Jake Zitella — OGILVIE

Jake Zitella3B FCL Mets

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .265 / .287

PA79

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	105	190	158	348	53	154	29	10	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	214	19	14	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	172	155	27	6	1	1	9	62	7	1	1	174	251	245	497	71	280	36	5	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	172	147	37	9	1	2	17	41	7	1	1	252	357	367	724	116	333	24	10	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	NYM	—	79	73	15	3	1	1	5	24	1	1	0	205	266	315	581	110	288	30	6	254	52	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	34%	120	109	23	4	1	2	8	36	2	1	0	211	277	321	598	110	290	30	7	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYM	48%	256	232	49	9	2	4	18	74	4	3	1	211	280	319	598	108	291	29	7	272	67	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	355	322	69	13	2	6	25	102	5	4	1	214	281	323	604	109	292	29	7	278	71	-12	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	416	377	83	16	3	8	30	119	6	4	1	220	288	342	630	122	292	29	7	281	73	-13	+0	+0	+1	+12	0.1
2027	22	MLB	NYM	34%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	189	268	297	566	108	290	29	7	254	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYM	48%	124	112	25	5	1	2	9	36	2	1	0	223	293	339	632	116	291	29	7	262	58	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	187	169	36	7	1	3	13	54	3	2	1	213	281	320	601	107	292	29	7	267	62	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	228	207	44	8	1	4	16	65	3	2	1	213	279	319	598	106	292	29	7	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	580	525	112	21	3	10	41	167	9	5	2	213	282	322	604	109	291	29	7	266	62	-25	+0	+0	+2	+16	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	125	24	3	11	46	187	10	6	2	213	281	320	600	107	290	29	7	266	62	-28	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	1419	1287	268	52	10	22	97	423	25	14	4	208	277	315	592	107	290	30	7	268	63	-59	+1	+0	+5	+40	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	123	24	5	10	44	194	11	6	2	208	276	317	592	108	290	30	7	268	63	-27	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	214	19	14	247	47	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	172	147	37	9	1	2	17	41	7	1	1	252	357	367	724	116	333	24	10	331	112	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	659	11	7	215	279	327	+2	+2	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	11	7	215	279	327	+2.4	+1.5	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Zitella (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/265/287	87	288	1	1	31%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Kevin Ahrens 2010 · A	21	41→46	38→45	47→40	41	198/251/277	80	281	5	3	30%	6%	43	-2.2	198/257/302	104	262	10	3	27%	7%	53	-1.5	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Gavin LaValley 2016 · A	21	43	38→50	48→40	40	204/261/280	75	297	5	4	32%	6%	48	-1.9	212/261/333	121	291	13	2	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/253/340	137	270	17	1	31%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Derrick Mitchell 2008 · A	21	39→47	39→50	46→55	38	192/244/276	84	272	6	9	31%	5%	40	-2.4	198/237/318	120	258	11	10	27%	4%	48	-1.9	215/265/342	127	278	13	19	27%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	40	37→45	43→45	38	196/244/265	69	264	5	4	27%	4%	37	-2.7	217/277/307	90	287	5	6	25%	6%	63	-0.9	222/289/325	103	288	5	5	23%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7