 38 | 7 | — | — | 26.6% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.12 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 100 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 7 | 175 | 737 | 196 | 119 | 19 | 5% | 1.3 | 26.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 4.28 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 8 | 200 | 842 | 224 | 136 | 21 | 5% | 1.3 | 26.6% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Mattison (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 24.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.52 | 24.5% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 84 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 83 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 82 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 82 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 82 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 81 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 81 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 81 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Kyle Hill R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.6% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .319 | 6.01 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 35 | +2.10 | 3.62 | 156 | 80 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 80 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 80 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 80 |