Anielson Buten — OGILVIE

Anielson Buten2B Daytona Tortugas

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†30

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .246 / .289

PA110

HR1

K%34

BB%4

BABIP305

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	218	202	32	4	1	4	10	97	4	10	5	158	213	248	460	89	272	44	5	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	218	195	49	7	1	5	17	66	4	10	5	251	324	374	698	123	349	30	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	166	149	28	8	1	1	10	52	4	12	3	188	258	275	533	87	278	31	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	166	143	43	12	1	2	16	33	4	12	3	301	387	441	827	140	376	20	10	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	163	151	25	4	2	0	5	68	3	8	3	166	208	219	426	53	291	42	3	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	163	149	42	6	5	1	7	48	3	8	3	282	327	409	736	128	398	29	4	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	166	155	30	4	1	0	6	67	4	14	3	194	242	232	475	39	341	40	4	210	19	-15	+2	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
YTD	20	A	CIN	—	166	153	39	6	2	0	8	47	4	14	3	255	309	320	629	65	368	28	5	286	77	-4	+2	+0	+1	+5	0.3
ROS	20	A	CIN	0%	110	103	21	4	1	1	4	38	2	4	1	203	246	289	536	87	291	34	4	224	30	-9	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	213	21	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CIN	—	166	156	30	4	1	0	6	67	4	14	3	192	242	231	473	38	337	40	4	210	19	-15	+2	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
TOT	20	A	CIN	—	276	258	51	8	2	1	10	105	6	18	4	197	244	255	499	58	325	38	4	216	23	-24	+2	+0	+1	+8	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CIN	34%	300	278	55	10	2	3	14	100	5	8	2	198	249	281	530	83	292	33	5	242	44	-19	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.9
2028	22	MLB	CIN	48%	402	373	77	14	3	6	20	129	6	9	2	206	258	308	566	102	293	32	5	255	53	-21	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.8
2029	23	MLB	CIN	54%	464	430	90	16	3	8	24	146	7	10	3	209	262	316	579	107	294	31	5	262	59	-22	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.6
2030	24	MLB	CIN	55%	506	466	100	18	4	10	27	157	8	11	3	215	269	335	604	120	295	31	5	267	62	-22	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	527	486	103	18	4	10	28	163	8	11	3	212	266	327	593	115	295	31	5	268	63	-22	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
2032	26	MLB	CIN	56%	538	496	107	19	4	11	29	166	8	11	3	216	270	337	607	121	295	31	5	269	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	CIN	34%	103	95	20	4	1	1	5	34	2	3	1	211	265	305	570	95	294	33	5	233	36	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	CIN	48%	195	180	37	7	1	3	10	63	3	5	1	206	259	306	565	100	295	32	5	245	46	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2029	23	MLB	CIN	54%	252	233	50	9	2	5	13	79	4	6	1	215	268	335	603	120	296	31	5	253	52	-14	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2030	24	MLB	CIN	55%	280	259	55	10	2	5	15	87	4	6	2	212	266	324	591	112	297	31	5	258	56	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2031	25	MLB	CIN	56%	295	272	59	11	2	6	16	91	5	6	2	217	273	338	611	121	297	31	5	259	57	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2032	26	MLB	CIN	56%	303	279	60	11	2	6	16	94	5	6	2	215	270	333	603	118	297	31	5	260	57	-15	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1428	1319	281	52	10	26	75	448	23	32	9	213	268	327	594	114	299	31	5	254	53	-76	+3	+0	+5	+40	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	129	24	5	12	34	204	10	15	4	215	268	332	600	117	302	31	5	254	53	-35	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	3394	3134	638	115	25	54	171	1116	55	94	28	204	257	308	565	104	294	33	5	253	52	-186	+8	+0	+12	+96	-7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	122	22	5	10	33	214	11	18	5	203	258	307	564	103	295	33	5	253	52	-36	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	218	195	49	7	1	5	17	66	4	10	5	251	324	374	698	123	349	30	8	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	166	143	43	12	1	2	16	33	4	12	3	301	387	441	827	140	376	20	10	365	138	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	163	149	42	6	5	1	7	48	3	8	3	282	327	409	736	128	398	29	4	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,616	27	35	209	259	316	+6	+4	-2.6	-1.3
	/162	664	11	14	209	259	316	+2.4	+1.6	-1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anielson Buten (OGILVIE)	20	35	30	50	20	197/244/255	58	325	1	18	38%	4%	23	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	30	-3.1	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	54	-1.4	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Jose Luis Javier 2013 · A	20	41	35→30	50→55	37	191/246/254	63	301	3	14	35%	6%	34	-2.8	212/266/279	67	314	3	16	31%	6%	50	-1.8	221/273/277	56	320	2	24	30%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Wilson Amador 2017 · A	20	37	35→30	51→55	36	176/234/241	65	268	2	15	34%	5%	27	-3.3	202/245/275	73	305	4	16	33%	5%	39	-2.5	199/227/257	58	297	2	29	33%	3%	23	-1.1
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	24	-3.5	210/246/289	79	308	4	16	32%	4%	43	-2.2	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Nicolas Febres 2018 · A	19	38	36→30	51→45	33	181/234/249	68	298	3	8	38%	4%	29	-3.2	201/274/256	55	248	1	6	18%	8%	47	-1.9	195/278/231	36	232	0	5	14%	9%	40	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	42	35→40	49→55	39	194/266/258	65	295	2	13	33%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/276	76	262	2	14	23%	8%	53	-1.5	189/270/269	79	238	1	19	19%	9%	46	-0.6
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44→41	36→40	49→50	42	206/276/277	71	285	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.4	220/288/301	81	285	6	13	24%	6%	66	-0.6	212/286/289	77	272	6	14	22%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Edwin Ventura 2018 · A	20	42	35→30	52→55	39	198/239/256	58	257	3	9	24%	4%	31	-3.0	194/248/246	52	266	2	16	26%	6%	33	-2.9	176/234/198	22	242	0	27	25%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1