Frank Martinez — OGILVIE

Frank Martinez P Hickory Crawdads

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%20.7%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	2	20	111	17	18	1	18%	1.8	10.4%	20.3%	-9.9%	1.2%	10.18	5.44	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	2	20	111	17	18	1	18%	1.8	10.4%	20.3%	-9.9%	1.2%	10.18	5.44	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	11	2	20	111	17	18	1	18%	1.8	15.3%	16.2%	-0.9%	0.9%	10.18	4.72	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	37	163	48	28	5	0%	2.6	20.0%	21.5%	-1.4%	3.2%	3.41	5.90	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	37	163	48	28	5	0%	2.6	20.0%	21.5%	-1.4%	3.2%	3.41	5.90	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	37	163	48	28	5	0%	2.6	29.4%	17.2%	12.3%	3.1%	3.41	4.53	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	42	180	45	18	1	0%	1.7	17.5%	13.3%	4.3%	0.0%	4.50	3.30	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	42	180	45	18	1	0%	1.7	17.5%	13.3%	4.3%	0.0%	4.50	3.30	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	42	180	45	18	1	0%	1.7	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	0.6%	4.50	2.55	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	27	4	50	237	52	26	9	15%	1.9	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	5.2%	7.38	6.23	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	27	4	50	237	52	26	9	15%	1.9	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	5.2%	7.38	6.23	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	TEX	25	4	47	225	50	25	9	16%	1.9	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	4.0%	7.66	4.83	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	TEX	2	0	3	12	2	1	0	0%	1.5	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	3.00	2.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	47	0	50	209	45	28	6	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.8%	2.9%	5.05	4.97	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	47	0	50	209	45	28	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.2%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.90	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	20	0	21	89	19	12	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	7.8%	2.9%	5.05	4.97	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	31	0	33	139	30	18	4	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.2%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.90	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	228	49	30	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.3%	8.3%	2.9%	4.98	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	111	26	0%	1.1	21.6%	13.3%	8.3%	2.9%	4.98	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		77	6	149	691	115	112	19	8%	1.9	16.6%	16.3%	0.3%	2.7%	5.97	5.26	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	8	200	925	154	151	25	8%	1.9	16.6%	16.3%	0.3%	2.7%	5.97	5.26	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frank Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	20.7%	15.4%	2.9%	—	4.94	21.5%	8.2%	99	-0.33	—	—	—
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	85
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	84
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	84
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	83
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	83
Kasey Ford R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	21.3%	14.7%	3.6%	.302	3.83	22.2%	5.5%	65	-1.29	2.53	114	83
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	83
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	83
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	82
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	82
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	82
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	82
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	39	21.4%	13.7%	1.12	5.04
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22