Player 806227 — OGILVIE

Player 8062271B Stockton Ports

Age — —/— A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP292

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	OAK	—	77	66	16	3	0	3	9	16	0	1	0	242	333	424	758	182	265	21	12	340	116	+1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	OAK	—	77	62	18	4	0	3	13	12	0	1	0	290	413	500	913	210	306	16	17	395	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	OAK	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		286	27	9	298	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	OAK	—	88	76	17	3	0	3	10	19	0	1	0	224	314	382	696	158	250	22	11	335	113	+1	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	217	194	44	8	1	6	20	56	1	3	1	227	302	371	673	144	289	26	9	302	91	-2	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	343	307	70	13	1	9	31	88	2	4	1	228	303	365	668	137	289	26	9	304	92	-3	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	428	383	89	17	2	12	39	109	3	5	1	232	308	381	689	149	289	25	9	305	93	-4	+1	+0	-8	+9	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	485	435	101	19	2	14	44	123	3	6	2	232	307	382	689	149	289	25	9	306	93	-4	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	525	469	108	20	2	15	47	134	4	7	2	230	306	377	683	147	288	26	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	552	493	114	21	2	16	50	140	4	7	2	231	307	379	686	148	288	25	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	572	511	118	22	2	16	52	146	4	7	2	231	307	376	683	145	288	26	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	587	525	121	23	2	17	53	149	4	7	2	230	306	379	685	149	288	25	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	-10	+13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	295	—	—	301	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	295	—	—	302	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	295	—	—	303	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	294	—	—	304	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	294	—	—	304	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	294	—	—	304	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	294	—	—	304	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	OAK	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	293	—	—	304	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3720	3327	766	143	14	105	337	948	25	46	13	230	306	376	682	146	288	25	9	305	93	-32	+4	+0	-66	+81	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	133	25	2	18	59	166	4	8	2	229	304	372	676	143	287	26	9	305	93	-6	+1	+0	-12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	109	50	232	303	378	-44	+0	3.9	3.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.4	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 806227 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	224/298/362	138	286	6	3	26%	9%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	44	48→50	45	46	217/294/358	140	308	16	8	33%	9%	85	+0.2	202/269/344	142	300	17	7	36%	7%	73	-0.6	165/232/316	151	236	20	3	38%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	44→40	49→50	46→45	47	219/301/375	156	289	16	8	29%	9%	92	+0.7	212/285/350	138	279	16	7	28%	8%	80	-0.1	196/270/331	135	249	17	5	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Joe Mather 2007 · A	25	42→45	49→60	53→50	40	216/267/368	152	270	16	7	26%	5%	78	-0.3	224/287/405	181	251	23	10	21%	6%	94	+0.9	216/284/406	190	230	25	11	20%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Jake Scheiner 2021 · A	25	44→52	50→55	44→40	41	228/277/380	152	286	17	6	27%	5%	83	+0.1	217/286/380	163	289	19	4	30%	8%	87	+0.4	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	45	45	48→50	43	224/290/348	124	291	13	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	210/266/326	116	267	13	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	191/245/302	111	237	14	5	25%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	227/294/375	148	298	16	7	29%	5%	89	+0.5	226/303/389	163	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/300/401	182	282	23	3	30%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	44→45	45→50	47→50	44	215/284/339	124	297	13	11	31%	8%	76	-0.4	211/272/327	116	317	12	9	35%	7%	70	-0.9	200/257/300	100	312	9	7	37%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Nic Crosta 2007 · A	24	49	47→55	49→45	45	236/304/381	145	326	13	6	30%	8%	94	+0.9	205/268/356	151	298	17	6	35%	7%	75	-0.5	147/211/314	167	194	24	1	39%	7%	44	-1.4
✕David Smith 2006 · A	25	50→51	48→55	46→45	44	247/296/390	143	305	15	6	24%	6%	93	+0.8	229/284/385	156	289	17	5	26%	6%	87	+0.4	222/284/385	163	280	18	4	27%	7%	84	+0.2
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	45→52	46→45	49→40	48	223/295/352	129	265	14	7	21%	7%	84	+0.2	241/316/361	120	285	12	3	19%	8%	94	+0.9	241/322/353	112	283	11	1	18%	9%	91	+0.6
✕David Cook 2007 · A	26	39→49	51→55	49→50	47	207/285/367	161	269	19	10	30%	9%	84	+0.2	228/306/399	171	285	20	10	26%	10%	99	+1.2	231/311/411	181	277	21	10	24%	10%	102	+1.3
✕Adam Rosales 2007 · A	24	43→48	46→55	46→45	43	218/275/347	129	276	13	7	26%	6%	75	-0.5	232/295/377	145	286	12	8	22%	6%	89	+0.5	235/302/384	149	284	12	8	21%	6%	92	+0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2007 · A	23	42→48	49→55	49→50	43	216/280/366	151	284	17	7	30%	7%	82	-0.0	206/259/371	165	258	20	9	28%	6%	75	-0.5	239/297/403	165	282	19	7	22%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	215/262/345	130	301	14	8	32%	5%	70	-0.9	193/229/311	118	273	15	6	35%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps