Yenrri Rojas
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 186 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.0 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.27
FIP5.27
K%12.5%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%0.6%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 48 | 207 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 9.2% | 8.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 4.28 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 48 | 207 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 13.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 4.28 | 3.08 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 10 | 8 | 35 | 167 | 25 | 17 | 3 | 80% | 3.5 | 10.2% | 12.7% | -2.5% | 2.5% | 6.94 | 5.23 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 10 | 8 | 35 | 167 | 25 | 17 | 3 | 80% | 3.5 | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 6.94 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 9 | 78 | 330 | 56 | 29 | 3 | 43% | 3.7 | 12.2% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.33 | 4.20 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 9 | 78 | 330 | 56 | 29 | 3 | 43% | 3.7 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 0.9% | 3.33 | 3.28 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 18 | 93 | 371 | 74 | 34 | 3 | 90% | 4.6 | 14.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.3% | 2.82 | 3.25 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 18 | 93 | 371 | 74 | 34 | 3 | 90% | 4.6 | 19.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 0.8% | 2.82 | 3.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 19 | 9 | 54 | 252 | 49 | 28 | 9 | 47% | 2.8 | 15.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.71 | 5.67 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | 55 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 30 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 11.8% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 11.8% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 111 | 495 | 79 | 57 | 15 | — | — | 16.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 6.45 | 5.46 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 12.5% | 11.8% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 60 | 252 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.1% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.06 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 46 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 4.77 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 47 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 4.71 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 46 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.1% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.08 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 43 | 182 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.91 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 51 | 215 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 4.79 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 4.73 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 40 | 234 | 990 | 171 | 107 | 25 | 98% | 5.7 | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 4.82 | 4.40 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 91 | 21 | 97% | 5.7 | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 4.82 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 56 | 308 | 1327 | 171 | 141 | 22 | 68% | 3.8 | 12.9% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 4.26 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 36 | 200 | 862 | 111 | 91 | 14 | 68% | 3.8 | 12.9% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yenrri Rojas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.27 | 12.5% | 11.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.83 | 16.5% | 5.5% | 183 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Will Childers R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 88 |
| David Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.5% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .316 | 3.77 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 102 | -0.64 | 3.66 | 161 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 87 |
| Dillon Tate R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .358 | 4.09 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 261 | -0.63 | 3.02 | 599 | 85 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 85 |
| Brooks Auger R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 85 |
| Xavier Altamirano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.69 | 11.3% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.38 | 14.7% | 7.7% | 388 | -0.31 | 3.84 | 451 | 84 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 84 |
| Dedniel Núñez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.26 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .303 | 3.27 | 21.1% | 13.2% | 80 | -0.99 | 1.83 | 318 | 84 |
| Ben Hansen R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.86 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .372 | 4.29 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 88 | -0.57 | 4.29 | 149 | 83 |
| Sam Stuhr R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.71 | 15.5% | 12.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 5.74 | 18.4% | 13.3% | 39 | +1.03 | 4.71 | 135 | 83 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.83 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 135 | -1.08 | 3.22 | 218 | 83 |
| Alex Romero R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.38 | 10.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.41 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 168 | +0.03 | 4.31 | 235 | 83 |
| Jacob Meador R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 82 |
| Ben Ethridge R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.7% | .250 | 6.15 | 13.0% | 2.0% | 66 | +1.67 | 4.48 | 144 | 82 |
| Jeremiah Burke R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.88 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | .330 | 3.83 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 34 | -1.05 | 3.83 | 137 | 82 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .370 | 4.86 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 63 | +0.49 | 4.37 | 114 | 82 |
| Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 82 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 13.8% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.55 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 59 | +0.96 | 4.59 | 138 | 81 |
| Ike Buxton R 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .241 | 4.68 | 14.8% | -0.6% | 123 | -0.25 | 4.52 | 196 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 61 | 16.3% | 11.0% | 0.96 | 4.90 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |