Ty Southisene — OGILVIE

Ty SouthiseneSS South Bend Cubs

Age 21 R/R 5'7" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .334 / .304

PA199

HR0

SB12

K%18

BB%9

BABIP309

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$14M	+$13M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+2.2	$10M	+$8M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$9M	+$6M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$65M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	346	77	6	1	0	32	90	11	41	7	223	308	246	554	23	301	23	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	315	77	6	2	0	62	58	11	41	7	244	386	276	662	32	300	15	16	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	CHC	—	299	257	70	6	4	0	26	47	14	30	6	272	370	327	697	54	330	16	9	315	99	-0	+4	+0	+3	+8	1.5
YTD	21	A+	CHC	—	299	242	73	7	5	0	38	34	14	30	6	302	421	372	793	70	348	11	13	365	137	+13	+4	+0	+3	+8	2.8
ROS	21	A+	CHC	0%	199	174	43	6	2	0	17	36	6	12	2	247	334	304	638	57	305	18	9	296	85	-3	+2	-1	+2	+6	0.5
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						306	0	0	274	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	CHC	—	300	258	70	6	4	0	26	47	14	30	6	271	369	326	695	54	329	16	9	315	99	-0	+4	-0	+3	+8	1.5
TOT	21	A+	CHC	—	498	431	113	12	6	0	43	83	20	42	8	262	356	318	674	56	322	17	9	307	93	-4	+5	-1	+5	+14	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CHC	35%	533	469	114	16	4	2	45	97	14	20	4	243	328	307	635	64	301	18	8	296	85	-9	+2	-3	+6	+15	1.1
2028	23	MLB	CHC	49%	548	482	120	17	4	5	47	99	14	18	4	249	333	332	665	83	301	18	9	307	93	-4	+2	-3	+6	+16	1.6
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	554	487	123	18	4	7	48	100	14	16	3	253	337	349	686	97	302	18	9	314	99	-1	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.0
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	570	501	127	18	4	9	50	103	14	16	3	253	338	359	697	106	302	18	9	318	102	+1	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.3
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	576	506	130	19	4	10	51	104	14	15	3	257	342	370	711	113	302	18	9	321	104	+2	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.4
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	576	506	130	19	4	10	51	105	14	15	3	257	342	370	711	113	302	18	9	321	104	+2	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.4
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	571	500	127	18	4	9	52	105	14	14	3	254	341	360	701	106	302	18	9	320	103	+2	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.2
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	561	491	125	18	4	9	51	104	14	13	3	255	342	363	704	108	301	19	9	318	102	+1	+1	-5	+6	+16	2.0
2035	30	MLB	CHC	57%	550	482	121	17	4	8	50	103	13	12	2	251	338	353	690	102	301	19	9	316	100	-0	+2	-5	+6	+16	1.8
2036	31	MLB	CHC	60%	536	469	117	16	4	8	49	102	13	11	2	249	337	352	689	102	299	19	9	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+6	+15	1.5
2037	32	MLB	CHC	61%	517	453	111	15	4	7	47	101	12	10	2	245	332	342	674	97	296	20	9	307	93	-4	+1	-6	+6	+15	1.1
2038	33	MLB	CHC	62%	487	429	102	14	3	6	44	97	11	9	2	238	324	326	651	89	293	20	9	300	88	-7	+1	-7	+5	+14	0.7
2039	34	MLB	CHC	58%	441	389	90	11	3	5	39	91	10	7	1	231	317	314	631	82	288	21	9	292	82	-9	+1	-7	+5	+12	0.2
2027	22	MLB	CHC	35%	184	161	41	6	2	1	16	33	5	7	1	255	341	335	676	81	302	18	9	278	71	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2028	23	MLB	CHC	49%	266	234	58	8	2	3	23	48	7	9	2	248	333	338	671	90	303	18	9	289	80	-6	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	292	258	65	9	2	4	25	53	7	9	2	252	334	349	683	97	303	18	9	297	86	-5	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	312	274	70	10	2	5	27	57	8	9	2	255	340	361	701	106	303	18	9	302	89	-4	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	321	282	71	10	2	5	28	58	8	9	2	252	336	355	691	103	303	18	9	304	91	-3	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	317	278	70	10	2	5	28	58	8	8	2	252	338	356	694	104	303	18	9	304	91	-3	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.8
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	312	273	69	10	2	5	28	57	8	8	2	253	340	359	699	106	303	18	9	303	90	-3	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.7
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	299	263	67	10	2	5	27	55	7	7	1	255	340	365	705	110	303	18	9	301	89	-4	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.7
2035	30	MLB	CHC	57%	314	274	69	10	2	5	29	59	8	7	1	252	341	358	699	106	302	19	9	299	87	-5	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.6
2036	31	MLB	CHC	60%	319	279	70	10	2	5	29	61	8	7	1	251	339	355	693	104	300	19	9	295	84	-6	+1	-4	+3	+9	0.4
2037	32	MLB	CHC	61%	317	277	67	9	2	4	29	62	8	6	1	242	331	332	663	90	297	20	9	290	80	-7	+1	-4	+3	+9	0.2
2038	33	MLB	CHC	62%	304	267	65	9	2	4	27	61	7	5	1	243	329	337	666	94	294	20	9	284	76	-8	+1	-4	+3	+9	-0.0
2039	34	MLB	CHC	58%	255	224	53	7	2	3	23	53	6	4	1	237	324	326	650	89	289	21	9	276	70	-9	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3813	3345	835	118	26	54	339	715	95	95	19	250	336	349	685	99	301	19	9	295	84	-70	+11	-34	+41	+108	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	142	20	4	9	58	122	16	16	3	249	335	346	681	96	300	19	9	295	84	-12	+2	-6	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7608	6684	1657	228	53	95	673	1437	188	229	44	248	334	340	674	93	301	19	9	308	94	-51	+28	-61	+82	+216	21.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	141	19	5	8	57	123	16	20	4	247	332	340	672	93	300	19	9	308	94	-4	+2	-5	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	315	77	6	2	0	62	58	11	41	7	244	386	276	662	32	300	15	16	321	104	+2	+5	—	—	+11	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Felipe Lopezlast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA	11	4,864	90	124	264	333	391	+31	-19	17.6	18.1
	/162	664	12	17	264	333	391	+4.2	-2.6	2.4	pk7: 19
#4César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	10	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.0
	/162	664	10	13	267	341	375	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#5Ryan Theriotlast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	17	121	281	341	350	+30	+25	15.0	15.0
	/162	664	3	22	281	341	350	+5.6	+4.7	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,814	53	93	251	333	351	+39	-2	14.0	11.8
	/162	664	9	16	251	333	351	+6.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 10
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Southisene (OGILVIE)	21	30→51	20→25	60→58	50	262/356/318	56	322	0	42	17%	9%	93	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Erlin Cerda 2015 · A	21	47	36→40	56→55	51	218/295/297	79	272	1	16	19%	8%	67	-0.5	204/264/277	73	282	2	11	26%	6%	48	-1.9	164/205/208	44	235	0	7	29%	3%	1	-1.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2011 · A	21	43→53	35→40	55	47	200/266/259	59	265	2	21	24%	8%	44	-2.1	205/262/259	54	286	2	17	27%	7%	43	-2.2	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→56	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	66	-0.6	237/342/307	70	303	3	14	20%	12%	91	+1.1	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Isaias Velasquez 2009 · A	21	47→57	34→40	54→55	46	221/279/276	55	282	2	19	21%	6%	54	-1.4	244/294/324	80	310	2	16	21%	6%	72	-0.2	253/305/339	85	317	2	19	19%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	65	-0.7	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Edgar Munoz 2014 · A	22	47	35→30	48→55	50	219/284/279	60	256	2	19	15%	7%	57	-1.2	214/258/300	86	288	7	7	27%	5%	52	-1.6	232/275/329	97	295	12	12	25%	5%	62	-0.2
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A	21	50	37→40	60	46	236/278/312	77	269	3	22	14%	5%	63	-0.9	202/245/265	63	275	3	17	26%	5%	37	-2.7	177/216/220	43	245	1	22	27%	4%	11	-1.1
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	62	-0.9	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	69	-0.4	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Myles Straw 2016 · A	21	46→56	35→40	51→60	43	211/269/275	64	305	2	17	30%	7%	50	-1.8	256/316/318	62	350	1	25	25%	8%	79	+0.3	267/338/329	62	341	2	39	20%	9%	89	+0.9
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Eddy Diaz 2021 · A	21	48→53	37→30	59→65	51	224/291/308	84	269	3	26	18%	8%	68	-0.5	212/268/272	60	299	3	29	28%	5%	49	-1.8	199/256/254	55	281	3	31	28%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Yerwin Trejo 2018 · A	21	46	36→30	54→55	50	212/284/277	65	256	3	18	18%	7%	57	-1.2	214/269/267	53	288	2	22	25%	6%	47	-1.9	212/261/246	34	293	2	31	26%	5%	35	-1.1
✕Yensy Perez 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	55	41	221/283/286	64	281	1	17	21%	4%	59	-1.1	208/265/280	72	282	4	17	26%	4%	50	-1.7	161/198/202	41	226	4	33	30%	2%	-2	-0.9
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	57	-1.2	233/312/289	56	299	1	25	20%	9%	72	-0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Danny Taveras 2008 · A	21	45	34→30	54→65	53	206/298/255	49	269	1	23	22%	10%	59	-1.1	209/292/265	56	280	3	29	24%	9%	59	-1.1	197/288/233	36	264	2	46	23%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Dubal Baez 2014 · A	21	49	34→30	51→60	47	223/304/274	50	310	1	22	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/280/282	62	297	2	17	25%	6%	56	-1.3	216/264/250	34	277	0	23	21%	4%	36	-0.6
✕Caleb Durbin 2022 · A	22	46→53	36→50	57→60	48	213/267/282	69	248	3	20	16%	6%	50	-1.7	238/312/345	107	266	8	29	13%	7%	87	+0.8	256/332/385	129	271	12	34	10%	7%	103	+1.3
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A	21	48→55	37→50	54→50	44	225/277/299	74	289	4	16	23%	6%	59	-1.1	242/303/373	131	302	10	13	22%	7%	90	+1.0	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3