Jake Zitella — OGILVIE

Jake Zitella3B FCL Mets

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .266 / .287

PA7

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	214	19	14	247	53	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Mets	—	172	147	37	9	1	2	17	41	7	1	1	252	357	367	724	116	333	24	10	331	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	105	190	158	348	53	166	29	10	164	-3	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	172	154	27	6	1	1	10	61	7	1	1	175	257	247	504	71	271	35	6	228	40	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	105	190	158	348	53	154	29	10	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	214	19	14	247	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	172	154	27	6	1	1	10	61	7	1	1	175	257	247	504	71	280	35	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	172	147	37	9	1	2	17	41	7	1	1	252	357	367	724	116	333	24	10	331	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	105	190	158	348	53	166	29	10	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	172	153	27	6	1	1	10	61	7	1	1	176	257	248	506	72	271	35	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	21	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	105	190	158	348	53	166	29	10	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	172	153	27	6	1	1	10	61	7	1	1	176	257	248	506	72	271	35	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		288	29	0	255	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	120	109	23	4	1	2	8	35	2	1	0	211	277	321	598	110	290	29	7	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	189	268	297	566	108	282	29	7	250	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	189	268	297	566	108	250	29	7	250	48	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	111	16	0	16	48	190	16	0	0	189	269	298	567	109	249	29	7	250	48	-26	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	320	289	53	11	2	3	20	104	9	2	1	183	258	266	524	83	272	32	6	238	48	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	107	22	4	6	41	211	18	4	2	182	257	264	521	82	270	32	6	238	48	-27	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Zitella (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/266/287	86	288	1	1	30%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→23	42→50	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	76	-0.4	183/279/347	164	286	19	5	40%	9%	78	-0.3	155/265/319	163	241	20	5	41%	10%	64	-0.8
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	42→38	36→40	46→50	45	196/282/260	64	285	4	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	195/265/290	95	267	9	12	29%	7%	59	-1.7	182/251/273	91	250	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A	21	39	41→40	43→45	43	194/265/291	97	265	8	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	199/257/281	82	285	5	6	30%	6%	53	-2.1	173/227/238	65	246	2	6	29%	5%	30	-1.2
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	41	40→45	47→60	42	200/264/290	90	290	8	9	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/247/278	87	313	7	24	39%	6%	49	-2.4	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Alex Murphy 2016 · A	21	42→37	41→45	50→40	39	205/258/310	105	291	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	196/254/318	122	287	13	3	35%	6%	61	-1.5	184/245/308	124	268	14	1	35%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	51	-2.2	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	61	-1.5	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→43	43→45	45	38	188/239/301	113	261	9	5	31%	5%	51	-2.3	207/258/327	120	276	13	6	29%	6%	64	-1.3	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8