Edinzo Marquez

P FCL Yankees

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs ROK peak 0.8 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	12	12	44	3.45	2.20	26.9%	10.8%	—	K 18.3% · BB 13.4% · FIP 3.26
2025	20	MIX2 levels	16	14	74	4.00	3.84	14.8%	10.2%	—	K 10.2% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.28
2026	21	MIX2 levels	19	6	56	2.89	3.64	25.2%	10.1%	—	K 17.8% · BB 12.3% · FIP 5.02
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYY	9	9	52	5.78	5.78	13.1%	14.4%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYY	6	6	34	5.49	5.40	15.6%	13.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBNYY	8	8	50	5.26	5.17	17.1%	12.4%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsLuis Mateo (age 22) · Will Childers (age 22) · Luis Martinez-Gomez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%13.1%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	5	2	13	53	16	8	1	40%	2.6	20.5%	18.9%	1.7%	2.2%	4.15	4.97	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	5	2	13	53	16	8	1	40%	2.6	30.2%	15.1%	15.1%	1.9%	4.15	3.48	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	12	12	44	186	50	20	0	100%	3.7	18.3%	13.4%	4.8%	0.0%	3.45	3.26	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	12	12	44	186	50	20	0	100%	3.7	18.3%	13.4%	4.8%	0.0%	3.45	3.26	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	12	12	44	186	50	20	0	100%	3.7	26.9%	10.8%	16.1%	0.0%	3.45	2.20	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	74	324	48	33	4	88%	4.6	10.2%	12.5%	-2.2%	0.8%	4.00	4.28	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	74	324	48	33	4	88%	4.6	10.2%	12.5%	-2.2%	0.8%	4.00	4.28	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	14	74	324	48	33	4	88%	4.6	14.8%	10.2%	4.6%	1.2%	4.00	3.84	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	6	56	238	60	24	6	32%	2.9	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	3.4%	2.89	5.02	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	6	56	238	60	24	6	32%	2.9	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	3.4%	2.89	5.02	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	6	56	238	60	24	6	32%	2.9	25.2%	10.1%	15.1%	2.5%	2.89	3.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYY	9	9	52	220	29	32	6	100%	5.8	13.1%	14.4%	-1.3%	2.9%	5.78	5.78	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	69	293	46	39	8	100%	5.8	15.6%	13.1%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.40	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	71	300	51	37	9	100%	5.9	17.1%	12.4%	4.7%	2.8%	5.26	5.17	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	72	304	54	36	9	100%	6.0	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.8%	5.11	5.04	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	72	304	55	36	9	100%	6.0	18.2%	11.8%	6.3%	2.8%	5.04	5.00	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	71	299	54	36	9	100%	5.9	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.04	5.04	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	69	290	52	35	9	100%	6.3	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.0%	5.09	5.12	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	66	277	49	34	9	100%	6.0	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	3.1%	5.19	5.25	-0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	62	261	46	33	9	100%	6.2	17.5%	12.6%	4.9%	3.3%	5.33	5.43	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	6	6	34	144	22	19	4	100%	5.7	15.6%	13.1%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.40	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	50	211	36	26	6	100%	6.2	17.1%	12.4%	4.7%	2.8%	5.26	5.17	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	58	245	44	29	7	100%	5.8	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.8%	5.11	5.04	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	63	266	48	32	8	100%	6.3	18.2%	11.8%	6.3%	2.8%	5.04	5.00	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	11	11	64	270	49	32	8	100%	5.8	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	2.9%	5.04	5.04	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	63	266	48	32	8	100%	6.3	18.1%	12.1%	6.0%	3.0%	5.09	5.12	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	61	258	46	32	8	100%	6.1	17.8%	12.3%	5.5%	3.1%	5.19	5.25	-0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	58	245	43	31	8	100%	5.8	17.5%	12.6%	4.9%	3.3%	5.33	5.43	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		75	75	451	1906	337	233	57	100%	6.0	17.7%	12.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	149	103	25	100%	6.0	17.7%	12.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.17	4.78	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		52	34	188	801	120	105	12	65%	3.6	15.0%	13.1%	2.0%	1.5%	3.55	4.31	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	36	200	854	128	112	13	65%	3.6	15.0%	13.1%	2.0%	1.5%	3.55	4.31	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edinzo Marquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	13.1%	14.4%	2.9%	—	5.20	16.8%	4.4%	212	-0.58	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	85
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.43	19.5%	8.9%	150	-0.98	3.60	209	85
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	85
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	84
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	84
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	83
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	83
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	83
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.11	333	82
Xavier Altamirano R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	11.3%	11.0%	2.1%	.333	4.51	14.7%	7.7%	388	-0.21	3.91	451	81
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	81
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	81
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	81
Ivan Vieitez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	22	SP-	4.68	10.4%	14.4%	1.1%	.369	3.94	12.2%	3.8%	94	-0.74	3.68	146	80
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	80
Kolton Curtis R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	20	SP-	4.91	17.2%	14.4%	2.6%	.236	4.41	19.9%	2.5%	66	-0.50	4.41	148	80
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	80
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	80
Gavin Floyd R 2005 · 5.53 FIP	22	SP-	5.53	13.4%	11.0%	3.9%	.275	5.01	15.7%	8.1%	331	-0.52	2.95	1,250	80
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	67	17.2%	12.5%	1.14	5.24
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*