Jesus Mendez
P
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 180 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%21.3%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 2.45 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 2.43 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 16 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 18.8% | -3.0% | 0.6% | 4.11 | 4.46 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 16 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 4.11 | 3.88 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 41 | 0 | 58 | 261 | 55 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 5.93 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 41 | 0 | 58 | 261 | 55 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 5.93 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 168 | 37 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.9% | 16.0% | -0.2% | 3.9% | 5.30 | 5.96 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 168 | 37 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 5.30 | 4.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 19 | 0 | 24 | 108 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 4.94 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CWS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.64 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 46 | 202 | 52 | 18 | 6 | — | — | 25.8% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.06 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 88 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 6 | 143 | 649 | 112 | 86 | 15 | 5% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 5.35 | 4.61 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 8 | 200 | 908 | 157 | 120 | 21 | 5% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 5.35 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesus Mendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 21.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.44 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 23 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 92 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 90 |
| Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 89 |
| Scott Williams R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.49 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .256 | 2.90 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 42 | -1.59 | 2.90 | 119 | 89 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 89 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 88 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 88 |
| Jose Geraldo R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.95 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .337 | 4.41 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 49 | +0.46 | 3.13 | 140 | 88 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.87 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.28 | 14.9% | 4.8% | 146 | +0.41 | 3.64 | 500 | 87 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 87 |
| Mason Fox R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 87 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 87 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 87 |
| Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 86 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.09 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.52 | 16.9% | 6.5% | 95 | +0.43 | 3.56 | 133 | 86 |
| Will Kincanon R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 20.2% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.67 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 58 | -0.05 | 3.67 | 122 | 86 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 86 |