Ismael Cabral
P
FCL Rays
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 194 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160151vR 142
ERA6.32
FIP6.32
K%10.5%
BB%17.0%
K-BB%-6.5%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 13 | 0 | 24 | 111 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 9.2% | 19.1% | -10.0% | 1.4% | 4.94 | 5.54 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 13 | 0 | 24 | 111 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 13.5% | 15.3% | -1.8% | 0.9% | 4.94 | 4.54 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 12 | 11 | 42 | 190 | 28 | 21 | 1 | 92% | 3.5 | 10.0% | 13.8% | -3.8% | 0.8% | 3.21 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 12 | 11 | 42 | 190 | 28 | 21 | 1 | 92% | 3.5 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 3.21 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 8 | 47 | 217 | 37 | 27 | 3 | 67% | 3.9 | 11.6% | 15.6% | -4.0% | 1.9% | 4.79 | 5.11 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 8 | 47 | 217 | 37 | 27 | 3 | 67% | 3.9 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 4.79 | 4.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 19 | 0 | 33 | 122 | 35 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.5% | 15.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 1.09 | 3.40 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 20 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.5% | 17.0% | -6.5% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 6.32 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.5% | 17.0% | -6.5% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 6.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TB | — | — | 78 | 310 | 55 | 47 | 5 | — | — | 17.6% | 15.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.10 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TB | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 27 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 15.3% | -1.7% | 2.8% | 5.95 | 5.83 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TB | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 31 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 5.53 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TB | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TB | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 15.3% | -1.7% | 2.8% | 5.95 | 5.83 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TB | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 27 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 62 | 57 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.64 | 5.15 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 131 | 120 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.64 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 19 | 146 | 640 | 78 | 100 | 7 | 34% | 2.6 | 12.2% | 15.6% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 3.52 | 4.65 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 26 | 200 | 879 | 107 | 137 | 10 | 34% | 2.6 | 12.2% | 15.6% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 3.52 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ismael Cabral (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.32 | 10.5% | 17.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.57 | 15.3% | 0.9% | 142 | -0.75 | — | — | — |
| Johsson Arias R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 87 |
| Austin Amaral R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 83 |
| Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 81 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 80 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 79 |
| Fraimin Marte R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.22 | 12.2% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .202 | 5.58 | 18.7% | 0.3% | 23 | +0.36 | 4.50 | 111 | 79 |
| Kendy Richard R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 79 |
| Luis De La Cruz R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 13.0% | 19.2% | 1.3% | .331 | 5.65 | 20.6% | -2.5% | 45 | +0.50 | 3.55 | 139 | 79 |
| Miguel Mora R 2025 · 7.01 FIP | 21 | SU | 7.01 | 10.5% | 26.8% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 151 | 78 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.25 | 12.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .381 | 6.70 | 10.3% | -5.6% | 47 | +1.45 | 5.25 | 110 | 78 |
| Zach Mort R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .240 | 5.35 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 176 | +0.21 | 5.14 | 237 | 78 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2027 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 78 |
| Juan Soto R 2024 · 6.40 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.40 | 8.9% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.06 | 102 | 77 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 77 |
| Blake Quinn R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 77 |
| Diogenes Almengo R 2025 · 6.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.34 | 8.2% | 18.3% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.55 | 21.0% | 5.1% | 70 | -1.79 | 2.12 | 242 | 76 |
| Noah Takacs R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.82 | 12.5% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .301 | 5.77 | 13.8% | -2.3% | 83 | -0.05 | 5.15 | 122 | 76 |
| Drew Conover R 2027 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 75 |
| Cooper Adams R 2028 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 74 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.49 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 3.96 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 152 | -1.53 | 3.52 | 171 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 1.10 | 5.83 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |