Kyle Johnston — OGILVIE

Kyle Johnston P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 218 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%19.6%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	1	0	2	6	1	2	0	0%	2.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	0.00	5.91	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	1	0	2	6	1	2	0	0%	2.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	0.00	5.10	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	16	103	446	96	53	7	57%	3.7	16.2%	13.8%	2.3%	1.9%	4.12	4.52	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	16	103	446	96	53	7	57%	3.7	21.5%	11.9%	9.6%	1.6%	4.12	3.66	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	26	24	125	529	113	57	9	92%	4.8	16.4%	12.4%	4.1%	1.8%	4.98	4.26	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	26	24	125	529	113	57	9	92%	4.8	21.4%	10.8%	10.6%	1.7%	4.98	3.60	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	9	69	279	55	28	3	26%	2.0	16.3%	11.0%	5.3%	1.2%	1.57	3.80	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	9	69	279	55	28	3	26%	2.0	19.7%	10.0%	9.7%	1.1%	1.57	3.29	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	49	0	63	290	60	30	8	0%	1.3	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	3.2%	5.46	4.69	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	49	0	63	290	60	30	8	0%	1.3	20.7%	10.3%	10.3%	2.8%	5.46	4.28	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	3	38	186	34	32	7	10%	1.3	14.9%	14.6%	0.3%	4.2%	6.57	5.99	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	3	38	186	34	32	7	10%	1.3	14.9%	14.6%	0.3%	4.2%	6.57	5.99	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	3	38	186	34	32	7	10%	1.3	18.3%	17.2%	1.1%	3.8%	6.57	6.20	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	COL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	11.2%	8.4%	3.1%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.3%	4.99	5.07	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	COL	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.3%	4.99	5.07	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.3%	4.99	4.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.3%	4.99	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		168	52	399	1736	286	218	38	31%	2.4	16.5%	12.6%	3.9%	2.2%	4.37	4.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	26	200	869	143	109	19	31%	2.4	16.5%	12.6%	3.9%	2.2%	4.37	4.52	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Johnston (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	19.6%	11.2%	3.1%	—	5.07	19.6%	8.2%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	76
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	75
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	73
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	71
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	71
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	71
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	71
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	71
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	71
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	70
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	70
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	70
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	70
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	69
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	69
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	69
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	69
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	68
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	67