Jaxon Willits — OGILVIE

Jaxon WillitsSS Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 22 S/R A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .291 / .326

PA117

HR2

K%29

BB%9

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	95	29	7	0	3	22	28	1	11	1	305	441	474	914	168	400	24	18	408	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	102	23	5	0	2	15	38	1	11	1	225	331	333	664	108	337	32	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	102	23	5	0	2	15	38	1	11	1	225	331	333	664	108	333	32	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	95	29	7	0	3	22	28	1	11	1	305	441	474	914	168	400	24	18	408	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	102	23	5	0	2	15	38	1	11	1	225	331	333	664	108	337	32	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	119	102	23	5	0	2	15	38	1	11	1	225	331	333	664	108	337	32	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	229	204	43	8	1	4	21	67	2	5	1	213	293	329	622	116	289	29	9	282	77	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	25%	201	178	38	7	1	4	19	58	2	4	1	215	296	335	631	120	290	29	9	286	80	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAA	36%	308	273	60	11	2	7	29	87	3	6	1	218	298	341	639	123	291	28	9	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAA	43%	372	332	73	14	2	8	34	104	3	7	1	219	299	345	644	126	291	28	9	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAA	47%	414	369	81	15	2	9	38	115	4	7	1	221	300	348	648	127	291	28	9	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	433	386	85	16	2	10	40	119	4	8	1	221	300	348	649	128	290	27	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	442	394	86	16	2	10	41	123	4	7	1	219	298	344	642	125	290	28	9	290	82	-9	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	439	392	85	16	2	9	40	123	4	7	1	217	296	338	634	121	288	28	9	287	80	-10	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAA	51%	434	389	84	16	2	9	39	123	3	6	1	214	292	331	623	117	287	28	9	282	77	-12	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	423	379	80	15	2	8	38	122	3	5	1	210	287	321	609	111	284	29	9	276	73	-13	+1	-3	+5	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	25%	50	45	10	2	0	1	5	14	0	1	0	214	295	334	628	120	288	28	10	285	80	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAA	36%	111	99	22	4	1	2	10	31	1	2	0	217	297	339	636	123	289	28	9	288	82	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAA	43%	159	142	32	6	1	4	15	45	1	3	0	218	298	343	641	125	289	28	9	290	83	-3	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAA	47%	193	171	38	7	1	4	18	54	2	3	1	219	299	346	645	127	288	28	9	291	84	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	206	183	40	7	1	5	19	57	2	4	1	220	299	347	646	127	288	28	9	291	84	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	213	189	42	8	1	5	20	59	2	3	1	218	297	342	640	125	287	28	9	289	82	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	209	186	40	7	1	4	19	59	2	3	1	216	294	336	631	121	286	28	9	285	80	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAA	51%	223	199	43	8	1	5	20	63	2	3	1	213	291	329	620	116	284	28	9	281	77	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2036	31	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	230	205	43	8	1	4	21	66	2	3	1	209	286	320	606	111	282	29	9	275	73	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1594	1419	310	57	8	34	147	448	14	25	6	218	298	342	640	123	292	28	9	286	81	-37	+3	-4	+17	+35	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	126	23	3	14	60	183	6	10	2	218	298	340	638	123	291	28	9	286	81	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3702	3298	717	135	18	78	344	1046	32	71	10	217	297	340	638	123	291	28	9	288	81	-83	+8	-8	+38	+78	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	126	24	3	14	60	184	6	12	2	218	298	342	640	124	292	28	9	288	81	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,711	36	28	218	293	340	+18	+0	2.9	2.7
/162	664	14	11	+7.1	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaxon Willits (OGILVIE)	22	30→48	30→40	45→48	55	211/291/326	115	289	2	3	29%	9%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	43→49	44→45	50→45	43	211/277/328	117	305	11	8	33%	8%	72	-0.7	217/286/343	126	292	13	5	28%	8%	78	-0.3	221/291/343	122	286	14	4	26%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Peyton Wilson 2022 · A	22	43→52	41→45	53→55	41	204/279/310	106	302	7	14	32%	7%	68	-1.0	222/288/343	121	297	11	18	27%	7%	79	-0.2	217/286/336	120	283	12	19	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Colin Walsh 2012 · A	22	43→52	41→45	50	53	207/286/311	104	254	8	9	21%	10%	71	-0.8	233/303/355	122	292	11	7	23%	9%	87	+0.4	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕BJ Murray 2022 · A	22	44→51	42→45	52→50	39	214/264/321	107	310	9	8	33%	6%	64	-1.3	224/308/346	122	307	11	10	28%	10%	87	+0.4	211/299/345	134	268	15	14	26%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	45→46	40→45	55→50	53	211/302/310	100	290	7	16	27%	11%	77	-0.3	227/287/348	121	312	12	11	29%	8%	80	-0.2	232/274/365	133	311	17	8	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Karexon Sanchez 2010 · A	22	42→47	43→45	49→50	40	205/270/318	113	297	10	12	33%	7%	67	-1.1	215/287/323	108	304	10	12	30%	8%	74	-0.5	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Rosell Herrera 2015 · A	22	49→59	40→45	45→55	44	238/287/328	90	309	8	12	25%	6%	74	-0.5	244/292/326	82	317	6	17	23%	6%	75	-0.5	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	43→53	44→45	52→55	40	213/267/336	123	296	11	15	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/277/342	113	302	9	14	26%	5%	74	-0.6	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Dayan Frias 2024 · A	22	45→43	42→40	46→55	47	216/291/319	103	302	9	7	30%	9%	74	-0.5	197/271/290	93	282	8	14	30%	9%	61	-1.5	180/256/265	85	257	7	19	31%	8%	48	-1.7
✕Noah Campbell 2022 · A	23	47→46	39→45	53→50	46	218/300/307	89	319	7	14	31%	9%	76	-0.4	220/301/323	103	333	7	11	33%	9%	79	-0.2	215/305/323	108	337	7	8	34%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Alex Freeland 2024 · A	22	44→48	42→45	54→55	43	207/282/308	101	319	10	22	36%	9%	69	-0.9	224/310/353	129	306	13	19	28%	10%	90	+0.6	226/317/359	132	301	13	18	27%	11%	92	+0.7
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2023 · A	22	43→53	43→45	44→40	48	209/289/318	109	294	11	3	31%	10%	74	-0.5	200/270/310	110	275	11	4	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/264/316	120	252	15	3	28%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Wilmer Difo 2014 · A	22	43→53	38→45	53→55	49	207/273/289	82	261	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	251/289/359	108	301	9	24	19%	4%	82	-0.0	258/296/362	104	307	8	28	18%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Blake Perkins 2019 · A	22	45→51	38→50	51→55	45	212/282/289	77	303	5	17	30%	8%	64	-1.3	197/268/292	95	285	9	16	32%	8%	59	-1.6	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps