Braulio Salas — OGILVIE

Braulio Salas P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%16.5%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%2.8%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	3	0	5	31	4	2	1	0%	1.8	12.9%	6.5%	6.5%	3.2%	10.12	4.60	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	3	0	5	31	4	2	1	0%	1.8	12.9%	6.5%	6.5%	3.2%	10.12	5.16	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	9	8	30	137	25	16	1	89%	3.3	12.4%	14.6%	-2.2%	0.8%	5.46	4.34	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	9	8	30	137	25	16	1	89%	3.3	12.4%	14.6%	-2.2%	0.8%	5.46	4.34	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	9	8	30	137	25	16	1	89%	3.3	18.2%	11.7%	6.6%	0.7%	5.46	3.47	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	4	32	131	35	9	0	40%	3.2	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	0.0%	3.06	2.65	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	4	32	131	35	9	0	40%	3.2	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	0.0%	3.06	2.65	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	10	4	32	131	35	9	0	40%	3.2	26.7%	6.9%	19.8%	0.0%	3.06	1.77	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	39	182	31	25	1	0%	2.3	12.0%	16.6%	-4.6%	0.7%	3.72	4.57	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	39	182	31	25	1	0%	2.3	12.0%	16.6%	-4.6%	0.7%	3.72	4.57	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	39	182	31	25	1	0%	2.3	17.0%	13.7%	3.3%	0.5%	3.72	3.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	41	0	67	296	63	37	4	0%	1.6	15.9%	14.7%	1.2%	1.7%	4.70	4.57	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	41	0	67	296	63	37	4	0%	1.6	15.9%	14.7%	1.2%	1.7%	4.70	4.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	MIA	31	0	50	214	49	30	3	0%	1.6	22.9%	14.0%	8.9%	1.4%	3.81	3.71	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	MIA	10	0	17	82	14	7	1	0%	1.7	17.1%	8.5%	8.5%	1.2%	7.27	3.41	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	66	0	69	291	55	35	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.0%	6.8%	2.7%	5.05	4.92	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	68	0	72	302	61	33	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	2.7%	4.79	4.64	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	70	0	73	309	65	32	8	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	2.7%	4.59	4.47	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	71	0	74	313	67	30	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	2.7%	4.46	4.38	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	71	0	74	313	68	30	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.7%	12.0%	2.7%	4.40	4.35	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	70	0	73	309	67	30	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.8%	11.9%	2.7%	4.40	4.39	+0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	68	0	71	299	64	30	8	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	68	286	61	29	9	0%	1.1	21.3%	10.1%	11.1%	3.0%	4.54	4.61	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	269	56	28	9	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.2%	4.69	4.78	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	32	0	34	144	27	17	4	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.0%	6.8%	2.7%	5.05	4.92	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	44	24	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	2.7%	4.79	4.64	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	58	0	61	258	54	26	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	2.7%	4.59	4.47	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	63	0	66	279	60	27	7	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	2.7%	4.46	4.38	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	65	0	68	287	62	28	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.7%	12.0%	2.7%	4.40	4.35	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	65	0	68	287	62	28	8	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.8%	11.9%	2.7%	4.40	4.39	+0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	63	0	66	279	60	28	8	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.9%	11.6%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	61	0	64	270	58	27	8	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.1%	11.1%	3.0%	4.54	4.61	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57	0	60	253	53	26	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.4%	10.5%	3.2%	4.69	4.78	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		513	0	539	2275	480	232	64	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.2%	10.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.15	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	86	24	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.2%	10.9%	2.8%	4.56	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		80	12	173	777	114	107	8	15%	2.2	14.6%	13.8%	0.9%	1.1%	4.47	4.21	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	14	200	898	131	124	10	15%	2.2	14.6%	13.8%	0.9%	1.1%	4.47	4.21	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braulio Salas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	16.5%	13.7%	2.8%	—	4.67	20.0%	9.0%	214	-0.68	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	88
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	87
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	87
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	87
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	86
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	86
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	85
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Robbie Hitt R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	21	SU	4.66	14.6%	11.2%	2.5%	.368	3.33	15.9%	5.5%	121	-1.33	2.92	238	85
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	85
Brooks Crawford R 2019 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	14.9%	13.7%	2.2%	.262	3.56	22.1%	14.5%	103	-1.22	2.50	296	85
Walker Weickel R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	21	SU	4.92	13.1%	11.7%	2.6%	.357	4.09	15.6%	8.1%	188	-0.83	4.02	273	85
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	84
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	66	20.8%	10.4%	1.08	4.62
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93