Dedniel Núñez
P
Syracuse Mets
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION7 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9384vR 75
ERA3.01
FIP3.20
K%31.6%
BB%6.3%
K-BB%25.3%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+1.2 (46%)
FB+1.1 (52%)
CH-1.4 (2%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 10 | 8 | 45 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 80% | 4.5 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 5.24 | 4.18 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 10 | 8 | 45 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 80% | 4.5 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 5.24 | 2.99 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 11 | 7 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 64% | 3.7 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.79 | 4.26 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 11 | 7 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 64% | 3.7 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 3.79 | 3.15 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 15 | 80 | 338 | 94 | 23 | 5 | 94% | 5.0 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 3.27 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 15 | 80 | 338 | 94 | 23 | 5 | 94% | 5.0 | 27.8% | 6.8% | 21.0% | 1.5% | 4.39 | 2.42 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 4.5% | 3.00 | 4.74 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.2% | 8.6% | 23.7% | 2.6% | 3.00 | 2.89 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 261 | 70 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 261 | 70 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 5.53 | 4.28 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.0% | 6.4% | 28.5% | 1.6% | 2.02 | 1.83 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.3% | 6.3% | 30.0% | 1.6% | 2.02 | 1.81 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 2 | 29 | 130 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 7% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 4.08 | 3.86 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 2 | 29 | 130 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 7% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.90 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 7 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | NYM | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 6.3% | 25.3% | 2.9% | 3.01 | 3.20 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.6% | 6.3% | 25.3% | 2.9% | 3.01 | 3.20 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 42 | 183 | 52 | 12 | 5 | — | — | 28.5% | 6.8% | 21.7% | 2.9% | 3.60 | 2.69 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 16 | 67 | 21 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 31.6% | 6.3% | 25.3% | 2.9% | 3.01 | 2.82 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 6.9% | 23.1% | 3.1% | 3.37 | 3.54 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 55 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 7.5% | 21.2% | 3.4% | 3.68 | 3.85 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 40 | 0 | 42 | 176 | 49 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.0% | 6.9% | 23.1% | 3.1% | 3.37 | 3.54 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 39 | 10 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 7.5% | 21.2% | 3.4% | 3.68 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 141 | 0 | 156 | 645 | 196 | 47 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 7.3% | 23.0% | 3.0% | 3.37 | 3.13 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 0 | 200 | 828 | 252 | 60 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.3% | 7.3% | 23.0% | 3.0% | 3.37 | 3.13 | +5.3 | ||
| Career | — | 178 | 33 | 339 | 1481 | 325 | 145 | 36 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 4.16 | 3.83 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 19 | 200 | 873 | 191 | 85 | 21 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 4.16 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dedniel Núñez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.20 | 31.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | — | 3.83 | 28.8% | 21.4% | 136 | +0.63 | — | — | — |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 2.35 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.35 | 32.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | .242 | 2.94 | 31.7% | 19.3% | 197 | +0.59 | 1.99 | 488 | 74 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.66 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.61 | 3.05 | 176 | 72 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 2.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.50 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 72 |
| Mark Lowe R 2028 · 2.37 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.37 | 28.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | .302 | 5.17 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 98 | +2.80 | 2.37 | 153 | 72 |
| Shawn Kelley R 2027 · 2.34 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.34 | 30.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | .291 | 4.06 | 29.3% | 24.4% | 133 | +1.72 | 2.34 | 232 | 68 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.04 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 281 | 68 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 2.30 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.30 | 30.3% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.46 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.30 | 132 | 68 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 2.24 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.24 | 34.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | .267 | 2.65 | 32.6% | 23.9% | 200 | +0.41 | 1.99 | 494 | 66 |
| Ryan Pressly R 2026 · 2.41 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.41 | 34.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | .256 | 2.01 | 33.5% | 27.6% | 133 | -0.40 | 1.80 | 586 | 66 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.73 | 29.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 3.43 | 23.7% | 13.8% | 185 | +0.70 | 2.73 | 410 | 66 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 2.49 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.49 | 26.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | .341 | 4.70 | 23.5% | 16.5% | 123 | +2.21 | 1.86 | 238 | 66 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.05 | 26.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | .288 | 4.80 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 118 | +0.75 | 2.90 | 227 | 65 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 65 |
| Jay Jackson R 2027 · 2.91 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.91 | 32.4% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .272 | 3.61 | 29.4% | 19.9% | 41 | +0.70 | 2.41 | 261 | 64 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.61 | 24.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 177 | 64 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 2.51 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.51 | 23.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.49 | 17.0% | 10.6% | 75 | +0.98 | 2.51 | 158 | 64 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.08 | 30.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .338 | 3.26 | 24.7% | 15.1% | 87 | +0.18 | 1.60 | 312 | 64 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.96 | 28.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | .359 | 3.00 | 34.7% | 25.6% | 25 | +0.04 | 2.50 | 121 | 63 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.64 | 30.0% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .211 | 2.84 | 26.9% | 18.5% | 167 | +0.20 | 2.48 | 277 | 63 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .232 | 3.96 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 75 | +1.10 | 2.86 | 249 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 43 | 29.4% | 7.2% | 1.26 | 3.53 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |