Ty Southisene

SS Vancouver Canadians
Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP40OGV rank#196ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202520ACHC389.244/.386/.27604168—.231/.332/.260
202621A+/A2 orgs368.300/.418/.380134104—.279/.377/.351
2027PROJMLE22MLBTOR1.236/.331/.29000820.0
2028PROJ43% MLB23MLBTOR131.242/.336/.31615890.3
2029PROJ58% MLB24MLBTOR217.246/.339/.33427950.7
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%98
K%96
Speed91
Whiff%87
wOBA85
wRC+83
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 79%
CompsRicardo Ferreira (age 21) · Kyle Mottice (age 23) · Maikel Garcia (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .331 / .290
PA1
HR0
K%18
BB%10
BABIP291
ISO49
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.70.91.01.00.90.80.627282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Arb-1$3M+0.9$2M+$0.5M
2034Arb-2$5M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$6M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $20M +$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202520 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389315 77620 625811 417 244386276662 32300 1516 321 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+Vancouver Canadians — 263214 67631 363512 235 313439383822 70369 1314 381 112 — — — — — —
202621 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 10586 23330 11104 112 267365372737 105299 1010 330 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202520 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389338 78620 408211 417 231332260592 30298 2110 269 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 263224 65531 264712 235 290393353746 62357 1810 333 112 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 10592 23330 8144 112 250337348684 98278 138 294 85 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389338 78620 408211 417 231332260592 30305 2110 269 68 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389315 77620 625811 417 244386276662 32300 1516 321 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 368316 88861 346116 347 278377351728 73340 179 322 104 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW2 teams — 368300 90961 474516 347 300418380798 80348 1213 366 104 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389335 78620 408211 417 233332263594 30298 2110 269 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 368315 88861 346116 347 279377352729 73334 179 322 104 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202520 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 389335 78620 408211 417 233332263594 30298 2110 269 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 368315 88861 346116 347 279377352729 73334 179 322 104 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLETOR 0% 478415 971141 468414 204 235330288618 53289 1810 289 82 -10 +2 -2 +5 +10 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXTOR 0% 11 0000 000 00 236331290621 54291 00 290 82 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLETOR 43% 303263 63732 29538 112 241335314649 73290 1710 300 89 -4 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.7
202924 MLB MLETOR 58% 374325 79934 366610 122 245338332671 88292 1810 308 95 -2 +2 -0 +4 +8 1.1
203025 MLB MLETOR 65% 413359 891136 407311 122 247339344683 98292 1810 313 98 -1 +2 +0 +4 +9 1.4
203126 MLB MLETOR 68% 435379 941237 427811 122 247339351690 104292 1810 315 99 -0 +2 +0 +5 +9 1.6
203227 MLB MLETOR 68% 441385 941237 428111 112 246337352689 105292 1810 314 99 -1 +1 +0 +5 +10 1.5
203328 MLB MLETOR 68% 440384 941237 428211 102 244335347682 103291 1910 311 97 -2 +1 -0 +5 +10 1.4
203429 MLB MLETOR 66% 432378 911236 418110 92 242333341674 99290 199 308 95 -3 +1 -1 +5 +9 1.1
203530 MLB MLETOR 71% 421368 881136 408110 82 239329333663 94288 1910 304 92 -4 +1 -2 +5 +9 0.8
203631 MLB MLETOR 75% 404354 831035 38799 62 235325324648 88286 209 298 88 -6 +0 -3 +4 +9 0.5
203732 MLB MLETOR 77% 382335 77934 35769 53 230319312631 82283 209 291 83 -8 -0 -3 +4 +8 0.1
203833 MLB MLETOR 79% 348305 68823 32728 44 224312298610 74279 219 282 77 -9 -1 -4 +4 +8 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXTOR 43% 131113 27311 13234 51 242336316652 74292 1810 302 89 -2 +1 -0 +1 +3 0.3
202924 MLB CTXTOR 58% 217188 46522 21386 71 246339334673 88293 1810 309 95 -1 +1 -0 +2 +5 0.7
203025 MLB CTXTOR 65% 268233 58724 26487 82 248340346686 98294 1810 314 98 -1 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.9
203126 MLB CTXTOR 68% 296259 64825 28537 82 248340353693 105293 189 316 99 -0 +1 +0 +3 +6 1.0
203227 MLB CTXTOR 68% 300261 64825 29557 82 247338353692 106293 1810 315 99 -1 +1 +0 +3 +6 1.0
203328 MLB CTXTOR 68% 299261 64825 29557 71 246336349685 103292 1810 312 97 -1 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.9
203429 MLB CTXTOR 66% 287251 61824 27547 61 243334343676 99291 199 309 95 -2 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.8
203530 MLB CTXTOR 71% 300262 63824 28577 51 240330335665 95290 199 305 92 -3 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.6
203631 MLB CTXTOR 75% 302264 63824 28597 41 236326325651 89287 209 299 88 -4 +0 -2 +3 +7 0.4
203732 MLB CTXTOR 77% 294258 59723 27597 42 231320313633 82284 209 292 83 -6 +0 -3 +3 +6 0.1
203833 MLB CTXTOR 79% 273240 54623 25566 33 225313300613 74280 219 283 77 -7 -1 -3 +3 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29672590 623762140 28155772 6517 241332332664 92290 199 305 91 -28 +6 -10 +32 +64 6.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650567 1371759 6212216 144 242333337670 95292 1910 305 91 -6 +1 -2 +7 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 53604671 11291324258 5111002141 18441 242335325660 83295 1910 303 91 -45 +11 -15 +49 +100 10.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650566 1371657 6212217 225 242334325659 83295 1910 303 91 -6 +2 -2 +7 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 263 PAwOBA .373 → .333 (−40)K% 13.3% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.31%÷1.000×1.350——17.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.69%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0279.98%
HBP% /PA4.56%—×0.810—×1.0273.80%
Singles /BIP31.84%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.02731.25%
Doubles /BIP3.35%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0273.00%
Triples /BIP1.68%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.0271.48%
Home runs /BIP0.56%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0270.48%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .373 → .333; ISO .070 → .062; BABIP .369 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 105 PAwOBA .326 → .294 (−32)K% 9.5% → 13.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.52%÷1.000×1.360——12.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.48%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0157.34%
HBP% /PA3.81%—×0.780—×1.0153.02%
Singles /BIP22.37%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.01521.07%
Doubles /BIP3.95%÷1.000×0.830×1.009×1.0153.35%
Triples /BIP3.95%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0153.68%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .326 → .294; ISO .105 → .100; BABIP .299 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 389 PAwOBA .314 → .269 (−44)K% 14.9% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.91%÷0.956×1.360——21.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.94%÷1.106×0.690—×1.03010.24%
HBP% /PA2.83%—×0.780—×1.0302.27%
Singles /BIP26.85%÷0.990×0.920×1.050×1.03027.00%
Doubles /BIP2.33%÷0.968×0.830×1.050×1.0302.17%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.910×1.050×1.0300.67%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 91, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .314 → .269; ISO .032 → .029; BABIP .300 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).