Ethan O'Donnell

CF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 192 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AACIN	503	.236/.332/.325	7	20	63	—	.230/.295/.306
2026	24	AAAMIA	238	.226/.357/.303	3	16	63	—	.200/.302/.254
2026	24	AAMIA	177	.233/.343/.393	6	15	74	—	.212/.297/.346
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBMIA	32	.200/.280/.282	0	1	66	-0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	26	MLBMIA	100	.203/.282/.292	2	4	70	-0.0
2029PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBMIA	139	.204/.283/.295	2	6	71	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.2M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%84

Speed72

Max EV53

Chase%37

K%24

Whiff%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsAdam Engel (age 26) · Michael Siani (age 25) · Travis Swaggerty (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .280 / .282

PA32

HR0

K%31

BB%9

BABIP285

ISO34

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	80	28	4	2	4	10	18	4	3	0	350	447	600	1.047	250	414	19	11	456	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	294	200	494		300	29	12	242	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	238	195	44	6	0	3	36	65	4	16	2	226	357	303	660	77	318	27	15	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	177	150	35	6	0	6	21	42	4	15	2	233	343	393	736	160	282	24	12	331	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	83	23	3	2	3	7	24	4	3	0	277	362	470	832	193	345	26	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		241	41	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	372	82	9	5	6	29	137	11	31	5	220	296	320	616	99	323	33	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	444	102	12	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	230	295	306	601	77	310	31	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	238	205	41	5	0	2	26	78	4	16	2	200	302	254	556	54	302	33	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	177	156	33	6	0	5	15	51	4	15	2	212	297	346	643	135	267	29	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	99	25	3	2	3	8	31	4	4	0	253	333	414	747	162	338	28	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	111	95	31	4	2	4	12	23	4	4	0	326	423	537	960	211	397	21	11	423	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	372	82	9	5	6	29	137	11	31	5	220	296	320	616	99	330	33	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	444	102	12	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	230	295	306	601	77	331	31	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	415	362	74	11	0	7	40	129	8	31	4	204	298	293	590	88	293	31	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	415	345	79	12	0	9	57	107	8	31	4	229	351	342	693	113	302	26	14	319	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	98	25	3	2	3	8	31	4	4	0	255	333	418	752	163	329	28	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	372	82	9	5	6	29	137	11	31	5	220	296	320	616	99	323	33	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	457	102	12	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	223	295	298	592	74	310	31	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	74	11	0	7	40	129	8	31	4	203	298	291	589	88	287	31	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	372	82	9	5	6	29	137	11	31	5	220	296	320	616	99	323	33	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	457	102	12	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	223	295	298	592	74	310	31	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	74	11	0	7	40	129	8	31	4	203	298	291	589	88	287	31	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	10%	380	339	70	10	1	6	32	118	6	16	2	206	285	293	578	87	293	31	8	266	66	-15	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	200	280	282	562	82	285	31	9	259	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	28%	364	326	68	10	1	6	30	111	5	15	2	209	288	304	592	95	293	30	8	271	70	-13	+2	+1	+1	+8	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	36%	388	346	73	11	1	7	33	117	6	16	2	210	289	307	596	97	293	30	9	273	71	-14	+2	+1	+1	+8	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	41%	400	357	75	12	1	7	34	120	6	14	2	210	288	308	596	97	292	30	8	273	71	-14	+2	+1	+1	+9	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	43%	400	359	75	12	1	7	33	120	5	12	2	210	