Michael Hobbs
P
ACL Mariners
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION6 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.53
FIP5.53
K%20.3%
BB%18.5%
K-BB%1.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 5.40 | 5.37 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 5.40 | 5.62 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 19 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.3% | 12.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.08 | 4.53 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 19 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 3.08 | 3.63 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 44 | 0 | 49 | 219 | 62 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.12 | 4.99 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 44 | 0 | 49 | 219 | 62 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 2.3% | 3.12 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 52 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 2.97 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 42 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 52 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 2.97 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 45 | 0 | 51 | 229 | 60 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 19.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.47 | 4.70 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 45 | 0 | 51 | 229 | 60 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 17.5% | 8.7% | 0.9% | 2.47 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | 1.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 60 | 55 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | 18.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.53 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 76 | 323 | 66 | 60 | 8 | — | — | 20.5% | 18.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.21 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 17.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 56 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 17.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.53 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 17.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.46 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 17.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 52 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 17.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.47 | 5.13 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 146 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 17.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.47 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 163 | 0 | 198 | 859 | 176 | 137 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.95 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 177 | 138 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.95 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Hobbs (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 20.3% | 18.5% | 2.6% | — | 5.51 | 20.5% | 3.0% | 133 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Gregory Infante R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 83 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 82 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 82 |
| Haden Erbe R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.85 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 231 | 80 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 80 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.18 | 17.1% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .226 | 4.66 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 33 | -0.52 | 3.72 | 197 | 80 |
| Conor Grammes R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.44 | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.1% | .303 | 5.52 | 15.3% | -11.6% | 22 | +1.08 | 3.89 | 171 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 79 |
| Jack Ralston R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.91 | 23.3% | 18.1% | 2.7% | .338 | 3.54 | 28.3% | 18.1% | 51 | -1.37 | 3.50 | 299 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 79 |
| Trey Haley R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 79 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 79 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 79 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 78 |
| Stevie Branche R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 78 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 78 |
| Matt Lollis R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 77 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 77 |
| Jacob Morris R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.72 | 18.7% | 21.1% | 1.0% | .236 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 102 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 20.5% | 17.9% | 1.06 | 5.49 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |