Ethan Salas — OGILVIE

Ethan SalasC San Antonio Missions

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION405 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO96

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$54M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT44

xAVG

100.099

POWER50

Avg EV

4288.5

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED42

Sprint

4627.3

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+1.9	$10M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$10M	+1.9	$10M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$15M	+1.9	$9M	+$2M
Totals		$34M		$58M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	33	28	5	1	0	0	4	8	1	0	1	179	303	214	517	36	250	24	12	255	59	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	17	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	37	35	7	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	200	243	229	472	29	280	27	5	219	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	220	191	51	11	2	9	24	57	2	5	2	267	355	487	842	220	328	26	11	366	134	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	18	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	469	412	85	27	2	4	47	98	3	10	3	206	292	311	603	104	256	21	10	274	71	-16	+1	—	—	+10	-0.5
2024	18	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	107	92	21	6	0	4	13	27	1	4	1	228	330	424	754	196	274	25	12	334	112	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	19	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	41	32	6	1	0	0	6	5	1	2	0	188	333	219	552	31	214	12	15	262	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	33	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	1	172	273	207	480	34	230	30	9	207	26	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	17	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	37	36	6	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	167	189	194	384	28	258	35	3	170	1	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	17	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	220	198	43	8	2	7	16	80	2	5	2	217	281	384	665	167	296	36	7	279	75	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2024	18	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	469	427	69	21	1	3	32	135	3	10	3	162	225	237	462	75	220	29	7	213	30	-39	+1	—	—	+10	-2.9
2025	19	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	41	34	6	1	0	0	4	6	1	2	0	176	282	206	488	29	207	15	10	237	47	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	17	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	263	52	9	2	7	21	103	3	5	3	198	265	327	592	129	288	36	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A RAW	3 teams	—	290	254	63	13	2	9	30	75	3	5	3	248	334	421	756	173	312	26	10	335	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	576	525	86	26	2	4	39	165	4	14	4	164	227	244	471	80	225	29	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	576	504	106	33	2	8	60	125	4	14	4	210	299	331	631	121	259	22	10	285	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	41	34	6	1	0	0	4	6	1	2	0	176	282	206	488	29	207	15	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	41	32	6	1	0	0	6	5	1	2	0	188	333	219	552	31	214	12	15	262	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	264	52	9	2	7	21	103	3	5	3	197	265	326	591	129	284	36	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	576	528	86	26	2	4	39	165	4	14	4	163	227	242	470	80	220	29	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	41	36	6	1	0	0	4	6	1	2	0	167	282	194	476	28	207	15	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	264	52	9	2	7	21	103	3	5	3	197	265	326	591	129	284	36	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	576	528	86	26	2	4	39	165	4	14	4	163	227	242	470	80	220	29	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	41	36	6	1	0	0	4	6	1	2	0	167	282	194	476	28	207	15	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA MLE	SD	—	405	365	98	17	2	8	31	71	1	17	8	268	327	392	719	123	306	18	8	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	AA RAW	SD	—	300	259	74	13	0	7	33	48	1	14	6	286	367	417	784	131	319	16	11	346	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AAA RAW	SD	—	105	89	29	6	2	3	14	10	0	3	2	326	417	539	957	213	333	10	13	412	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	AA MLE	SD	14%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		286	20	10	290	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	20	MLB CTX	SD	14%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	285	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	MLB A+C	SD	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	285	99	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	AA MLE	SD	—	415	374	100	17	2	8	32	73	1	17	8	267	327	388	714	120	306	18	8	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	49%	493	450	108	21	2	9	37	97	3	13	5	240	302	356	658	116	286	20	8	296	86	-8	+1	+1	+9	+11	1.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	63%	506	458	114	22	2	12	40	97	3	13	6	249	313	384	698	135	287	19	8	308	95	-3	+0	+1	+9	+11	1.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	69%	520	470	119	23	2	14	42	98	3	14	6	253	318	400	718	147	288	19	8	317	100	+0	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	70%	520	470	120	23	2	15	42	97	3	14	6	255	320	409	729	153	289	19	8	322	104	+2	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	70%	520	468	120	23	2	15	43	96	4	14	6	256	324	410	735	154	289	18	8	325	106	+4	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	71%	520	468	120	23	2	15	43	96	4	14	6	256	324	410	735	154	289	18	8	326	107	+4	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	69%	520	467	119	23	2	15	44	97	4	14	6	255	324	409	733	154	289	19	8	326	107	+4	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	69%	520	467	119	23	2	15	44	97	4	13	5	255	324	409	733	154	288	19	8	325	106	+4	+1	+1	+9	+11	2.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	67%	520	467	118	22	2	15	45	98	3	12	5	253	322	405	727	152	287	19	9	323	105	+3	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	66%	520	467	118	22	2	15	45	100	3	11	5	253	322	405	727	152	286	19	9	320	103	+2	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	SD	65%	504	453	112	21	2	14	43	98	3	9	4	247	317	395	712	148	284	19	9	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	SD	65%	481	434	104	19	1	13	41	96	3	7	3	240	310	378	688	138	281	20	9	310	96	-2	+0	-2	+9	+10	1.5
2039	33	MLB MLE	SD	65%	440	397	94	17	1	11	37	90	3	5	2	237	307	368	674	131	277	20	8	303	91	-5	+0	-3	+8	+10	1.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	SD	60%	384	347	79	14	1	9	32	81	2	3	1	228	297	352	648	124	271	21	8	294	85	-7	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	49%	241	220	52	10	1	4	18	47	1	6	3	236	297	345	643	109	282	20	7	290	86	-4	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	63%	320	290	72	14	1	8	25	61	2	8	4	248	312	386	699	138	284	19	8	302	95	-2	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	69%	359	325	81	15	1	10	29	68	2	9	4	249	315	394	708	145	285	19	8	311	100	+0	+0	+1	+6	+8	1.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	70%	364	329	83	16	2	10	30	68	2	10	4	252	319	404	723	152	286	19	8	316	104	+2	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	70%	366	331	85	16	2	11	30	68	2	10	4	257	322	417	739	160	286	19	8	319	106	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	71%	367	330	85	16	2	11	31	68	3	10	4	258	327	418	745	161	286	19	8	320	107	+3	+0	+1	+7	+8	1.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	69%	361	326	82	15	1	11	30	67	2	9	4	252	318	405	723	153	286	19	8	320	107	+3	+0	+1	+6	+8	1.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	69%	357	322	81	15	1	11	30	67	2	9	4	252	319	407	726	155	285	19	8	319	106	+3	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	67%	348	313	78	15	1	10	30	66	2	8	3	249	319	399	718	150	284	19	9	317	105	+2	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	66%	342	308	76	14	1	10	29	66	2	7	3	247	316	396	712	149	283	19	8	315	103	+1	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	SD	65%	328	295	72	13	1	9	28	64	2	6	3	244	314	386	700	142	281	20	9	310	100	+0	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	SD	65%	312	280	67	12	1	8	27	62	2	5	2	239	311	375	686	136	278	20	9	305	96	-1	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	SD	65%	284	256	60	11	1	7	24	58	2	3	1	234	305	367	672	133	274	20	8	298	91	-3	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.7
2040	34	MLB CTX	SD	60%	231	208	48	8	1	6	20	49	1	2	1	231	301	365	667	135	268	21	9	289	85	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4581	4134	1022	190	17	126	381	879	27	102	44	247	315	393	708	146	284	19	8	311	93	+2	+3	-2	+82	+99	18.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	145	27	2	18	54	125	4	14	6	247	315	392	707	145	283	19	8	311	93	+0	+0	-0	+12	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7885	7114	1710	332	29	198	643	1614	53	177	73	240	308	379	687	138	283	20	8	306	93	-1	+5	-3	+125	+151	28.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	140	27	2	16	53	133	4	15	6	239	306	374	680	135	281	20	8	306	93	-0	+0	-0	+12	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Crawfordlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,318 PA	9.5	6,318	147	47	249	318	395	+68	+142	38.8	34.0
/162	664	15	5	+7.1	+14.9	4.1	pk7: 29
#2Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	6.6	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#3Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	8.3	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
/162	664	14	17	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#5Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,626	124	104	250	314	395	+83	+72	21.2	17.3
/162	664	18	15	+11.9	+10.3	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Salas (OGILVIE)	20	36→44	39→50	45→42	47	237/297/343	107	286	5	10	20%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Ramón Urías 2015 · AAA	21	45→55	41→50	42→50	43	220/282/318	99	268	8	9	21%	5%	72	-0.7	262/325/372	110	313	10	13	19%	5%	99	+1.3	277/345/394	117	329	11	14	18%	5%	109	+1.2
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	45	37→40	47→40	49	212/281/290	78	265	3	4	20%	8%	64	-1.3	230/289/333	103	271	9	4	18%	7%	77	-0.3	263/309/326	63	295	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	68	-1.0	180/243/263	83	270	8	5	34%	7%	44	-2.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
●Josh Thole 2007 · A	20	43→53	37→40	45	44	204/267/272	68	268	5	5	25%	6%	55	-2.0	252/314/324	72	302	3	4	16%	8%	84	+0.1	283/345/381	98	319	4	4	12%	8%	107	+1.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	43→49	42→50	44→50	43	213/265/317	104	278	10	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	231/290/362	131	316	13	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jeffer Patino 2009 · A	20	49	39→45	41→45	49	231/298/323	92	280	5	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/256/281	75	259	5	4	21%	6%	52	-2.2	182/221/238	56	229	5	2	22%	4%	26	-1.0
✕Austin Hedges 2014 · AA	21	45→40	41→60	44→45	43	220/272/325	106	269	8	11	21%	5%	69	-0.9	212/251/318	106	263	10	5	23%	4%	59	-1.7	227/269/410	183	271	25	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Martin 2016 · A	20	47→49	40→60	47→50	46	224/278/320	96	284	6	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	220/271/362	142	295	15	13	29%	7%	77	-0.3	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→55	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	248/300/360	112	296	11	2	20%	6%	86	+0.3	257/334/422	165	298	20	1	20%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Daniel Descalso 2009 · AA	22	47→55	42→50	42→45	45	229/281/338	109	262	8	8	16%	5%	75	-0.5	248/303/359	111	286	7	6	15%	6%	88	+0.4	233/339/396	163	287	16	4	23%	13%	107	+1.1
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	60	-1.6	187/235/264	77	245	5	4	25%	5%	40	-3.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→55	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	69	-0.9	239/314/332	93	303	5	9	21%	8%	86	+0.3	240/350/332	92	308	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	42→52	41→55	47→40	43	207/263/295	88	260	9	5	24%	6%	59	-1.7	249/288/373	124	301	12	4	21%	4%	85	+0.2	256/302/422	166	302	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps