Estarlin Escalante

Estarlin Escalante P St. Lucie Mets

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%20.1%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	18	4	38	176	45	23	4	22%	2.1	17.4%	16.3%	1.1%	3.2%	5.40	5.45	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	18	4	38	176	45	23	4	22%	2.1	25.6%	13.1%	12.5%	2.3%	5.40	3.91	—
2023	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	100	15	21	3	0%	1.3	11.0%	22.8%	-11.9%	4.3%	8.15	7.45	—
2023	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	18	100	15	21	3	0%	1.3	15.0%	21.0%	-6.0%	3.0%	8.15	7.18	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	27	116	30	8	0	0%	1.4	20.7%	7.9%	12.7%	0.0%	3.67	2.36	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	27	116	30	8	0	0%	1.4	20.7%	7.9%	12.7%	0.0%	3.67	2.36	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	27	116	30	8	0	0%	1.4	25.9%	6.9%	19.0%	0.0%	3.67	1.77	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	27	135	25	23	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	20.6%	-7.1%	6.0%	6.91	7.88	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	27	135	25	23	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	20.6%	-7.1%	6.0%	6.91	7.88	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	27	135	25	23	5	0%	1.4	18.5%	17.0%	1.5%	3.7%	6.91	6.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	NYM	13	0	14	59	12	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.9%	5.2%	3.1%	5.36	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	24	0	25	106	22	14	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.12	5.03	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.12	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.12	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	111	19	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.12	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		70	4	110	527	84	89	18	6%	1.6	15.9%	16.8%	-0.9%	3.4%	5.79	5.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	7	200	955	152	161	33	6%	1.6	15.9%	16.8%	-0.9%	3.4%	5.79	5.77	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Estarlin Escalante (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	20.1%	14.9%	3.1%	—	5.03	21.1%	8.0%	25	-0.33	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	94
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	91
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	90
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	89
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	88
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	87
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	85
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	85
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	85
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	85