Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 3 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 12.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 10.12 | 4.60 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 3 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 12.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 10.12 | 5.16 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 9 | 8 | 30 | 137 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 89% | 3.3 | 12.4% | 14.6% | -2.2% | 0.7% | 5.46 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 9 | 8 | 30 | 137 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 89% | 3.3 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 0.7% | 5.46 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 10 | 4 | 32 | 131 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 40% | 3.2 | 18.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 2.65 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 10 | 4 | 32 | 131 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 40% | 3.2 | 26.7% | 6.9% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 1.77 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 39 | 182 | 31 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 12.0% | 16.6% | -4.6% | 0.7% | 3.72 | 4.56 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 39 | 182 | 31 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 3.72 | 3.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 29 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 45 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.45 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 68 | 287 | 64 | 35 | 4 | — | — | 22.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 3.78 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 73 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 68 | 12 | 153 | 678 | 101 | 93 | 6 | 18% | 2.2 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 4.06 | 4.06 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 16 | 200 | 886 | 132 | 122 | 8 | 18% | 2.2 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 4.06 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braulio Salas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.31 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 22 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 93 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 88 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 87 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 86 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 86 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 86 |
| Gerlin Rosario R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.79 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 139 | +0.78 | 2.91 | 233 | 86 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 86 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 86 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 85 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 85 |
| Zac Ryan R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 85 |
| Justin Lasko R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.78 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 152 | +1.06 | 3.72 | 173 | 85 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 85 |
| Kyle Marman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 85 |
| Luke Bell R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 84 |
| Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 84 |
| Reece Karalus R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 84 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 84 |