Eduar Gonzalez

P Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 21 LHP 5'11" / 155 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKTOR	12	11	48	3.78	2.64	24.4%	8.6%	—	K 16.6% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.89
2025	19	ROKTOR	10	1	29	3.99	3.44	17.8%	7.8%	—	K 12.1% · BB 9.7% · FIP 4.41
2026	20	MIX2 levels	7	0	12	8.25	4.68	18.5%	15.4%	—	K 15.1% · BB 15.3% · FIP 5.09
2027PROJ	21	MLBTOR	11	0	12	4.90	4.90	19.3%	11.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTOR	13	0	14	4.70	4.60	20.9%	10.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMatt Osterberg (age 22) · Felix Doubront (age 22) · Harry Gustin (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%19.3%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	36	162	33	16	2	0%	2.4	13.9%	12.3%	1.5%	1.6%	6.00	4.37	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	36	162	33	16	2	0%	2.4	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	1.2%	6.00	3.32	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	12	11	48	209	51	18	2	92%	4.0	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	1.5%	3.78	3.89	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	12	11	48	209	51	18	2	92%	4.0	16.6%	10.8%	5.8%	1.5%	3.78	3.89	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	12	11	48	209	51	18	2	92%	4.0	24.4%	8.6%	15.8%	1.0%	3.78	2.64	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	10	1	29	129	23	10	2	10%	2.9	12.1%	9.7%	2.4%	2.0%	3.99	4.41	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	10	1	29	129	23	10	2	10%	2.9	12.1%	9.7%	2.4%	2.0%	3.99	4.41	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	10	1	29	129	23	10	2	10%	2.9	17.8%	7.8%	10.1%	1.6%	3.99	3.44	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	12	65	12	10	1	0%	1.7	15.1%	15.3%	-0.2%	2.4%	8.25	5.09	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	12	65	12	10	1	0%	1.7	15.1%	15.3%	-0.2%	2.4%	8.25	5.09	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	12	65	12	10	1	0%	1.7	18.5%	15.4%	3.1%	1.5%	8.25	4.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TOR	11	0	12	51	10	6	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.3%	8.1%	3.0%	4.90	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	26	0	28	117	24	12	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	57	12	6	2	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	88	29	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		44	12	125	565	83	65	10	27%	2.8	14.6%	11.5%	3.1%	1.8%	4.90	4.28	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	19	200	904	132	104	16	27%	2.8	14.6%	11.5%	3.1%	1.8%	4.90	4.28	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduar Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	19.3%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.60	20.9%	10.7%	28	-0.30	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	82
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	80
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	80
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	80
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	78
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	78
Ivan Andueza L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	20	SW	3.80	15.0%	9.4%	1.4%	.304	4.44	11.8%	0.2%	104	+0.64	3.80	151	78
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	77
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	77
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	76
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	76
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	76
Rovaldis Cabrera L 2019 · 5.41 FIP	19	SW	5.41	16.0%	10.1%	4.3%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	127	75
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	75
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	75
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	75
Cameron Ming L 2018 · 3.80 FIP	22	SU	3.80	17.7%	7.1%	2.4%	.308	5.54	14.3%	4.9%	49	+1.74	3.80	111	75
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	74
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	74
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	74