Anielson Buten — OGILVIE

Anielson Buten2B Daytona Tortugas

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .100 / .100

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%4

BABIP311

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	218	195	49	7	1	5	17	66	4	10	5	251	324	374	698	123	349	30	8	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	166	143	43	12	1	2	16	33	4	12	3	301	387	441	827	140	376	20	10	365	133	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	163	149	42	6	5	1	7	48	3	8	3	282	327	409	736	128	398	29	4	320	102	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	218	202	33	4	1	4	10	96	4	10	5	163	218	252	470	89	267	44	5	201	22	-20	+0	—	—	+5	-1.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	166	149	30	8	1	1	10	50	4	12	3	201	270	289	559	87	279	30	6	245	52	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	163	151	28	4	3	1	5	68	3	8	3	185	226	272	498	86	293	42	3	202	23	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	218	202	33	4	1	4	10	96	4	10	5	163	218	252	470	89	279	44	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	218	195	49	7	1	5	17	66	4	10	5	251	324	374	698	123	349	30	8	314	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	166	149	30	8	1	1	10	50	4	12	3	201	270	289	559	87	293	30	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	166	143	43	12	1	2	16	33	4	12	3	301	387	441	827	140	376	20	10	365	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	163	151	28	4	3	1	5	68	3	8	3	185	226	272	498	86	318	42	3	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	163	149	42	6	5	1	7	48	3	8	3	282	327	409	736	128	398	29	4	320	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	218	202	33	4	1	4	10	96	4	10	5	163	218	252	470	89	267	44	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	166	151	30	8	1	1	10	50	4	12	3	199	270	285	555	86	279	30	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	163	154	28	4	3	1	5	68	3	8	3	182	226	266	493	84	293	42	3	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	218	202	33	4	1	4	10	96	4	10	5	163	218	252	470	89	267	44	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	166	151	30	8	1	1	10	50	4	12	3	199	270	285	555	86	279	30	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	163	154	28	4	3	1	5	68	3	8	3	182	226	266	493	84	293	42	3	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	CIN	—	303	284	57	10	1	0	11	127	5	20	4	201	243	243	486	42	363	42	4	215	31	-25	+2	+0	+1	+7	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CIN	—	59	54	13	5	1	0	3	17	2	6	2	241	305	370	675	130	351	29	5	304	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	CIN	—	244	226	59	8	1	0	12	72	3	14	2	261	307	305	612	44	383	30	5	278	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	CIN	0%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		309	40	0	220	35	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	CIN	—	313	294	58	10	1	0	11	131	5	20	4	197	239	238	477	41	356	42	4	215	31	-26	+2	+0	+1	+7	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	326	303	61	11	2	3	15	116	5	8	2	201	251	281	531	79	307	36	5	240	49	-20	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	421	391	81	15	2	6	21	144	6	10	2	207	258	302	560	95	307	34	5	253	58	-21	+1	+0	+2	+9	-1.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	478	443	94	17	3	8	25	160	7	11	3	212	265	318	584	106	307	33	5	262	63	-21	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	514	475	102	18	3	10	27	169	7	11	3	215	267	328	596	114	307	33	5	267	67	-20	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	533	492	106	19	3	10	29	175	7	11	3	215	269	327	596	112	307	33	5	268	68	-20	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.6
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	112	104	21	4	1	1	5	40	2	3	1	202	252	288	541	87	310	36	4	233	49	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	204	189	39	7	1	3	10	70	3	5	1	206	257	302	559	95	310	34	5	247	58	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	259	240	51	9	1	5	13	86	4	6	1	212	265	321	585	108	310	33	5	256	63	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	285	264	58	10	2	6	15	94	4	6	1	220	272	341	613	121	311	33	5	261	67	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	298	276	61	11	2	6	16	98	4	6	1	221	274	341	614	120	311	33	5	263	68	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1158	1073	230	41	7	21	59	388	17	26	5	214	266	324	591	110	312	34	5	255	56	-51	+3	+0	+4	+25	-1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	129	23	4	12	33	218	10	15	3	214	267	326	592	111	312	34	5	255	56	-29	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2829	2616	536	96	18	43	142	982	43	81	24	205	257	305	562	100	306	35	5	251	56	-104	+5	+0	+8	+49	-4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	123	22	4	10	33	226	10	19	6	205	258	304	562	100	306	35	5	251	56	-30	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,363	21	30	208	256	309	+5	+3	-2.1	-1.0
/162	664	10	15	+2.4	+1.5	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anielson Buten (OGILVIE)	20	35	30	50	20	189/232/246	58	309	1	8	38%	4%	35	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Jose Luis Javier 2013 · A	20	41	35→30	50→55	37	191/246/254	63	301	3	14	35%	6%	42	-2.9	212/266/279	67	314	3	16	31%	6%	55	-1.9	221/273/277	56	320	2	24	30%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	49	-2.4	216/267/279	63	314	3	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Wilson Amador 2017 · A	20	37	35→30	51→55	36	176/234/241	65	268	2	15	34%	5%	35	-3.4	202/245/275	73	305	4	16	33%	5%	46	-2.6	199/227/257	58	297	2	29	33%	3%	32	-1.1
✕Nicolas Febres 2018 · A	19	38	36→30	51→45	33	181/234/249	68	298	3	8	38%	4%	37	-3.3	201/274/256	55	248	1	6	18%	8%	53	-2.1	195/278/231	36	232	0	5	14%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	38	-3.2	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	59	-1.7	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	34	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	55	-1.9	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	38	-3.2	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	178/237/252	75	274	4	2	34%	6%	37	-1.1
✕Omar Hernandez 2023 · A	21	36	36→30	52→55	35	177/219/241	64	266	3	12	34%	5%	28	-3.9	191/240/254	63	261	5	17	27%	5%	40	-3.1	209/245/262	53	279	4	21	26%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	35→32	38→40	48→50	29	176/206/253	77	258	5	7	34%	2%	26	-4.0	189/228/265	76	293	5	8	36%	3%	38	-3.2	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	42	35→40	49→55	39	194/266/258	65	295	2	13	33%	6%	52	-2.2	200/274/276	76	262	2	14	23%	8%	58	-1.7	189/270/269	79	238	1	19	19%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	45	-2.7	193/248/247	54	331	3	5	40%	6%	41	-3.0	176/233/201	25	312	1	2	41%	6%	23	-1.1
✕Julio Garcia 2017 · A	20	36	34→40	52→40	34	175/212/226	51	267	2	12	34%	4%	22	-4.4	188/223/256	68	295	3	4	35%	4%	33	-3.6	171/203/232	61	276	3	2	38%	3%	18	-2.4
✕Carlos George 2009 · A	20	40	35→30	47→50	33	191/221/256	65	283	2	12	32%	3%	32	-3.6	215/244/274	59	289	2	13	25%	3%	45	-2.7	215/237/268	54	293	2	14	27%	2%	38	-1.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	42→41	34→30	51→50	42	199/262/249	50	277	2	16	28%	6%	47	-2.5	210/309/255	45	289	1	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	195/321/224	30	275	1	24	25%	14%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps