Anielson Buten

2B Daytona Tortugas
Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCIN166.301/.387/.44121237—.176/.252/.257
202519ROKCIN163.282/.327/.4091822—.185/.226/.272
202620A/ROKCIN303.257/.307/.31802033—.207/.247/.253
2027PROJMLE21MLBCIN413.201/.239/.2692942-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCIN82.208/.249/.2931250-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCIN160.213/.256/.3102356-0.4
Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed84
Max EV36
Z-Con%30
Whiff%24
BB%23
K%9
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsAlfredo González (age 21) · Omar Hernandez (age 21) · Jesus Villegas (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .237 / .267
PA188
HR1
K%27
BB%4
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.7-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.327283032
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Reds — 218195 49715 17664 105 251324374698 123349 308 314 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Reds — 166143 431212 16334 123 301387441827 140376 2010 365 37 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Reds — 163149 42651 7483 83 282327409736 128398 294 320 22 — — — — — —
202620 ADaytona Tortugas — 244226 59810 12723 142 261307305612 44383 305 278 37 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Reds — 5954 13510 3172 62 241305370675 130351 295 304 14 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 218200 29412 12824 105 145208205413 60221 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 166148 26711 11424 123 176252257508 81230 257 223 37 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 163151 28431 5683 83 185226272498 86292 423 201 22 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 244230 50610 8983 142 217253252505 35371 403 223 37 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Reds — 5955 9310 2242 62 164220255475 91268 413 189 14 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 218200 29412 12824 105 145208205413 60229 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 218195 49715 17664 105 251324374698 123349 308 314 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 166148 26711 11424 123 176252257508 81236 257 223 37 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 166143 431212 16334 123 301387441827 140376 2010 365 37 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 163151 28431 5683 83 185226272498 86318 423 201 22 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Reds — 163149 42651 7483 83 282327409736 128398 294 320 22 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 303285 58910 101225 204 204243242485 39356 403 216 33 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 303280 721320 15895 204 257307318625 61377 295 283 33 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 218200 29412 12824 105 145208205413 60221 386 187 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 166150 26711 11424 123 173252253505 80230 257 223 37 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 163154 28431 5683 83 182226266493 84292 423 201 22 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 303285 58910 101225 204 204243242485 39351 403 216 33 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 166150 26711 11424 123 173252253505 80230 257 223 37 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Reds — 163154 28431 5683 83 182226266493 84292 423 201 22 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 303285 58910 101225 204 204243242485 39351 403 216 33 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECIN 0% 413390 781522 151125 92 201239269508 68273 274 230 42 -29 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECIN 34% 238224 46912 9633 51 207248290537 83275 264 242 50 -14 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.8
202923 MLB MLECIN 48% 330309 661324 14864 72 212255306561 94277 264 252 56 -17 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.8
203024 MLB MLECIN 53% 392367 791526 181014 82 216260318579 102279 265 259 62 -18 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.7
203125 MLB MLECIN 55% 426398 861627 201095 82 218264327591 108280 265 264 65 -18 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.6
203226 MLB MLECIN 56% 444414 901728 221135 82 220267332599 112280 255 268 67 -17 +1 +0 +2 +10 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXCIN 34% 8278 16301 3221 20 208249293541 84276 274 243 50 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202923 MLB CTXCIN 48% 160150 32612 7422 31 213256310566 97278 264 254 56 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.4
203024 MLB CTXCIN 53% 207194 42813 9542 41 217262323585 106279 264 262 62 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
203125 MLB CTXCIN 55% 233217 47914 11603 51 220266332598 112280 265 267 65 -10 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
203226 MLB CTXCIN 56% 247230 50915 12633 51 222269338606 116281 265 271 67 -10 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 929869 18735415 4224111 194 215260316577 101279 265 262 50 -42 +2 +0 +3 +20 -1.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650608 13024310 291698 133 214259312571 99278 264 262 50 -29 +2 +0 +2 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 28682673 5441011632 12883739 9025 204250289540 86281 294 242 50 -97 +4 +0 +7 +44 -4.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650606 1242347 291909 206 205252290542 86283 294 242 50 -31 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 244 PAwOBA .270 → .223 (−47)K% 29.5% → 40.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.51%÷1.000×1.360——40.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.92%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0153.44%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.780—×1.0150.97%
Singles /BIP32.47%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.01531.83%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0154.60%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0150.63%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .270 → .223; ISO .044 → .035; BABIP .383 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Reds · 59 PAwOBA .296 → .189 (−107)K% 28.8% → 41.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.81%÷1.000×1.440——41.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.08%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9853.11%
HBP% /PA3.39%—×0.720—×0.9852.40%
Singles /BIP18.92%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98515.28%
Doubles /BIP13.51%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9859.58%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9851.92%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .189; ISO .130 → .078; BABIP .351 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 163 PAwOBA .317 → .201 (−116)K% 29.4% → 42.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.45%÷1.010×1.440——41.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.29%÷0.931×0.620—×0.9952.84%
HBP% /PA1.84%—×0.720—×0.9951.32%
Singles /BIP29.70%÷1.039×0.820×0.973×0.99522.70%
Doubles /BIP5.94%÷0.963×0.720×0.973×0.9954.30%
Triples /BIP4.95%÷1.150×0.720×0.973×0.9953.00%
Home runs /BIP0.99%÷1.252×0.780—×0.9950.61%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .317 → .201; ISO .128 → .072; BABIP .398 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Reds · 166 PAwOBA .358 → .223 (−135)K% 19.9% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.88%÷0.957×1.220——25.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.64%÷0.994×0.700—×0.9956.75%
HBP% /PA2.41%—×0.700—×0.9951.68%
Singles /BIP25.45%÷1.068×0.680×0.978×0.99515.77%
Doubles /BIP10.91%÷0.960×0.600×0.978×0.9956.63%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.901×0.600×0.978×0.9950.59%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷1.136×0.470—×0.9950.75%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .358 → .223; ISO .140 → .077; BABIP .376 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Reds · 218 PAwOBA .308 → .187 (−121)K% 30.3% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.28%÷0.988×1.220——37.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.80%÷1.026×0.700—×1.0085.36%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.700—×1.0081.29%
Singles /BIP27.91%÷1.015×0.680×0.969×1.00818.25%
Doubles /BIP5.43%÷0.975×0.600×0.969×1.0083.26%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷0.900×0.600×0.969×1.0080.50%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷0.917×0.470—×1.0082.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .308 → .187; ISO .123 → .064; BABIP .349 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).