Maxton MartinOF Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION331 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .247 / .342
PA220
HR6
SB5
K%32
BB%5
BABIP262
ISO147
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -30.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-30BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +15.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.3+$4M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER55
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
DEFENSE40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKACL Rangers 4540 6101 5180 00 150244250494 100238 4011 215 23
202318 ROKACL Rangers 4537 9201 8110 00 243378378756 135320 2418 348 124
202419 ROKACL Rangers 153140 20411 10602 60 143211207418 64237 397 197 9
202419 ROKACL Rangers 153135 31722 15412 60 230316356671 126312 2710 303 90
202520 A2 teams 510467 8917510 3016710 150 191254313567 122270 336 249 49
202520 A2 teams 510445 11527714 5211510 150 258349445794 187317 2310 352 127
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+TEX 331309 5811410 171131 113 188232346579 159253 345 248 48 -19 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.1
YTD21 A+TEX 331300 7114513 26841 113 237300447746 210280 258 324 106 +2 +1 +0 -2 +9 1.1
ROS21 A+TEX 0% 220204 40826 12702 51 195247342589 147264 325 259 57 -11 +1 -1 -1 +6 -0.6
ROS21 MLBTEX 0% 11 0000 000 00 265 00 255 53 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+TEX 332310 5811410 171131 113 187232345577 158251 345 248 48 -20 +1 -0 -2 +9 -1.1
TOT21 A+TEX 551513 9819616 291833 164 191238345583 154257 335 253 51 -30 +2 -1 -3 +16 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBTEX 25% 515475 9718515 311564 102 204259358617 154267 306 276 69 -18 +1 -2 -3 +15 -0.7
202823 MLBTEX 38% 559514 10820518 351635 102 210267374641 163270 296 287 78 -14 +1 -2 -3 +16 -0.3
202924 MLBTEX 44% 587538 11722620 391685 102 217277392669 175272 297 294 83 -11 +1 -3 -4 +17 0.1
203025 MLBTEX 47% 602552 12022621 401705 102 217276393669 176273 287 297 86 -10 +1 -3 -4 +17 0.2
203126 MLBTEX 49% 610559 12323622 411735 102 220279401680 181273 287 299 87 -9 +1 -3 -4 +17 0.3
203227 MLBTEX 49% 609557 12222622 421735 102 219280399678 180273 287 299 87 -9 +1 -3 -4 +17 0.3
202722 MLBTEX 25% 129119 25514 8391 20 210266370635 160269 306 272 66 -5 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.2
202823 MLBTEX 38% 214196 42827 14632 41 214274383656 168272 297 282 74 -6 +0 -1 -1 +6 -0.2
202924 MLBTEX 44% 258237 521029 17742 51 219277392670 173274 297 289 79 -6 +1 -1 -2 +7 -0.1
203025 MLBTEX 47% 284261 5811310 19802 51 222280402682 180274 287 293 82 -6 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.0
203126 MLBTEX 49% 300274 6111311 20853 51 223283405688 182274 287 294 83 -6 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.0
203227 MLBTEX 49% 299273 6011311 21853 51 220283403686 183274 287 294 83 -6 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 14851361 298561452 9942613 265 219278395674 176276 297 289 80 -34 +3 -6 -9 +42 -0.4
/ 162G 650596 13125623 431866 112 220279398677 178277 297 289 80 -15 +1 -3 -4 +18 -0.2
Career 44104046 84215742136 285131843 8613 208267368636 160270 306 282 74 -131 +12 -16 -26 +125 -3.7
/ 162G 650596 12423620 421946 132 208267367634 159270 306 282 74 -19 +2 -2 -4 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKACL Rangers 4537 9201 8110 00 243378378756 135320 2418 348 124 +1 +0 +1 0.3
202419 ROKACL Rangers 153135 31722 15412 60 230316356671 126312 2710 303 90 -2 +1 +4 0.4
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers 5243 11212 7142 20 256385488873 233333 2713 387 154 +3 +0 +1 0.5
202520 AHickory Crawdads 458402 10425612 451018 130 259345440785 182315 2210 348 124 +13 +3 +13 2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,4875226218274393-9-120.80.9
/1626642312-4.0-5.40.4pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA
51,798662254298424-18-290.30.3
/162664241-6.6-10.70.1pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA
62,2947319238305421-23-450.00.0
/162664215-6.5-13.20.0pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Maxton Martin (OGILVIE) 21 40 55 45 47 191/238/345 154257 1616 33% 5% 51 -1.8
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
Conner Capel
2018 · A
21 40→46 46→50 49→55 42 204/258/333 129267 1311 28% 6% 61 -1.0 214/265/332 118288 1111 28% 6% 63 -0.8 213/283/334121267131925%8%68-0.4
Jason Martin
2017 · A
21 42→49 45→60 49→50 43 209/267/335 126281 1213 29% 7% 65 -0.7 223/270/369 146300 1512 29% 6% 76 +0.0 220/286/42120126927829%8%94+0.8
Parker Meadows
2021 · A
21 40→47 42→60 46→55 43 200/256/299 99268 109 28% 7% 51 -1.7 204/265/350 146271 1713 30% 7% 69 -0.4 226/293/417190275232126%8%95+1.4
Isan Díaz
2017 · A
21 42 46→55 45 43 208/273/344 136295 128 32% 8% 70 -0.3 203/271/341 138294 158 34% 8% 69 -0.4 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
Enmanuel Valdez
2021 · A
22 39→44 42→55 46→45 39 195/247/298 103267 109 30% 6% 47 -1.9 216/273/389 173269 238 28% 7% 83 +0.6 220/285/39817826324826%8%87+0.7
Abimelec Ortiz
2023 · A
21 36→40 51→60 43→40 40 194/264/345 150272 207 35% 7% 68 -0.5 213/273/397 184285 254 33% 7% 85 +0.7 210/275/40319226726231%7%85+0.6
Matthew Sweeney
2009 · A
21 43→40 48→50 44→45 42 221/269/364 143270 156 24% 5% 73 -0.1 203/264/327 124285 124 31% 7% 62 -0.9 175/244/29111625312234%7%42-1.1
Lewin Díaz
2018 · A
21 43→44 45→60 46→30 39 217/254/337 120268 133 24% 4% 59 -1.1 213/247/354 141263 162 25% 4% 62 -0.9 211/261/42121023929126%5%85+0.6
Alexander Ovalles
2023 · AA
22 44→41 46→50 46→50 44 217/282/344 127285 138 28% 7% 75 -0.0 214/278/320 106313 1011 32% 8% 66 -0.6 179/251/2254630441539%9%26-0.7
Angelo Songco
2010 · A
21 36→46 45→55 47→40 36 189/238/315 126264 134 33% 5% 48 -1.9 221/272/373 152276 164 26% 6% 78 +0.2 218/270/37715926718326%6%75+0.0
Jeremy Moore
2008 · A
21 39→49 46→55 50→55 35 198/244/329 132288 1413 36% 5% 54 -1.4 211/249/359 148319 1517 37% 4% 63 -0.8 241/276/397156336151932%4%82+0.4
Wilmer Oberto
2014 · A
21 43 44→50 46→45 43 212/279/329 117267 115 24% 6% 69 -0.4 209/262/317 108301 94 32% 6% 58 -1.2 174/220/28511126111036%5%30-0.8
Nelson Perez
2009 · A
21 41→43 49→50 48→40 33 209/243/365 156292 155 34% 4% 63 -0.9 205/238/321 116325 113 39% 4% 49 -1.8 216/274/37215631319436%6%77+0.1
Clint Frazier
2016 · A
21 43→45 43→55 47→50 40 209/270/325 116308 119 34% 7% 64 -0.8 225/282/374 149304 1511 29% 7% 82 +0.5 234/305/41317929720627%8%98+0.9
Shed Long Jr.
2017 · A
21 46→47 43→50 50 41 223/279/337 114308 1011 30% 6% 70 -0.3 233/292/376 143318 1511 30% 7% 86 +0.8 233/295/385151314171130%7%87+0.6
Daniel Palka
2014 · A
22 44 44→55 44→50 44 219/279/341 122289 115 28% 7% 72 -0.2 207/263/375 168295 219 36% 7% 75 -0.0 207/274/38718026325431%8%80+0.3
Felix Reyes
2022 · A
21 41→51 43→55 49→45 38 202/267/312 111283 1012 31% 5% 60 -1.0 204/245/317 113258 137 26% 4% 51 -1.7 244/271/41417128221922%3%86+0.5
Gabriel Moncada
2023 · A
21 44→42 43→50 44→40 44 210/287/319 110308 105 33% 8% 70 -0.3 195/263/306 111293 113 35% 8% 56 -1.3 176/245/27810226411136%7%39-1.3
Drew Robinson
2014 · A
22 41→40 44→55 49→50 45 201/281/320 119294 118 33% 9% 68 -0.5 192/266/342 150282 1611 36% 9% 67 -0.5 213/286/393179309201236%9%85+0.5