Ethan Salas — OGILVIE

Ethan SalasC San Antonio Missions

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.8 · 2032

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .272 / .318

PA278

HR5

SB8

K%27

BB%8

MLB%6%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

36↗45

PWR

35↗48

SPD

46↘42

FLD

49↗70

EYE

45↗47

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$14M	+$13M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.2	$19M	+$18M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+2.7	$25M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.8	$27M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+2.8	$28M	+$14M
Totals		$30M		$135M	+$104M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	A	3 teams	290	263	52	9	2	7	21	103	3	5	3	.198	.265	.327	.592	.129	.288	36	7	.258	56	-14	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2024	18	A+	2 teams	576	524	88	26	2	4	40	155	4	14	4	.168	.232	.248	.480	.080	.225	27	7	.216	24	-50	+1	+0	+10	+16	-2.2
2025	19	AA	San Antonio Missions	41	34	6	1	0	0	4	6	1	2	0	.176	.282	.206	.488	.029	.207	15	10	.235	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	51	48	10	2	0	0	3	19	0	3	0	.208	.255	.250	.505	.042	.345	37	6	.227	32	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	SD	227	206	43	10	1	3	17	64	2	5	1	.209	.276	.311	.586	.102	.282	28	7	.266	61	-10	+1	+1	+4	+6	0.2
TOT	20	MLB	SD	278	254	53	12	1	3	20	83	2	8	1	.209	.272	.299	.571	.091	.296	30	7	.259	56	-14	+1	+1	+5	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 24%	SD	343	309	68	15	1	7	28	83	3	7	1	.220	.291	.343	.634	.123	.277	24	8	.288	79	-8	+1	+1	+6	+10	1.0
2028	22	MLB 45%	SD	434	390	89	20	2	10	37	101	4	9	2	.228	.302	.367	.668	.138	.279	23	9	.300	87	-6	+1	+1	+8	+12	1.6
2029	23	MLB 63%	SD	493	442	102	22	2	13	44	113	4	9	2	.231	.306	.378	.684	.147	.281	23	9	.308	94	-3	+1	+1	+9	+14	2.2
2030	24	MLB 80%	SD	520	462	108	23	2	14	48	117	5	9	2	.234	.313	.383	.696	.149	.281	22	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.5
2031	25	MLB 94%	SD	520	461	109	23	2	15	49	116	5	9	1	.236	.317	.393	.709	.156	.282	22	9	.316	100	-0	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.7
2032	26	MLB	SD	520	460	109	23	2	15	50	116	5	9	1	.237	.318	.393	.712	.157	.282	22	10	.318	101	+1	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.8
2033	27	MLB	SD	520	460	109	23	2	15	50	117	5	8	1	.237	.318	.393	.712	.157	.282	22	10	.318	101	+1	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.8
2034	28	MLB	SD	520	459	108	23	2	15	51	118	5	7	1	.235	.318	.392	.711	.157	.282	23	10	.317	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2035	29	MLB	SD	520	460	108	23	2	15	51	119	4	7	0	.235	.317	.391	.708	.157	.281	23	10	.315	99	-1	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	SD	520	460	107	23	2	14	51	121	4	6	0	.233	.315	.383	.697	.150	.280	23	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2037	31	MLB	SD	504	446	102	22	2	13	49	119	4	5	0	.229	.311	.374	.685	.146	.278	24	10	.308	94	-4	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.9
2038	32	MLB	SD	481	427	95	20	2	12	47	116	4	4	0	.222	.305	.363	.668	.141	.277	24	10	.303	90	-5	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.5
2039	33	MLB	SD	439	390	86	18	1	11	43	109	3	3	0	.221	.303	.356	.659	.136	.275	25	10	.297	86	-7	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.1
2040	34	MLB	SD	384	341	73	15	1	9	37	99	3	3	0	.214	.297	.343	.640	.129	.273	26	10	.291	81	-8	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2041	35	MLB	SD	324	288	61	13	1	7	31	87	2	3	0	.212	.293	.337	.630	.125	.271	27	10	.283	75	-9	+1	-5	+6	+9	0.1
2042	36	MLB	SD	263	234	48	10	1	5	25	73	2	2	0	.205	.287	.321	.608	.115	.267	28	10	.274	68	-10	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	SD	204	182	36	7	1	4	19	59	1	2	0	.198	.277	.313	.590	.115	.263	29	9	.264	60	-9	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8643	7698	1707	369	33	208	792	2111	73	128	19	.222	.300	.359	.660	.138	.276	24	9	.296	85	-150	+18	-21	+154	+245	25.1
/ 162G	—			650	579	129	28	2	16	60	159	5	10	1	.223	.301	.361	.662	.138	.277	24	9	.296	85	-11	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	AA	San Antonio Missions	33	28	5	1	0	0	4	8	1	0	1	.179	.303	.214	.517	.036	.250	24	12	.255	54	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	17	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	37	35	7	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	.200	.243	.229	.472	.029	.280	27	5	.219	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	220	191	51	11	2	9	24	57	2	5	2	.267	.355	.487	.842	.220	.328	26	11	.366	138	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	18	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	469	412	85	27	2	4	47	98	3	10	3	.206	.292	.311	.603	.104	.256	21	10	.274	68	-17	+1	—	—	+13	-0.3
2024	18	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	107	92	21	6	0	4	13	27	1	4	1	.228	.330	.424	.754	.196	.274	25	12	.334	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	19	AA	San Antonio Missions	41	32	6	1	0	0	6	5	1	2	0	.188	.333	.219	.552	.031	.214	12	15	.262	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Salas (OGILVIE)	20	36→45	35→48	46→42	47	.206/.272/.318	.112	.274	5	4	27%	8%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	41→50	41→45	47→55	46	.198/.271/.297	.099	.267	8	10	28%	8%	57	-1.2	.198/.270/.283	.085	.271	5	16	27%	8%	53	-1.5	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	41→50	42→45	48	.206/.286/.310	.104	.297	8	6	31%	10%	67	-0.5	.180/.241/.263	.083	.269	8	5	34%	7%	36	-2.7	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	43→48	42→50	44→50	43	.213/.265/.313	.100	.276	10	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	.231/.289/.361	.130	.314	13	11	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.230/.292/.378	.148	.312	16	11	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→40	41→50	46→40	44	.207/.262/.297	.091	.272	9	9	27%	7%	53	-1.5	.205/.256/.301	.096	.278	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.7	.210/.263/.325	.115	.276	10	3	27%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→47	41→55	46→55	42	.197/.253/.288	.091	.267	9	9	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.203/.263/.335	.132	.270	14	12	29%	7%	64	-0.8	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	.216/.273/.341	.124	.279	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.232/.297/.343	.111	.298	9	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	43→53	41→55	47→40	43	.211/.267/.303	.093	.260	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.250/.290/.373	.123	.301	13	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
●Josh VanMeter 2017 · AA	22	43→49	42→55	46→50	46	.211/.264/.313	.101	.256	10	8	22%	7%	58	-1.2	.221/.275/.345	.124	.275	12	12	23%	7%	71	-0.3	.233/.308/.416	.182	.283	19	12	24%	9%	101	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→47	41→45	46→55	51	.216/.301/.314	.097	.294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	.227/.294/.343	.116	.313	11	10	29%	8%	79	+0.3	.228/.299/.352	.124	.336	11	21	33%	9%	80	+0.2
●Ryan McMahon 2015 · A	20	41→51	46→55	43→45	39	.206/.261/.343	.136	.298	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	.230/.283/.380	.150	.335	15	7	34%	6%	84	+0.6	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
✕Colson Montgomery 2023 · AA	21	46→45	43→55	44→45	45	.224/.295/.333	.109	.302	11	3	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.211/.296/.354	.143	.289	16	5	31%	9%	84	+0.6	.194/.281/.363	.169	.262	21	4	33%	8%	77	+0.1
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A	20	43→51	43→60	47→55	36	.212/.251/.327	.115	.305	11	8	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.228/.271/.373	.145	.324	16	13	33%	5%	76	+0.1	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	43→50	47→40	45	.213/.279/.320	.107	.262	11	5	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.211/.287/.337	.126	.265	13	4	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
●Nomar Mazara 2015 · AA	20	39→49	46→55	43→40	41	.201/.260/.331	.130	.277	14	3	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.235/.294/.373	.138	.289	16	2	24%	7%	86	+0.8	.249/.312/.421	.172	.290	21	3	22%	8%	99	+1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)