Angel Cruz — OGILVIE

Angel Cruz P Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%21.4%

BB%20.6%

K-BB%0.8%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	5	38	163	56	23	1	28%	2.1	23.4%	17.6%	5.7%	0.7%	2.63	3.72	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	5	38	163	56	23	1	28%	2.1	23.4%	17.6%	5.7%	0.7%	2.63	3.72	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	5	38	163	56	23	1	28%	2.1	34.4%	14.1%	20.2%	0.6%	2.63	2.30	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	151	43	34	2	0%	1.9	19.4%	28.1%	-8.8%	1.7%	4.05	5.96	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	151	43	34	2	0%	1.9	19.4%	28.1%	-8.8%	1.7%	4.05	5.96	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	151	43	34	2	0%	1.9	28.5%	22.5%	6.0%	1.3%	4.05	4.36	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	4	36	155	43	26	0	22%	2.0	18.9%	21.0%	-2.1%	0.0%	3.79	4.16	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	4	36	155	43	26	0	22%	2.0	18.9%	21.0%	-2.1%	0.0%	3.79	4.16	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	18	4	36	155	43	26	0	22%	2.0	27.7%	16.8%	11.0%	0.0%	3.79	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	31	0	35	185	58	46	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	32.1%	-11.0%	1.8%	6.43	6.35	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	31	0	35	185	58	46	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	32.1%	-11.0%	1.8%	6.43	6.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	LAD	6	0	8	38	16	6	0	0%	1.3	42.1%	15.8%	26.3%	0.0%	2.35	1.54	—
2026	21	A RAW	LAD	25	0	27	147	42	40	2	0%	1.1	28.6%	27.2%	1.4%	1.4%	7.57	4.88	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	34	0	36	152	34	26	4	0%	1.1	22.5%	17.1%	5.4%	2.8%	5.44	5.28	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	17	0	18	76	17	13	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	17.1%	5.4%	2.8%	5.44	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	17	13	2	0%	1.0	22.5%	17.1%	5.4%	2.8%	5.44	4.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	147	23	0%	1.1	22.5%	17.1%	5.4%	2.8%	5.44	4.90	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		85	9	142	654	136	163	7	11%	1.7	20.7%	24.9%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.19	5.09	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	13	200	923	192	230	10	11%	1.7	20.7%	24.9%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.19	5.09	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	21.4%	20.6%	2.8%	—	5.28	22.5%	5.4%	36	-0.56	—	—	—
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	88
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	86
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	86
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	86
Elison Joseph R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	21	SU	4.91	19.6%	20.3%	1.6%	.310	4.33	24.8%	6.9%	138	-0.58	3.32	217	85
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
Adonis Villavicencio R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SU	4.65	21.5%	21.9%	1.1%	.316	3.93	18.0%	3.9%	90	-0.72	3.21	115	85
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	22.5%	19.8%	1.9%	.328	5.65	16.4%	0.7%	55	+0.88	4.77	108	84
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	84
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	84
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	84
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	84
Natanael Garabitos R 2022 · 5.08 FIP	21	SU	5.08	21.3%	20.1%	2.2%	.278	5.44	16.6%	-2.8%	116	+0.36	4.25	221	83
Carlos Salazar R 2016 · 5.62 FIP	21	SU	5.62	22.7%	26.9%	1.9%	.282	5.37	22.3%	1.9%	48	-0.25	4.43	155	83
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	22.1%	18.4%	1.09	5.59
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48