Luis Almeyda — OGILVIE

Luis AlmeydaSS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 213 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .258 / .293

PA196

HR2

K%25

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	69	62	8	1	0	2	4	23	1	2	2	129	194	242	436	113	154	33	6	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	69	58	11	1	0	2	8	14	1	2	2	190	299	310	609	121	205	20	12	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	190	166	25	1	1	4	20	66	2	12	5	151	250	241	491	90	214	35	11	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	190	155	31	1	1	5	31	49	2	12	5	200	340	316	657	116	252	26	16	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	275	252	47	12	1	3	16	96	5	20	10	187	249	278	527	91	284	35	6	234	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	275	242	58	15	2	3	26	66	5	20	10	240	326	355	681	116	314	24	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	BAL	—	68	65	11	2	0	0	3	18	0	0	2	169	206	200	406	31	234	26	4	191	4	-7	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
YTD	20	A	BAL	—	68	63	13	3	0	0	5	13	0	0	2	206	265	254	519	48	260	19	7	241	43	-4	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
ROS	20	A	BAL	0%	196	181	37	8	1	2	11	49	2	4	2	204	258	293	551	88	266	25	6	252	51	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	249	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	BAL	—	68	66	11	2	0	0	3	18	0	0	2	167	206	197	403	30	229	26	4	191	4	-7	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
TOT	20	A	BAL	—	264	246	48	10	1	2	14	67	2	4	4	195	244	268	513	73	258	25	5	236	39	-18	-1	+0	+3	+7	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	BAL	34%	332	305	65	13	2	5	21	81	3	7	4	213	271	318	589	105	271	24	6	268	63	-14	-0	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	BAL	48%	426	390	85	17	2	8	28	102	5	10	5	218	279	333	612	115	273	24	7	277	70	-14	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.2
2029	23	MLB	BAL	54%	486	445	99	20	2	10	33	115	5	11	6	222	284	344	627	121	275	24	7	282	74	-14	-0	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2030	24	MLB	BAL	55%	525	478	107	21	2	11	36	123	6	12	6	224	287	345	632	121	276	23	7	285	77	-14	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.7
2031	25	MLB	BAL	56%	547	498	113	22	3	12	38	128	6	13	7	227	290	355	645	129	276	23	7	287	78	-14	-0	+0	+6	+15	0.7
2032	26	MLB	BAL	60%	559	509	115	23	3	12	39	131	6	14	7	226	289	354	642	128	276	23	7	287	78	-14	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2033	27	MLB	BAL	62%	561	510	115	23	3	12	40	132	6	14	7	225	290	353	643	127	276	24	7	287	78	-14	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2034	28	MLB	BAL	63%	558	507	114	23	2	12	40	132	6	13	7	225	289	349	638	124	276	24	7	286	77	-14	-0	-1	+6	+16	0.7
2035	29	MLB	BAL	64%	549	499	111	22	2	12	39	131	6	13	6	222	287	347	633	124	275	24	7	285	76	-15	+0	-1	+6	+16	0.5
2036	30	MLB	BAL	65%	539	489	107	21	2	11	39	130	6	12	6	219	285	337	622	119	274	24	7	282	74	-16	+0	-2	+6	+15	0.3
2037	31	MLB	BAL	65%	526	477	104	21	2	10	38	128	6	11	5	218	284	333	617	115	272	24	7	278	71	-17	+0	-3	+6	+15	0.1
2027	21	MLB	BAL	34%	114	105	24	5	1	2	7	28	1	2	1	229	283	352	636	124	275	25	6	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	BAL	48%	206	188	42	9	1	4	14	49	2	5	2	223	284	346	630	122	278	24	7	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB	BAL	54%	264	241	55	11	1	6	18	62	3	6	3	228	290	357	647	129	279	23	7	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	24	MLB	BAL	55%	291	266	60	12	1	6	20	68	3	7	3	226	287	346	633	120	281	23	7	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB	BAL	56%	306	279	64	13	1	7	21	72	3	7	4	229	290	358	649	129	281	24	7	283	75	-9	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2032	26	MLB	BAL	60%	336	306	71	14	2	8	23	79	4	8	4	232	294	369	664	137	281	24	7	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB	BAL	62%	347	316	73	15	2	8	24	81	4	8	4	231	294	367	661	136	280	23	7	284	75	-10	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2034	28	MLB	BAL	63%	352	320	74	15	2	8	25	83	4	8	4	231	295	366	661	134	280	24	7	283	75	-10	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.3
2035	29	MLB	BAL	64%	350	318	71	14	1	8	25	83	4	8	4	223	288	349	637	126	280	24	7	281	73	-11	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.2
2036	30	MLB	BAL	65%	350	318	71	14	1	8	25	84	4	8	4	223	288	349	637	126	279	24	7	279	71	-11	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2037	31	MLB	BAL	65%	342	310	69	14	1	7	25	83	4	7	4	223	289	342	631	119	276	24	7	275	68	-12	-0	-2	+4	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3258	2968	674	136	14	72	227	772	36	74	37	227	290	355	645	128	281	24	7	280	72	-102	+0	-5	+35	+92	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	134	27	3	14	45	154	7	15	7	226	289	353	642	127	280	24	7	280	72	-20	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6338	5768	1252	248	28	126	442	1567	71	168	85	217	281	335	616	118	274	25	7	277	70	-213	-0	-7	+68	+180	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	128	25	3	13	45	161	7	17	9	216	280	334	614	118	273	25	7	277	70	-22	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	69	58	11	1	0	2	8	14	1	2	2	190	299	310	609	121	205	20	12	275	69	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	190	155	31	1	1	5	31	49	2	12	5	200	340	316	657	116	252	26	16	306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	204	181	43	9	1	3	18	52	3	14	9	238	317	348	665	110	312	25	9	301	88	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	71	61	15	6	1	0	8	14	2	6	1	246	352	377	729	131	319	20	11	333	113	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,523	72	82	223	282	345	+38	+21	3.1	3.0
	/162	664	14	15	223	282	345	+7.1	+4.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Almeyda (OGILVIE)	20	35	30	60	35	195/244/268	73	258	2	4	25%	5%	39	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ciro Rosero 2006 · A	20	43	40→30	52→60	42	212/265/301	89	269	8	20	24%	5%	56	-1.3	218/275/300	82	282	7	21	24%	6%	59	-1.1	216/275/289	73	276	8	28	23%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	54	-1.4	206/269/298	92	281	7	9	27%	7%	56	-1.3	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	54	-1.4	213/273/302	89	289	8	7	27%	6%	59	-1.1	191/259/271	81	269	8	6	30%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→35	41→45	53→50	41	222/281/319	97	293	8	13	26%	6%	67	-0.5	197/253/262	65	273	3	10	27%	6%	40	-2.4	177/233/223	47	249	1	10	27%	5%	21	-2.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Fabian Pertuz 2021 · A	20	46→33	38→40	52→55	41	218/270/299	81	295	4	15	26%	5%	56	-1.3	184/231/266	82	290	7	9	37%	5%	31	-3.0	161/209/239	78	247	7	12	37%	4%	13	-2.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2