Hideki Prather — OGILVIE

Hideki PratherC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .309

PA68

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	39	5	2	0	0	5	9	2	0	0	128	261	179	440	51	156	19	10	213	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	41	5	2	0	0	3	12	2	0	0	122	217	171	388	49	138	25	6	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	41	5	2	0	0	3	12	2	0	0	122	217	171	388	49	161	25	6	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	39	5	2	0	0	5	9	2	0	0	128	261	179	440	51	156	19	10	213	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	43	5	2	0	0	3	12	2	0	0	116	217	163	380	47	138	25	6	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	43	5	2	0	0	3	12	2	0	0	116	217	163	380	47	138	25	6	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	158	143	31	7	1	2	11	43	3	2	1	213	282	312	594	98	290	27	7	270	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	164	149	32	7	1	2	11	44	3	2	1	216	285	320	605	103	291	27	7	274	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	280	253	56	12	2	4	20	75	5	3	1	219	288	326	614	108	291	27	7	278	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	352	318	70	15	2	5	25	94	6	4	1	220	290	332	622	111	292	27	7	281	76	-10	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	399	361	80	17	2	7	29	105	6	4	2	222	291	336	627	114	291	26	7	283	78	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	422	381	84	18	2	7	31	111	7	4	2	222	292	337	629	115	291	26	7	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	433	391	85	18	2	7	32	115	7	3	1	220	290	332	622	112	290	27	7	281	76	-12	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	433	391	85	18	2	7	32	116	7	1	1	217	287	326	613	109	288	27	7	277	74	-13	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	429	389	83	18	2	6	31	116	6	0	1	214	283	318	601	104	286	27	7	273	71	-15	-0	-2	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	56	51	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	216	285	320	605	104	291	27	7	274	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	129	117	26	6	1	2	9	35	2	1	1	219	288	327	615	108	292	27	7	278	74	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	182	164	37	8	1	3	13	48	3	2	1	221	290	332	622	112	292	26	7	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	216	194	43	9	1	4	16	57	4	2	1	222	291	337	628	115	291	26	7	283	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	229	206	46	10	1	4	17	60	4	2	1	222	292	337	629	116	291	26	7	284	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	235	212	47	10	1	4	17	62	4	1	1	220	290	333	623	113	290	26	7	281	76	-7	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	230	208	46	10	1	4	17	62	3	1	1	218	287	326	613	109	288	27	7	278	74	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	225	204	43	9	1	3	16	61	3	0	0	214	283	319	602	104	286	27	7	273	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1502	1356	299	64	7	25	109	400	24	10	6	221	290	333	623	113	292	27	7	280	74	-44	-0	-2	+27	+33	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	130	28	3	11	47	173	10	4	3	221	290	336	626	114	293	27	7	280	74	-19	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3028	2736	593	128	15	46	219	807	50	22	10	217	287	325	612	108	288	27	7	277	74	-89	+0	-4	+53	+65	2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	127	27	3	10	47	173	11	5	2	216	287	324	611	107	287	27	7	277	74	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,570	24	11	220	286	330	+28	+20	2.6	2.5
/162	664	10	5	+11.9	+8.5	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hideki Prather (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	212/280/309	97	290	1	1	27%	7%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/290/302	81	298	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	224/291/339	115	293	11	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2023 · A	22	44	41→50	44→45	39	212/274/305	93	304	9	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	204/270/346	142	306	16	5	37%	6%	74	-0.5	183/251/335	152	281	19	3	40%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	42→45	47→45	46	204/266/305	102	255	9	3	24%	7%	62	-1.4	214/278/311	97	270	8	5	23%	7%	68	-1.0	223/309/335	112	282	10	2	23%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	43	40	46→40	46	208/282/298	90	275	7	5	26%	8%	67	-1.1	197/256/268	71	266	4	4	26%	6%	49	-2.4	242/298/332	90	292	6	3	18%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Jack Payton 2024 · A	22	45	40→45	51→45	38	216/272/307	91	306	8	9	31%	5%	65	-1.2	213/291/319	106	300	9	6	30%	8%	75	-0.5	211/289/318	107	294	9	6	29%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	214/267/303	89	277	7	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	205/278/298	94	281	7	6	28%	6%	65	-1.2	202/274/329	127	271	14	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Kody Huff 2024 · A	23	45→42	39→45	48→45	44	210/281/297	86	301	6	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	212/281/318	106	292	10	7	29%	8%	71	-0.8	208/282/330	122	275	12	8	27%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→38	39→50	51→45	47	208/287/296	88	277	5	6	25%	8%	68	-1.0	202/269/324	122	253	11	5	24%	8%	68	-1.0	178/254/344	166	215	21	0	29%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/278/307	115	300	13	5	37%	9%	68	-1.0	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	42→47	40→45	47→50	52	201/291/303	102	246	6	8	20%	9%	72	-0.7	201/282/330	129	264	13	9	28%	8%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	41→51	40→45	48→45	47	198/282/296	98	266	7	7	27%	8%	67	-1.1	209/273/316	107	317	9	8	35%	6%	68	-1.0	207/270/313	107	315	7	4	34%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2023 · A	23	46→41	42→45	45→40	45	221/291/328	107	304	9	4	29%	8%	77	-0.3	215/272/303	88	278	7	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Nick Goodwin 2024 · A	22	45→46	42→45	49→45	44	214/297/327	113	289	9	9	28%	7%	80	-0.2	190/264/304	114	260	12	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	187/265/309	122	249	13	6	29%	8%	61	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps