Luis Almeyda

SS Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 213 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2235ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKBAL190.200/.340/.31651234—.151/.250/.241
202519A/ROKBAL275.240/.326/.35532047—.196/.264/.296
202620ABAL90.179/.233/.21401-1—.140/.178/.163
2027PROJMLE21MLBBAL233.207/.262/.2932556-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBBAL43.216/.272/.3181163-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBBAL98.220/.277/.3312268-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%48
Whiff%48
Z-Con%22
Chase%15
Speed14
BB%10
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsKyle Nevin (age 21) · Luke Williams (age 21) · Juan Mora (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .260 / .291
PA69
HR1
K%25
BB%6
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 6958 11102 8141 22 190299310609 121205 2012 275 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Orioles — 190155 31115 31492 125 200340316657 116252 2616 306 34 — — — — — —
202519 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 204181 43913 18523 149 238317348665 110312 259 301 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Orioles — 7161 15610 8142 61 246352377729 131319 2011 333 31 — — — — — —
202620 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 9084 15300 6220 12 179233214448 36242 247 210 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 6961 7101 5181 22 115194180374 66130 267 179 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 190166 25114 20682 125 151250241491 90206 3611 219 34 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 204186 38813 13713 149 204267306574 102297 356 247 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 7164 11410 5212 61 172254266519 94232 307 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9086 12200 4300 12 140178163341 23228 334 167 -1 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 6961 7101 5181 22 115194180374 66136 267 179 7 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 6958 11102 8141 22 190299310609 121205 2012 275 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 190166 25114 20682 125 151250241491 90219 3611 219 34 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Orioles — 190155 31115 31492 125 200340316657 116252 2616 306 34 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 275250 491223 18925 2010 196264296560 100293 337 238 48 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 275242 581523 26665 2010 240326355681 116314 249 309 48 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9086 12200 4300 12 140178163341 23214 334 167 -1 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWDelmarva Shorebirds — 9084 15300 6220 12 179233214448 36242 247 210 -1 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 6963 7101 5181 22 111194175369 63130 267 179 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 190166 25114 20682 125 151250241491 90206 3611 219 34 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 275250 491223 18925 2010 196264296560 100280 337 238 48 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9086 12200 4300 12 140178163341 23228 334 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 190166 25114 20682 125 151250241491 90206 3611 219 34 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 275250 491223 18925 2010 196264296560 100280 337 238 48 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9086 12200 4300 12 140178163341 23228 334 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEBAL 0% 233215 44912 14582 52 207262293555 86270 256 252 56 -12 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEBAL 34% 124114 25512 8301 31 213269311580 99272 246 262 63 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202923 MLB MLEBAL 48% 203186 40813 13492 52 217274324598 107274 246 269 68 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB MLEBAL 53% 286263 581125 18693 73 220278333611 113275 246 275 72 -10 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.0
203125 MLB MLEBAL 55% 345316 711427 23823 83 222281339620 117276 247 278 74 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203226 MLB MLEBAL 56% 379347 771527 25904 93 223283342625 120277 247 281 76 -11 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.2
203327 MLB MLEBAL 55% 393360 801628 26944 94 222282340622 118276 247 279 75 -12 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.1
203428 MLB MLEBAL 55% 397363 801627 27964 94 220280336616 115276 247 277 73 -13 +0 -1 +4 +9 -0.0
203529 MLB MLEBAL 53% 392359 781527 26964 84 218278330607 112275 247 273 71 -14 +0 -1 +4 +8 -0.2
203630 MLB MLEBAL 53% 382351 751526 25953 74 215274323597 108273 257 269 68 -15 -0 -2 +4 +8 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXBAL 34% 4340 9201 3110 10 216272318589 102276 267 266 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXBAL 48% 9891 21412 6241 21 220277331608 111278 246 273 68 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXBAL 53% 151139 31613 10361 41 223282341622 117279 247 279 72 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203125 MLB CTXBAL 55% 189173 40814 12452 52 225284347631 121280 246 283 74 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203226 MLB CTXBAL 56% 211193 44914 14502 52 226286350637 124281 247 285 76 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXBAL 55% 216197 44914 15522 52 225285348633 122281 247 284 75 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXBAL 55% 217198 44914 15522 52 224284343627 119280 247 281 73 -7 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.0
203529 MLB CTXBAL 53% 209191 42814 14512 42 221281337618 116279 247 277 71 -7 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
203630 MLB CTXBAL 53% 201184 41814 13502 42 219277330607 111277 256 273 68 -8 +0 -1 +2 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15351406 31663830 10237114 3514 225284345629 120283 247 279 65 -51 +1 -2 +16 +33 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650595 13427313 431576 156 225284346630 121283 247 279 65 -21 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 35943286 6901341961 24292637 10148 210272318590 108271 267 264 65 -100 +2 -4 +32 +64 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 12424311 441677 189 209271315586 106269 267 264 65 -22 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 90 PAwOBA .205 → .167 (−38)K% 24.4% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.44%÷1.000×1.360——33.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0304.74%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP19.35%÷1.000×0.920×1.016×1.03018.63%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷1.000×0.830×1.016×1.0304.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.016×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .205 → .167; ISO .036 → .028; BABIP .242 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 204 PAwOBA .296 → .247 (−49)K% 25.5% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.49%÷0.993×1.360——34.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0456.32%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780—×1.0451.20%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷0.998×0.920×0.988×1.04522.13%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷0.898×0.830×0.988×1.0456.66%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷0.904×0.910×0.988×1.0450.80%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.899×0.800—×1.0452.16%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .296 → .247; ISO .110 → .096; BABIP .312 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 71 PAwOBA .325 → .214 (−111)K% 19.7% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.72%÷0.980×1.440——28.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.27%÷1.020×0.620—×1.0086.90%
HBP% /PA2.82%—×0.720—×1.0082.04%
Singles /BIP17.02%÷0.997×0.820×0.950×1.00813.40%
Doubles /BIP12.77%÷1.033×0.720×0.950×1.0088.52%
Triples /BIP2.13%÷1.150×0.720×0.950×1.0081.27%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .325 → .214; ISO .131 → .080; BABIP .319 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Orioles · 190 PAwOBA .302 → .219 (−83)K% 25.8% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.79%÷1.036×1.440——35.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.32%÷0.972×0.620—×1.02210.64%
HBP% /PA1.05%—×0.720—×1.0220.77%
Singles /BIP22.64%÷0.996×0.820×0.987×1.02218.81%
Doubles /BIP0.94%÷0.901×0.720×0.987×1.0220.76%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷1.016×0.720×0.987×1.0220.68%
Home runs /BIP4.72%÷0.995×0.780—×1.0223.78%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 107, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .302 → .219; ISO .116 → .087; BABIP .252 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 69 PAwOBA .277 → .179 (−97)K% 20.3% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.29%÷0.941×1.220——26.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.59%÷1.049×0.700—×1.0227.91%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.700—×1.0221.04%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.051×0.680×0.984×1.02211.84%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷0.991×0.600×0.984×1.0221.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.600×0.984×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.847×0.470—×1.0222.58%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 104, K 88, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .277 → .179; ISO .121 → .070; BABIP .205 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).