Luis Almeyda
SS Delmarva Shorebirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKBAL | 190 | .200/.340/.316 | 5 | 12 | 34 | — | .151/.250/.241 |
| 2025 | 19 | A/ROKBAL | 275 | .240/.326/.355 | 3 | 20 | 47 | — | .196/.264/.296 |
| 2026 | 20 | ABAL | 90 | .179/.233/.214 | 0 | 1 | -1 | — | .140/.178/.163 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBBAL | 233 | .207/.262/.293 | 2 | 5 | 56 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBBAL | 43 | .216/.272/.318 | 1 | 1 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBBAL | 98 | .220/.277/.331 | 2 | 2 | 68 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 69 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 299 | 310 | 609 | 121 | 205 | 20 | 12 | 275 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 155 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 49 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 200 | 340 | 316 | 657 | 116 | 252 | 26 | 16 | 306 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 204 | 181 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 52 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 238 | 317 | 348 | 665 | 110 | 312 | 25 | 9 | 301 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 71 | 61 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 246 | 352 | 377 | 729 | 131 | 319 | 20 | 11 | 333 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 179 | 233 | 214 | 448 | 36 | 242 | 24 | 7 | 210 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 69 | 61 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 115 | 194 | 180 | 374 | 66 | 130 | 26 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 166 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 151 | 250 | 241 | 491 | 90 | 206 | 36 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 204 | 186 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 204 | 267 | 306 | 574 | 102 | 297 | 35 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 71 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 172 | 254 | 266 | 519 | 94 | 232 | 30 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 140 | 178 | 163 | 341 | 23 | 228 | 33 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 69 | 61 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 115 | 194 | 180 | 374 | 66 | 136 | 26 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 69 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 299 | 310 | 609 | 121 | 205 | 20 | 12 | 275 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 166 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 151 | 250 | 241 | 491 | 90 | 219 | 36 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 155 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 49 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 200 | 340 | 316 | 657 | 116 | 252 | 26 | 16 | 306 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 250 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 92 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 196 | 264 | 296 | 560 | 100 | 293 | 33 | 7 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 275 | 242 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 66 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 240 | 326 | 355 | 681 | 116 | 314 | 24 | 9 | 309 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 140 | 178 | 163 | 341 | 23 | 214 | 33 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 179 | 233 | 214 | 448 | 36 | 242 | 24 | 7 | 210 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Orange | — | 69 | 63 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 111 | 194 | 175 | 369 | 63 | 130 | 26 | 7 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 166 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 151 | 250 | 241 | 491 | 90 | 206 | 36 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 250 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 92 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 196 | 264 | 296 | 560 | 100 | 280 | 33 | 7 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 140 | 178 | 163 | 341 | 23 | 228 | 33 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 190 | 166 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 151 | 250 | 241 | 491 | 90 | 206 | 36 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 250 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 92 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 196 | 264 | 296 | 560 | 100 | 280 | 33 | 7 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 90 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 140 | 178 | 163 | 341 | 23 | 228 | 33 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | BAL | 0% | 233 | 215 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 262 | 293 | 555 | 86 | 270 | 25 | 6 | 252 | 56 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | BAL | 34% | 124 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 269 | 311 | 580 | 99 | 272 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 63 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | BAL | 48% | 203 | 186 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 274 | 324 | 598 | 107 | 274 | 24 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 286 | 263 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 220 | 278 | 333 | 611 | 113 | 275 | 24 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 345 | 316 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 82 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 281 | 339 | 620 | 117 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 56% | 379 | 347 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 90 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 223 | 283 | 342 | 625 | 120 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 393 | 360 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 222 | 282 | 340 | 622 | 118 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 397 | 363 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 220 | 280 | 336 | 616 | 115 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 392 | 359 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 96 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 218 | 278 | 330 | 607 | 112 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 382 | 351 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 95 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 215 | 274 | 323 | 597 | 108 | 273 | 25 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -15 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | BAL | 34% | 43 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 272 | 318 | 589 | 102 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 63 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | BAL | 48% | 98 | 91 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 277 | 331 | 608 | 111 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 273 | 68 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 151 | 139 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 282 | 341 | 622 | 117 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 279 | 72 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 189 | 173 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 284 | 347 | 631 | 121 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 283 | 74 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 56% | 211 | 193 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 286 | 350 | 637 | 124 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 285 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 216 | 197 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 285 | 348 | 633 | 122 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 284 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 217 | 198 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 224 | 284 | 343 | 627 | 119 | 280 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 209 | 191 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 281 | 337 | 618 | 116 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 277 | 71 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 201 | 184 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 277 | 330 | 607 | 111 | 277 | 25 | 6 | 273 | 68 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1535 | 1406 | 316 | 63 | 8 | 30 | 102 | 371 | 14 | 35 | 14 | 225 | 284 | 345 | 629 | 120 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 279 | 65 | -51 | +1 | -2 | +16 | +33 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 134 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 157 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 225 | 284 | 346 | 630 | 121 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 279 | 65 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3594 | 3286 | 690 | 134 | 19 | 61 | 242 | 926 | 37 | 101 | 48 | 210 | 272 | 318 | 590 | 108 | 271 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -100 | +2 | -4 | +32 | +64 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 124 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 167 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 209 | 271 | 315 | 586 | 106 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -22 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 90 PAwOBA .205 → .167 (−38)K% 24.4% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .205 → .167; ISO .036 → .028; BABIP .242 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 204 PAwOBA .296 → .247 (−49)K% 25.5% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.49% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.045 | 22.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.045 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.904 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.045 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.899 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .296 → .247; ISO .110 → .096; BABIP .312 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 71 PAwOBA .325 → .214 (−111)K% 19.7% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.020 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 13.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.77% | ÷1.033 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 8.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .325 → .214; ISO .131 → .080; BABIP .319 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Orioles · 190 PAwOBA .302 → .219 (−83)K% 25.8% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.79% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.32% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 10.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.987 | ×1.022 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.901 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×1.022 | 0.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.016 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×1.022 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 3.78% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 107, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .302 → .219; ISO .116 → .087; BABIP .252 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 69 PAwOBA .277 → .179 (−97)K% 20.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.29% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.051 | ×0.680 | ×0.984 | ×1.022 | 11.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.991 | ×0.600 | ×0.984 | ×1.022 | 1.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.600 | ×0.984 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.847 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 2.58% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 104, K 88, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .277 → .179; ISO .121 → .070; BABIP .205 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).