Eric Becker — OGILVIE

Eric BeckerSS Dayton Dragons

Age 22 L/R A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .288 / .353

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP290

ISO118

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	95	83	17	5	0	3	6	21	5	1	2	205	298	373	671	169	237	22	6	302	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	95	85	14	4	0	2	4	27	5	1	2	165	245	282	527	118	219	28	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	95	85	14	4	0	2	4	27	5	1	2	165	245	282	527	118	214	28	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	95	83	17	5	0	3	6	21	5	1	2	205	298	373	671	169	237	22	6	302	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	95	86	14	4	0	2	4	27	5	1	2	163	245	279	524	116	219	28	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	95	86	14	4	0	2	4	27	5	1	2	163	245	279	524	116	219	28	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	4%	205	186	41	9	1	4	13	56	4	3	1	221	287	346	633	125	289	27	6	284	79	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	4%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	223	288	353	641	130	290	25	0	288	79	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	36%	157	143	32	7	1	3	10	42	3	3	1	224	290	352	642	128	290	27	6	288	81	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	275	250	56	12	1	6	18	73	5	5	2	226	292	357	649	131	291	27	7	291	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	349	316	72	15	2	8	23	92	7	6	2	227	294	360	654	133	291	26	7	293	84	-6	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	398	361	82	17	2	9	27	104	7	7	3	228	295	362	657	134	290	26	7	294	85	-7	+0	-0	+4	+9	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	421	381	87	18	2	10	29	110	8	8	3	228	295	362	657	134	290	26	7	294	85	-7	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	433	392	89	18	2	10	30	114	8	7	3	226	293	357	651	132	289	26	7	292	84	-8	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	433	393	88	18	2	10	30	115	7	7	3	224	291	352	642	128	288	27	7	288	81	-10	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	429	390	87	18	2	9	29	115	7	7	4	221	287	344	632	123	287	27	7	284	78	-11	-0	-3	+5	+9	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	36%	57	52	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	226	291	359	650	133	290	26	7	291	81	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	129	118	27	5	1	3	8	34	2	2	1	228	294	364	658	136	291	26	6	294	83	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	182	165	39	8	1	5	12	48	3	3	1	229	296	367	663	138	292	26	7	297	84	-3	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	217	196	45	9	1	5	15	57	4	4	2	230	297	370	666	140	291	26	7	298	85	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	229	207	47	9	1	6	16	60	4	4	2	230	297	370	667	140	291	26	7	298	85	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	235	213	49	10	1	6	16	62	4	4	2	228	295	365	660	137	290	26	7	295	84	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	230	208	46	9	1	5	16	61	4	4	2	226	292	359	651	133	289	27	7	292	81	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	225	204	45	9	1	5	15	60	4	3	2	223	289	351	640	128	288	27	7	287	78	-6	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1504	1363	309	61	7	36	102	397	26	25	12	227	293	361	654	134	291	26	7	294	82	-30	+0	-4	+16	+33	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	134	26	3	16	44	172	11	11	5	228	293	363	657	136	292	26	7	294	82	-13	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3073	2787	623	130	14	69	205	815	59	52	24	224	291	355	645	131	289	27	7	289	82	-61	+1	-8	+32	+65	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	132	27	3	15	43	172	12	11	5	224	290	356	646	132	288	26	7	289	82	-13	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,507	34	26	226	290	357	+16	-3	2.9	2.8
/162	664	15	11	+7.1	-1.4	1.3	pk7: 3
#5Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Becker (OGILVIE)	22	30→50	40→44	50	45	219/284/343	124	289	2	1	27%	6%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Adam Haseley 2018 · A	22	46→56	42→45	47→50	43	226/275/336	111	293	9	7	26%	6%	72	-0.7	257/308/371	114	318	11	7	22%	6%	93	+0.8	251/304/360	109	310	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2024 · AA	22	43→46	43→55	51→50	42	213/264/326	114	277	10	11	27%	6%	66	-1.1	230/284/377	147	283	17	11	24%	7%	85	+0.2	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2013 · A	22	43→53	44→40	48→55	41	218/255/335	117	263	12	12	22%	5%	64	-1.3	234/307/329	95	275	7	19	16%	9%	82	+0.0	242/322/328	86	285	6	23	16%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	44→43	43→55	49→50	46	211/294/330	119	311	10	8	33%	9%	78	-0.3	196/273/340	144	288	15	11	35%	9%	73	-0.6	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	48→50	47→50	50	43	237/295/379	142	319	15	10	30%	7%	90	+0.6	234/295/375	141	317	14	12	29%	7%	89	+0.5	230/294/371	141	309	14	12	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Marcelo Mayer 2024 · AA	21	42→47	49→50	50	43	213/279/366	153	297	17	12	33%	8%	81	-0.1	235/289/373	138	304	15	10	26%	7%	86	+0.3	240/295/371	130	302	14	9	24%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕James Jones 2011 · A	22	46→54	44→45	52→60	43	225/285/347	123	311	11	13	30%	7%	78	-0.3	221/279/334	113	316	9	18	31%	7%	73	-0.6	241/287/343	102	318	6	29	25%	6%	75	-0.4
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	44→54	44→50	50	43	217/279/332	116	278	12	14	26%	6%	73	-0.6	242/297/373	131	316	13	13	26%	6%	89	+0.5	247/301/371	124	324	12	13	26%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	50→51	44→45	50→55	47	239/306/363	124	325	11	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	237/310/354	117	348	9	17	31%	10%	89	+0.5	237/311/358	121	351	9	21	32%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Dom Nuñez 2017 · A	22	43→46	45→50	45	47	219/277/333	115	267	14	7	24%	7%	72	-0.7	199/275/317	118	257	14	8	27%	9%	69	-0.9	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps