Andruw Musett — OGILVIE

Andruw MusettC Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 198 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION110 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .279 / .286

PA210

HR3

K%30

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$40M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	164	140	32	4	1	3	18	34	4	1	0	229	333	336	669	107	276	21	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	164	128	37	5	1	3	30	23	4	1	0	289	438	414	852	125	327	14	18	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	244	211	38	7	0	2	25	62	5	1	1	180	282	242	524	62	240	25	10	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	244	197	47	10	0	2	39	42	5	1	1	239	378	320	697	81	288	17	16	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	390	361	66	9	0	7	25	146	2	1	0	183	240	266	506	83	281	37	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	390	345	85	12	0	7	41	97	2	1	0	246	330	342	672	96	321	25	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	BOS	—	110	96	25	4	0	1	12	34	2	1	1	260	355	333	688	73	393	31	11	310	95	-1	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
YTD	20	A	BOS	—	110	89	28	5	0	1	19	24	2	1	1	315	445	404	850	90	422	22	17	392	158	+7	-0	+0	+2	+3	1.2
ROS	20	A	BOS	0%	210	189	39	6	0	3	17	64	2	2	1	206	279	286	565	79	298	30	8	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		305	—	—	262	59	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	BOS	—	110	97	25	4	0	1	12	34	2	1	1	258	355	330	684	72	387	31	11	310	95	-1	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
TOT	20	A	BOS	—	320	285	64	10	0	4	29	98	4	3	2	225	305	302	607	77	326	31	9	280	73	-10	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	452	407	88	14	1	7	37	133	5	4	2	216	290	307	597	91	299	29	8	274	68	-16	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	519	464	103	17	1	10	44	148	6	5	2	222	298	328	625	106	299	29	8	284	75	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	520	465	105	17	1	11	44	145	6	6	2	226	301	338	639	112	300	28	8	290	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	520	464	106	17	1	12	45	143	6	6	2	228	305	347	652	119	300	28	9	294	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	520	464	106	17	1	12	45	142	6	6	2	228	305	347	652	119	300	27	9	296	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	520	463	106	17	1	12	46	142	6	6	2	229	307	348	655	119	300	27	9	296	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2033	27	MLB	BOS	60%	520	463	106	17	1	12	46	142	6	7	2	229	307	348	655	119	300	27	9	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	28	MLB	BOS	62%	520	462	105	17	1	12	47	143	6	6	2	227	307	346	653	119	299	28	9	295	84	-9	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2035	29	MLB	BOS	63%	520	462	105	17	1	12	47	144	6	6	2	227	307	346	653	119	299	28	9	293	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2036	30	MLB	BOS	63%	520	462	104	17	1	11	47	145	6	6	2	225	305	338	643	113	297	28	9	290	80	-11	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2037	31	MLB	BOS	65%	504	449	100	16	1	11	45	143	5	5	2	223	301	336	637	114	295	28	9	286	77	-13	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2038	32	MLB	BOS	65%	489	437	95	15	1	10	44	140	5	5	2	217	296	325	621	108	291	29	9	281	73	-15	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.5
2039	33	MLB	BOS	65%	473	423	89	14	0	9	42	138	5	4	2	210	289	307	597	97	287	29	9	274	68	-17	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.1
2040	34	MLB	BOS	60%	422	378	77	11	0	8	37	126	4	4	1	204	282	296	578	93	282	30	9	266	62	-18	+0	-5	+8	+12	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	BOS	34%	155	139	31	5	0	3	13	46	2	1	1	223	299	324	622	101	306	30	8	270	65	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB	BOS	48%	251	225	51	9	0	5	21	71	3	3	1	227	301	333	635	107	306	28	8	280	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2029	23	MLB	BOS	54%	282	253	59	10	1	6	24	78	3	3	1	233	307	352	659	119	306	28	9	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2030	24	MLB	BOS	55%	288	258	60	10	1	6	25	79	3	3	1	233	308	349	657	116	307	27	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB	BOS	56%	291	261	61	10	1	7	25	80	3	4	1	234	308	360	668	126	307	27	9	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2032	26	MLB	BOS	56%	292	261	61	10	1	7	26	80	3	4	1	234	310	360	670	126	307	27	9	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB	BOS	60%	310	276	65	11	1	7	28	85	3	4	1	236	313	359	671	123	307	27	9	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2034	28	MLB	BOS	62%	321	285	66	11	1	7	29	88	4	4	1	232	311	351	662	119	306	27	9	292	81	-7	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.8
2035	29	MLB	BOS	63%	326	290	67	11	1	7	29	90	4	4	1	231	310	348	658	117	305	28	9	290	80	-7	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.7
2036	30	MLB	BOS	63%	330	293	66	11	0	7	30	92	4	4	1	225	306	334	640	109	304	28	9	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2037	31	MLB	BOS	65%	328	292	66	11	0	7	30	93	3	4	1	226	305	336	640	110	301	28	9	283	75	-9	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2038	32	MLB	BOS	65%	318	283	62	10	0	6	29	91	3	3	1	219	298	318	616	99	298	29	9	278	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2039	33	MLB	BOS	65%	307	274	59	9	0	6	27	90	3	3	1	215	293	314	607	99	294	29	9	271	66	-12	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.0
2040	34	MLB	BOS	60%	255	228	48	7	0	5	23	76	2	2	1	211	289	307	596	96	288	30	9	263	59	-12	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4054	3619	822	135	7	86	359	1139	43	46	14	227	304	340	644	112	305	28	9	284	76	-112	+4	-12	+72	+115	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	132	22	1	14	58	183	7	7	2	228	305	341	647	114	306	28	9	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8027	7164	1570	249	13	164	701	2280	91	81	29	219	297	326	623	107	295	28	9	283	74	-232	+5	-20	+143	+227	12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	127	20	1	13	57	185	7	7	2	219	297	324	621	105	295	28	9	283	74	-19	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	164	128	37	5	1	3	30	23	4	1	0	289	438	414	852	125	327	14	18	387	154	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2024	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	72	60	12	2	0	0	9	19	2	0	0	200	324	233	557	33	286	26	12	269	64	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	172	137	35	8	0	2	30	23	3	1	1	255	400	358	758	102	289	13	17	350	126	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2025	19	A+	Greenville Drive	—	69	61	12	2	0	1	7	22	0	0	0	197	279	279	558	82	282	32	10	256	54	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	321	284	73	10	0	6	34	75	2	1	0	257	341	356	696	99	328	23	11	318	102	+1	+0	—	—	+9	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,375	91	47	222	295	331	+78	+36	8.1	7.1
	/162	664	14	7	222	295	331	+11.9	+5.5	1.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andruw Musett (OGILVIE)	20	40	30	40	40	225/305/302	77	326	4	3	31%	9%	73	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	50	-1.8	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	42→52	38→40	39→50	43	202/259/282	81	260	5	4	24%	6%	48	-1.9	205/262/300	95	269	8	5	26%	6%	54	-1.4	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/270	70	282	5	5	29%	7%	44	-2.1	202/252/250	48	271	3	6	25%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	45→50	44	205/265/285	81	267	6	7	25%	6%	51	-1.7	184/229/259	75	281	5	5	35%	5%	28	-3.2	142/174/195	54	228	4	4	38%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Luis Cruz 2013 · A	20	44	39→40	44→45	43	213/263/291	78	265	6	5	22%	5%	51	-1.7	221/272/313	92	282	8	5	24%	5%	61	-1.0	224/267/291	67	318	4	1	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→51	39→45	41→45	44	215/285/308	93	302	6	4	29%	7%	66	-0.6	195/267/273	78	284	4	5	30%	8%	50	-1.8	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A	20	43	35→40	44→55	46	200/269/256	56	264	2	6	24%	7%	46	-2.0	224/284/297	73	278	4	11	19%	7%	62	-0.9	227/289/294	67	277	3	14	18%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Matt Kennelly 2009 · A	20	42	40	41→40	36	209/242/299	90	279	8	3	28%	4%	44	-2.1	207/252/283	76	284	6	2	28%	5%	44	-2.1	217/271/305	88	273	7	2	22%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	40	38→40	45→40	39	194/247/263	69	280	6	5	32%	6%	37	-2.6	179/229/253	74	344	5	6	46%	6%	27	-3.3	135/180/213	77	254	5	6	47%	5%	-6	-1.3
✕Rafael De La Cruz 2011 · A	20	39	37→30	41→50	38	188/253/261	73	270	5	6	31%	5%	40	-2.4	198/267/278	80	279	6	8	29%	6%	51	-1.7	182/257/253	71	253	5	8	28%	6%	39	-0.7
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Cutter Dykstra 2009 · A	20	44→53	42→40	41→55	45	214/279/314	100	286	9	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	208/267/286	78	293	7	14	29%	7%	52	-1.6	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	40	40	40→30	35	195/235/283	88	285	8	3	34%	4%	37	-2.6	202/248/286	84	285	7	3	30%	5%	44	-2.1	192/240/269	77	263	7	0	28%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Joshual Ramirez 2016 · A	20	44	36→30	44→50	41	209/258/275	66	277	4	9	25%	5%	45	-2.1	196/245/277	81	273	4	8	28%	5%	40	-2.4	154/194/243	89	210	3	6	27%	4%	7	-1.1