287	307	594	97	291	30	8	272	70	-14	+2	-0	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	28%	100	90	19	3	0	2	8	31	2	4	1	203	282	292	575	89	285	31	8	264	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	36%	139	124	25	4	0	2	12	42	2	6	1	204	283	295	578	91	284	30	9	265	71	-5	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	41%	164	147	29	4	0	3	14	49	2	6	1	204	283	295	578	91	283	30	9	265	71	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	43%	171	153	31	5	0	3	14	51	2	5	1	204	282	294	576	91	282	30	8	265	70	-6	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	574	514	104	16	0	10	48	173	8	21	4	202	281	292	573	89	281	30	8	265	69	-20	+3	+1	+2	+12	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	117	18	0	11	54	196	9	24	5	201	279	289	567	88	280	30	8	265	69	-23	+3	+1	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3316	2950	634	89	14	54	268	1020	57	156	22	215	293	309	602	95	306	31	8	271	69	-68	+10	+4	+7	+41	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	17	3	11	53	200	11	31	4	216	294	313	608	97	307	31	8	271	69	-24	+3	+1	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	606	10	22	211	286	307	+2	+4	0.0	0.0
/162	664	11	24	+2.4	+4.4	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan O'Donnell (OGILVIE)	25	35→40	40→45	60	50	204/283/291	86	293	5	13	31%	8%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Siani 2024 · MLB	25	42→45	42→45	58→60	49	208/284/315	107	273	10	28	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/272/289	88	283	8	27	29%	8%	61	-1.5	185/256/260	75	267	6	29	31%	8%	47	-1.5
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	46	44→45	58→55	45	220/286/342	122	307	10	20	30%	8%	78	-0.3	214/279/328	114	315	9	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	185/259/242	57	311	0	9	37%	8%	44	-0.5
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	45	204/273/324	120	272	11	36	28%	8%	70	-0.9	214/277/333	119	287	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	42→45	41→45	54→60	48	208/280/303	96	266	9	18	25%	8%	67	-1.1	229/294/326	97	295	9	19	24%	7%	77	-0.3	228/294/307	79	296	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Dave Krynzel 2007 · MLB	25	42→45	42→45	56→55	40	206/264/315	109	302	9	23	34%	7%	63	-1.3	212/268/322	110	305	11	20	32%	6%	66	-1.1	216/260/302	86	309	8	20	31%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→51	40	55	47	213/284/306	93	295	6	21	28%	9%	69	-0.9	196/255/293	97	281	7	17	31%	7%	55	-2.0	141/190/232	91	199	4	22	30%	6%	16	-1.6
✕Terrell Tatum 2024 · AA	25	46→45	40	59→60	48	206/304/302	97	339	6	30	37%	11%	76	-0.4	196/269/277	81	314	6	28	36%	9%	57	-1.8	178/245/243	65	282	5	33	36%	8%	37	-1.7
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Duke Ellis 2023 · AA	25	43→47	40	60→80	38	207/262/293	86	312	8	37	35%	6%	57	-1.8	216/274/306	90	321	8	53	33%	7%	65	-1.2	238/288/332	95	331	8	94	29%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA	25	45→47	43→45	58→65	39	213/286/324	111	323	10	27	35%	7%	74	-0.5	199/277/288	89	314	8	33	36%	8%	63	-1.4	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Jared Mitchell 2014 · AAA	25	37→46	42→45	54→55	39	174/253/285	110	308	9	17	43%	8%	53	-2.1	198/271/311	113	325	12	17	39%	8%	66	-1.1	193/269/309	116	311	13	17	39%	8%	62	-1.0
✕Jacob Hannemann 2016 · AA	25	43	40→45	58→60	39	208/252/303	95	288	6	19	30%	5%	55	-1.9	206/256/314	108	273	9	25	27%	5%	60	-1.6	191/243/289	98	251	9	29	27%	5%	48	-1.4
✕Collin Burns 2024 · AA	24	44	39→45	55	42	214/269/299	85	280	6	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/262/287	82	281	6	16	28%	6%	56	-1.9	192/249/262	70	263	5	18	27%	5%	42	-1.8
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	45→50	41→40	58→60	48	213/291/313	101	298	7	30	29%	9%	74	-0.6	206/264/301	95	300	9	18	32%	7%	60	-1.6	184/236/257	73	269	8	17	33%	6%	36	-1.1
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	43	43→50	55	42	201/276/319	118	316	10	19	37%	8%	70	-0.9	201/292/340	139	322	14	23	38%	11%	80	-0.1	193/290/335	142	306	15	26	38%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Elijah Dunham 2024 · AAA	26	42→44	47→50	57→60	45	209/284/346	137	283	14	28	30%	8%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	295	14	20	32%	8%	74	-0.5	192/258/336	144	273	14	17	33%	7%	63	-0.6

Ethan O'Donnell

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps