Yael Romero

1B ACL Reds

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROK/INTL2 orgs	219	.268/.463/.395	2	2	82	—	.183/.359/.260
2025	19	ROK/INTL2 orgs	174	.222/.380/.393	3	3	73	—	.150/.306/.250
2026	20	ROK/INTL2 orgs	92	.284/.473/.582	4	0	120	—	.214/.380/.429
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBCIN	182	.212/.301/.322	2	2	79	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCIN	33	.218/.306/.342	1	0	83	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO98

wOBA96

wRC+96

BB%76

K%45

Whiff%36

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsAlexander Ovalles (age 21) · Gabriel Moncada (age 21) · Nick Maton (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .298 / .319

PA42

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	131	92	25	7	0	1	35	29	3	1	0	272	485	380	865	109	381	22	27	405	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	170	120	35	12	1	1	37	24	10	2	1	292	491	433	924	142	347	14	22	419	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	49	37	7	0	0	1	8	16	2	0	0	189	362	270	632	81	273	33	16	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	98	73	17	4	2	2	19	22	5	3	0	233	418	425	843	192	306	22	19	384	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	76	62	13	2	2	1	11	21	0	0	1	210	329	355	684	145	279	28	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	72	51	16	6	1	3	14	16	6	0	0	314	507	647	1.154	333	394	22	19	488	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	20	16	3	0	0	1	4	6	0	0	0	188	350	375	725	188	222	30	20	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	103	18	5	0	1	24	36	3	1	0	175	346	252	599	78	246	27	18	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	170	131	24	8	1	0	26	31	10	2	1	183	359	260	619	76	214	18	15	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	98	80	12	3	1	1	13	31	5	3	0	150	306	250	556	100	222	32	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	72	56	12	4	1	2	9	23	6	0	0	214	380	429	809	214	291	32	12	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	103	18	5	0	1	24	36	3	1	0	175	346	252	599	78	254	27	18	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	131	92	25	7	0	1	35	29	3	1	0	272	485	380	865	109	381	22	27	405	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	219	168	31	10	1	1	34	39	12	2	1	185	360	274	634	89	226	18	16	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	219	157	42	12	1	2	45	40	12	2	1	268	463	395	858	127	333	18	21	392	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	144	21	5	2	2	22	56	5	3	1	146	281	250	531	104	213	32	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	174	135	30	6	4	3	30	43	5	3	1	222	380	393	773	170	293	25	17	347	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	74	16	6	1	3	11	29	6	0	0	216	363	446	809	230	302	32	12	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	92	67	19	6	1	4	18	22	6	0	0	284	473	582	1.055	299	357	24	20	455	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	131	103	18	5	0	1	24	36	3	1	0	175	346	252	599	78	246	27	18	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	219	171	31	10	1	1	34	39	12	2	1	181	360	269	629	88	214	18	16	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	145	21	5	2	2	22	56	5	3	1	145	281	248	529	103	222	32	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	75	16	6	1	3	11	29	6	0	0	213	363	440	803	227	291	32	12	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	219	171	31	10	1	1	34	39	12	2	1	181	360	269	629	88	214	18	16	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	174	145	21	5	2	2	22	56	5	3	1	145	281	248	529	103	222	32	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	92	75	16	6	1	3	11	29	6	0	0	213	363	440	803	227	291	32	12	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	182	159	33	7	1	2	17	49	4	2	1	212	301	322	623	110	286	27	9	284	79	-5	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	95	84	19	4	1	2	9	25	2	1	0	217	305	336	641	120	287	26	9	291	83	-2	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	33	29	6	1	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	218	306	342	648	124	288	27	9	294	83	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	33	29	6	1	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	207	303	345	648	138	263	27	9	294	80	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	119	20	0	20	59	177	20	0	0	208	305	349	653	140	265	27	9	294	80	-13	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	753	610	113	32	5	10	104	196	29	7	2	185	331	303	634	118	249	26	14	286	80	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	527	98	28	4	9	90	169	25	6	2	186	332	306	638	120	249	26	14	286	80	-14	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Reds · 72 PAwOBA .483 → .349 (−135)K% 22.2% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	32.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.44%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.985	11.87%
HBP% /PA	8.33%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	5.91%
Singles /BIP	17.14%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.985	13.85%
Doubles /BIP	17.14%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.985	12.16%
Triples /BIP	2.86%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.985	2.03%
Home runs /BIP	8.57%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.985	6.59%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .483 → .349; ISO .333 → .255; BABIP .394 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 98 PAwOBA .375 → .257 (−118)K% 22.4% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.45%	÷1.010	×1.440	—	—	32.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.39%	÷0.931	×0.620	—	×0.995	12.84%
HBP% /PA	5.10%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	3.66%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.039	×0.820	×0.977	×0.995	13.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷0.963	×0.720	×0.977	×0.995	5.70%
Triples /BIP	3.92%	÷1.150	×0.720	×0.977	×0.995	2.39%
Home runs /BIP	3.92%	÷1.252	×0.780	—	×0.995	2.43%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .375 → .257; ISO .192 → .123; BABIP .306 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Reds · 170 PAwOBA .418 → .287 (−131)K% 14.1% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.12%	÷0.957	×1.220	—	—	18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.76%	÷0.994	×0.700	—	×0.995	15.25%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	4.10%
Singles /BIP	21.88%	÷1.068	×0.680	×0.983	×0.995	13.63%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.960	×0.600	×0.983	×0.995	7.64%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷0.901	×0.600	×0.983	×0.995	0.68%
Home runs /BIP	1.04%	÷1.136	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .418 → .287; ISO .142 → .091; BABIP .347 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Reds · 131 PAwOBA .400 → .277 (−123)K% 22.1% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.14%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	27.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	26.72%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	18.36%
HBP% /PA	2.29%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.62%
Singles /BIP	26.98%	÷1.015	×0.680	×0.985	×1.008	17.93%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.975	×0.600	×0.985	×1.008	6.78%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.985	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.59%	÷0.917	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.82%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .400 → .277; ISO .109 → .069; BABIP .381 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yael Romero (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	210/298/319	109	286	1	0	27%	9%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Ovalles 2022 · A	21	45→41	43→50	45→50	45	221/286/331	110	288	10	6	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/279/336	122	291	13	10	29%	7%	74	-0.5	204/271/332	129	273	15	11	30%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	42→41	41→45	43→40	46	202/284/303	100	289	8	5	31%	9%	69	-0.9	190/262/290	100	292	9	3	35%	8%	57	-1.8	172/243/262	90	267	8	1	36%	8%	42	-1.5
✕Nick Maton 2019 · A	22	43→42	42→50	47→45	40	211/264/322	111	295	9	5	30%	6%	65	-1.2	211/278/312	101	291	8	8	28%	8%	68	-1.0	210/302/353	143	263	16	4	25%	10%	86	+0.2
✕William Beckwith 2011 · A	20	43→44	41→50	52→50	47	211/282/312	101	273	9	9	25%	8%	70	-0.8	217/282/362	145	287	16	10	29%	6%	82	-0.0	210/276/362	152	278	19	11	31%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Juan Silva 2012 · A	21	42→47	40→45	46→55	42	200/264/291	91	304	7	7	34%	8%	58	-1.7	225/301/328	103	316	8	21	29%	10%	80	-0.1	231/313/335	104	314	8	29	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Jake Fox 2024 · A	21	45→44	41→40	51→50	48	214/291/317	103	293	7	11	28%	9%	74	-0.5	206/285/303	97	281	6	12	26%	10%	69	-0.9	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Wilmer Oberto 2014 · A	21	40	42→45	46→45	45	199/268/302	103	246	9	5	23%	6%	63	-1.4	204/256/307	103	295	9	4	32%	6%	58	-1.7	169/212/272	104	257	9	0	37%	5%	32	-1.0
✕KD Kang 2009 · A	21	44→51	40→50	47→45	41	213/261/311	97	294	6	6	29%	6%	61	-1.5	229/294/339	110	328	6	7	30%	8%	80	-0.2	229/303/348	119	323	8	6	29%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Beau Mills 2008 · A	21	45→49	45→50	48→30	40	223/276/351	128	286	12	4	26%	5%	76	-0.4	237/283/377	140	293	15	3	24%	5%	84	+0.2	239/280/370	131	277	14	1	19%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2014 · A	22	44→43	44→55	44→50	44	216/276/336	120	286	11	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	206/262/372	166	293	20	9	35%	7%	76	-0.4	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Grant Lavigne 2021 · A	21	42→50	39→45	42→45	44	201/273/280	79	292	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.6	213/292/316	103	323	9	5	34%	9%	74	-0.5	208/293/328	119	302	12	5	32%	9%	76	-0.4
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	39→43	38→50	44→45	55	184/287/262	78	251	5	9	26%	12%	61	-1.5	200/279/332	132	299	14	7	35%	9%	74	-0.6	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Cornelius Randolph 2018 · A	21	47→51	42→45	46→45	44	222/291/329	107	318	9	6	31%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/317	94	313	8	7	29%	8%	72	-0.7	218/282/305	87	306	8	8	29%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Boss Moanaroa 2012 · A	21	46→47	39→40	48→30	42	216/277/303	88	315	7	5	32%	7%	65	-1.2	193/272/270	77	320	6	2	37%	9%	57	-1.8	174/259/243	69	291	6	0	38%	10%	45	-1.7
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Ademar Rifaela 2016 · A	21	42→45	42→50	41→45	44	206/268/307	102	274	9	5	28%	7%	63	-1.3	215/261/345	130	307	14	5	33%	5%	70	-0.9	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6