Yenrri Rojas — OGILVIE

Yenrri Rojas P Knoxville Smokies

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 186 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.3 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%12.5%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%0.1%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	12	12	48	207	28	14	1	100%	4.0	9.2%	8.5%	0.7%	0.6%	4.28	3.72	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	12	12	48	207	28	14	1	100%	4.0	13.5%	6.8%	6.8%	0.5%	4.28	3.08	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	10	8	35	167	25	17	3	80%	3.5	10.2%	12.7%	-2.5%	2.5%	6.94	5.23	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	10	8	35	167	25	17	3	80%	3.5	10.2%	12.7%	-2.5%	2.5%	6.94	5.23	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	10	8	35	167	25	17	3	80%	3.5	15.0%	10.2%	4.8%	1.8%	6.94	4.24	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	9	78	330	56	29	3	43%	3.7	12.2%	10.6%	1.7%	1.3%	3.33	4.13	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	9	78	330	56	29	3	43%	3.7	12.2%	10.6%	1.7%	1.3%	3.33	4.13	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	9	78	330	56	29	3	43%	3.7	17.0%	8.8%	8.2%	0.9%	3.33	3.28	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	18	93	371	74	34	3	90%	4.6	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	0.3%	2.82	3.27	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	18	93	371	74	34	3	90%	4.6	14.9%	9.8%	5.1%	0.3%	2.82	3.27	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	20	18	93	371	74	34	3	90%	4.6	19.9%	9.2%	10.8%	0.8%	2.82	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	27	9	69	315	58	34	10	33%	2.6	14.9%	11.9%	3.0%	3.8%	6.75	5.44	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	27	9	69	315	58	34	10	33%	2.6	14.9%	11.9%	3.0%	3.8%	6.75	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	AA RAW	CHC	27	9	69	315	58	34	10	33%	2.6	18.4%	10.8%	7.6%	3.2%	6.75	4.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	14	14	86	365	55	42	9	100%	6.2	15.0%	11.5%	3.5%	2.5%	5.10	5.02	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	15	15	89	375	62	41	9	100%	5.9	16.5%	11.0%	5.5%	2.5%	4.92	4.83	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	15	15	90	379	66	41	9	100%	6.0	17.4%	10.7%	6.7%	2.5%	4.80	4.73	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	15	15	90	379	67	40	9	100%	6.0	17.8%	10.6%	7.2%	2.5%	4.73	4.69	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	15	15	88	374	66	40	10	100%	5.9	17.8%	10.7%	7.1%	2.5%	4.73	4.73	+0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	14	14	86	362	64	39	10	100%	6.1	17.6%	10.8%	6.8%	2.6%	4.78	4.81	+0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	14	14	82	346	60	38	10	100%	5.9	17.4%	11.0%	6.4%	2.8%	4.88	4.94	-0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	13	13	77	325	62	34	10	100%	5.9	19.1%	10.5%	8.5%	3.0%	4.86	4.85	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	43	182	27	21	4	100%	6.1	15.0%	11.5%	3.5%	2.4%	5.05	4.97	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	10	10	62	262	43	29	6	100%	6.2	16.5%	11.0%	5.5%	2.4%	4.87	4.78	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	73	308	54	33	7	100%	6.1	17.4%	10.7%	6.7%	2.4%	4.75	4.68	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	13	13	79	334	59	35	8	100%	6.1	17.8%	10.6%	7.2%	2.4%	4.68	4.64	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	13	13	80	338	60	36	8	100%	6.2	17.8%	10.7%	7.1%	2.4%	4.68	4.68	+0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	13	13	79	334	59	36	8	100%	6.1	17.6%	10.8%	6.8%	2.5%	4.73	4.76	+0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	13	13	76	321	56	35	9	100%	5.8	17.4%	11.0%	6.4%	2.7%	4.82	4.88	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	72	304	58	32	9	100%	6.0	19.1%	10.5%	8.5%	2.9%	4.80	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		94	94	565	2385	416	258	60	100%	6.0	17.5%	10.8%	6.6%	2.5%	4.78	4.38	+3.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	147	91	21	100%	6.0	17.5%	10.8%	6.6%	2.5%	4.78	4.38	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		90	56	324	1390	179	147	23	62%	3.6	12.8%	10.6%	2.3%	1.7%	4.45	4.27	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	35	200	859	110	91	14	62%	3.6	12.8%	10.6%	2.3%	1.7%	4.45	4.27	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yenrri Rojas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	12.5%	12.3%	2.5%	—	4.86	16.3%	5.2%	265	-0.47	—	—	—
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	87
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	86
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	86
Xavier Altamirano R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	11.3%	11.0%	2.1%	.333	4.51	14.7%	7.7%	388	-0.21	3.91	451	85
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	85
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	83
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	83
Dillon Tate R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP-	4.55	14.0%	10.6%	2.4%	.358	4.09	15.7%	8.6%	261	-0.46	3.02	627	83
Ryan Long R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	22	SW	4.33	17.1%	11.6%	2.2%	.263	4.69	16.6%	7.3%	292	+0.36	4.20	430	83
Nattino Diplan R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	22	SW	4.98	8.9%	10.3%	2.4%	.366	4.38	15.4%	1.8%	175	-0.60	4.09	295	83
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	83
Dedniel Núñez R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SP-	4.26	14.2%	11.6%	1.6%	.303	3.30	21.1%	13.2%	80	-0.96	1.83	332	82
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	82
Jose Castillo R 2017 · 4.34 FIP	21	SP-	4.34	11.5%	12.6%	1.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	138	82
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	82
Joshua Torres R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	21	SW	4.47	12.0%	8.5%	2.4%	.308	2.63	23.4%	15.2%	108	-1.84	2.14	217	81
Kyle Johnston R 2018 · 4.52 FIP	22	SP-	4.52	16.2%	13.8%	1.9%	.290	4.10	16.4%	4.5%	194	-0.42	3.80	395	81
Yondrei Rojas R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	20	SP-	4.59	14.0%	11.2%	2.3%	.312	4.10	20.9%	10.2%	123	-0.49	2.60	240	81
Ivan Vieitez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	22	SP-	4.68	10.4%	14.4%	1.1%	.369	3.94	12.2%	3.8%	94	-0.74	3.68	146	81
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	83	16.9%	11.0%	1.00	4.89
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70