Ty Southisene — OGILVIE

Ty SouthiseneSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 21 R/R 5'7" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION368 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .250

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP305

ISO43

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$19M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	315	77	6	2	0	62	58	11	41	7	244	386	276	662	32	300	15	16	321	103	+1	+5	—	—	+8	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	343	75	5	1	0	35	86	11	41	7	219	311	239	550	20	295	22	9	260	62	-18	+5	—	—	+8	-0.4
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	343	75	5	1	0	35	86	11	41	7	219	311	239	550	20	292	22	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	315	77	6	2	0	62	58	11	41	7	244	386	276	662	32	300	15	16	321	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	340	75	5	1	0	35	86	11	41	7	221	311	241	552	21	295	22	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	389	340	75	5	1	0	35	86	11	41	7	221	311	241	552	21	295	22	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	TOR	—	368	320	84	8	5	1	30	63	16	34	7	263	355	328	683	66	322	17	8	301	90	-4	+4	+0	+4	+8	1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	TOR	—	105	86	23	3	3	0	11	10	4	11	2	267	365	372	737	105	299	10	10	330	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	TOR	—	263	214	67	6	3	1	36	35	12	23	5	313	439	383	822	70	369	13	14	381	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	TOR	0%	9	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	250	333	250	583		304	22	11	295	86	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	TOR	—	377	328	86	8	5	1	31	65	16	35	7	262	355	326	681	64	322	17	8	301	90	-4	+4	-0	+4	+8	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	35%	450	397	95	10	4	2	38	82	12	18	4	239	324	300	624	60	298	18	8	295	85	-8	+2	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2028	23	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	490	432	106	12	4	5	42	89	13	17	3	245	331	326	657	81	298	18	9	305	93	-4	+2	-3	+5	+11	1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	529	464	117	14	4	8	46	96	14	17	3	252	338	351	689	99	299	18	9	312	98	-2	+2	-3	+6	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	561	493	125	15	5	9	49	101	14	17	3	254	338	359	697	105	299	18	9	317	100	+0	+2	-3	+6	+12	1.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	571	501	128	15	5	10	51	103	14	16	3	255	341	365	706	110	299	18	9	319	102	+1	+2	-3	+6	+12	1.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	572	501	128	15	5	10	51	104	15	15	3	255	342	365	707	110	299	18	9	319	102	+1	+2	-3	+6	+12	1.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	568	497	127	15	5	10	52	104	14	14	3	256	343	366	709	111	299	18	9	318	101	+1	+2	-4	+6	+12	1.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	559	489	122	14	4	9	51	103	14	13	3	249	338	350	687	100	298	18	9	316	100	+0	+1	-5	+6	+12	1.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	549	480	120	14	4	9	50	103	14	12	2	250	338	352	690	102	297	19	9	314	98	-1	+2	-5	+6	+12	1.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	535	468	115	13	4	8	49	102	13	11	2	246	334	342	676	96	295	19	9	310	96	-3	+1	-6	+6	+12	1.0
2037	32	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	517	452	110	12	4	7	47	100	13	10	2	243	332	334	666	91	293	19	9	305	92	-5	+1	-6	+6	+11	0.7
2038	33	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	487	428	102	11	4	6	44	97	12	9	2	238	326	325	651	86	290	20	9	299	88	-7	+1	-7	+5	+11	0.3
2039	34	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	441	387	89	9	3	5	40	91	11	7	1	230	320	307	627	78	286	21	9	291	83	-9	+1	-7	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	TOR	35%	156	138	34	4	1	1	13	28	4	6	1	246	329	312	641	65	299	18	8	276	85	-3	+1	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	238	209	53	6	2	3	21	43	6	8	2	254	339	344	683	91	300	18	9	287	93	-2	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	279	246	61	7	2	4	24	50	7	9	2	248	332	341	674	93	301	18	9	295	98	-1	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	307	269	69	8	3	5	27	55	8	9	2	257	342	364	706	108	301	18	9	299	100	+0	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.9
2031	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	318	279	72	8	3	6	28	57	8	9	2	258	343	373	716	115	301	18	9	301	102	+1	+1	-2	+3	+7	1.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	315	276	70	8	3	5	28	57	8	8	2	254	340	359	698	105	301	18	9	301	102	+1	+1	-2	+3	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	310	271	69	8	3	5	28	57	8	8	2	255	342	362	704	107	301	18	9	301	101	+0	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	298	261	66	8	2	5	27	55	8	7	1	253	341	356	698	103	300	18	9	299	100	+0	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	313	273	69	8	3	5	29	59	8	7	1	253	342	359	701	106	299	19	9	296	98	-1	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	318	278	69	8	2	5	29	60	8	7	1	248	337	345	682	97	297	19	9	293	96	-2	+1	-4	+3	+7	0.6
2037	32	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	317	277	67	7	2	5	29	61	8	6	1	242	331	336	667	94	295	19	9	288	92	-3	+1	-4	+3	+7	0.4
2038	33	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	304	266	64	7	2	4	28	61	7	5	1	241	329	327	656	86	292	20	9	282	88	-4	+1	-4	+3	+7	0.2
2039	34	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	255	224	52	5	2	3	23	52	6	4	1	232	320	312	633	80	287	20	9	274	83	-5	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3728	3267	815	92	30	56	334	695	94	93	19	249	336	347	684	98	299	19	9	293	94	-18	+11	-33	+40	+81	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	142	16	5	10	58	121	16	16	3	249	335	347	683	98	298	19	9	293	94	-3	+2	-6	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7227	6340	1561	174	56	98	646	1363	184	218	41	246	333	338	671	91	298	19	9	307	94	-34	+22	-59	+73	+148	15.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	141	16	5	9	58	123	17	20	4	247	335	340	675	93	299	19	9	307	94	-3	+2	-6	+7	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2David Ecksteinlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,705 PA	8.6	5,705	35	123	280	345	355	+31	+19	21.9	20.3
/162	664	4	14	+3.6	+2.2	2.5	pk7: 19
#3Austin Jacksonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,653 PA	7.0	4,653	65	114	273	333	396	+17	+13	19.5	19.5
/162	664	9	16	+2.4	+1.9	2.8	pk7: 19
#4Felipe Lopezlast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA	7.3	4,864	90	124	264	333	391	+31	-19	17.7	18.1
/162	664	12	17	+4.2	-2.6	2.4	pk7: 19
#5César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#6Ryan Theriotlast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	5.4	3,601	17	121	281	341	350	+30	+25	15.0	15.0
/162	664	3	22	+5.6	+4.7	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,730	55	94	249	332	346	+38	-2	13.3	11.3
/162	664	10	17	+6.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty Southisene (OGILVIE)	21	30→51	20→25	60→58	50	242/332/295	53	304	1	21	18%	9%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Erlin Cerda 2015 · A	21	47	36→40	56→55	51	218/295/297	79	272	1	16	19%	8%	71	-0.8	204/263/276	72	283	2	11	27%	6%	54	-2.0	164/206/209	45	238	0	7	29%	3%	13	-1.1
✕Caleb Durbin 2022 · A	22	46→52	36→45	57→60	48	214/269/283	69	250	3	20	16%	6%	57	-1.8	233/307/337	104	260	8	29	13%	7%	85	+0.2	243/323/371	128	260	12	25	12%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Danny Taveras 2008 · A	21	45	34→30	54→65	53	206/298/255	49	269	1	23	22%	10%	63	-1.3	209/292/265	56	280	3	29	24%	9%	63	-1.3	197/288/233	36	264	2	46	23%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	49→59	35→30	56→60	52	228/304/291	62	282	2	27	19%	9%	73	-0.6	235/323/289	54	300	2	27	20%	10%	80	-0.2	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Dubal Baez 2014 · A	21	49	34→30	51→60	47	223/304/274	50	310	1	22	26%	8%	70	-0.9	220/280/282	62	297	2	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	216/264/250	34	277	0	23	21%	4%	43	-0.7
✕Edgar Munoz 2014 · A	22	47	35→30	48→55	50	219/284/279	60	256	2	19	15%	7%	62	-1.4	214/258/300	86	288	7	7	27%	5%	57	-1.8	232/275/327	95	294	11	12	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Isaias Velasquez 2009 · A	21	47→57	34→40	54→55	46	221/279/276	55	282	2	19	21%	6%	59	-1.6	242/292/322	80	306	2	16	20%	6%	74	-0.5	250/301/335	86	311	2	19	19%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→55	36→30	59→60	48	217/288/285	68	291	3	31	25%	8%	65	-1.2	220/289/292	72	293	3	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Francisco Aponte 2012 · A	21	50	35→30	53→60	54	230/313/289	59	284	1	21	18%	9%	76	-0.4	212/265/280	68	271	2	11	21%	6%	55	-1.9	205/243/263	58	255	0	10	19%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Joe Munoz 2007 · A	21	48	35→30	54→55	46	219/300/279	61	282	1	22	21%	6%	70	-0.9	201/259/265	64	263	2	11	23%	5%	50	-2.3	174/218/225	51	227	2	7	23%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Eddy Diaz 2021 · A	21	48→53	37→40	59→65	51	224/291/308	84	269	3	26	18%	8%	72	-0.7	214/270/276	62	299	3	29	28%	5%	57	-1.8	202/260/259	57	281	3	31	28%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2021 · A	21	45	35→30	55	45	210/279/268	58	288	2	24	26%	7%	58	-1.7	192/282/263	71	300	3	20	33%	10%	59	-1.6	157/270/219	62	253	2	29	34%	11%	43	-0.7
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→58	39→50	58→60	50	236/300/327	91	298	5	22	21%	8%	79	-0.2	247/302/345	98	313	7	27	22%	7%	84	+0.1	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	63	-1.3	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	65	-1.2	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A	21	48→55	37→50	54→50	44	228/281/304	76	293	4	16	23%	6%	66	-1.1	240/299/360	120	301	9	13	22%	7%	86	+0.3	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Yerwin Trejo 2018 · A	21	46	36→30	54→55	50	212/284/277	65	256	3	18	18%	7%	62	-1.4	215/269/267	52	290	2	22	25%	6%	53	-2.1	214/262/246	32	295	1	31	26%	5%	43	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps