Dedniel Núñez
P
Syracuse Mets
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA3.30
FIP3.95
xFIP5.11
SIERA4.53
K%26.0%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%16.8%
IP26
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF7070
CTRL6060
CMD8080
K†7070
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p9034.7%
K%
p9035.6%
xwOBA vs
p900.242
SL+1.2 (46%)
FB+1.1 (52%)
CH-1.4 (2%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 10 | 8 | 45 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 5.24 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 11 | 7 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 3.79 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | 16 | 15 | 80 | 338 | 94 | 23 | 5 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 4.39 | 3.29 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 26 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 3.00 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 40 | 0 | 57 | 261 | 70 | 30 | 9 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 39 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 35.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 2.02 | 1.83 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 29 | 2 | 29 | 130 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 20.8% | 11.8% | 2.2% | 4.08 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 8 | — | 8 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 30.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.56 | 3.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 25 | — | 25 | 107 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 29.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.20 | 3.56 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 171 | 32 | 333 | 1447 | 320 | 142 | 35 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 4.11 | 3.81 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 19 | 200 | 870 | 192 | 85 | 21 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 4.11 | 3.81 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dedniel Núñez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.35 | 30.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | — | 3.56 | 29.4% | 22.4% | 25 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 2.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.61 | 32.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | .242 | 3.08 | 31.7% | 19.3% | 197 | +0.47 | 2.15 | 488 | 82 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.93 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.62 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.69 | 2.93 | 176 | 82 |
| Mark Lowe R 2028 · 2.30 FIP | 32 | SW | 2.30 | 28.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.15 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 98 | +2.85 | 2.30 | 153 | 74 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 281 | 73 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 2.39 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.39 | 30.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .304 | 4.43 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 49 | +2.04 | 2.39 | 132 | 73 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 2.32 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.32 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 72 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.05 | 26.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | .288 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 118 | +0.65 | 2.99 | 227 | 72 |
| Shawn Kelley R 2027 · 2.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 2.21 | 30.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% | .291 | 4.12 | 29.3% | 24.4% | 133 | +1.91 | 2.21 | 232 | 70 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 2.80 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.80 | 29.6% | 7.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 3.43 | 23.7% | 13.8% | 185 | +0.63 | 2.80 | 410 | 69 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.21 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.66 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.45 | 2.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 2.48 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.48 | 26.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | .341 | 4.62 | 23.5% | 16.5% | 123 | +2.14 | 1.85 | 238 | 69 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.11 | 28.4% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .359 | 3.02 | 34.7% | 25.6% | 25 | -0.09 | 2.58 | 121 | 68 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.50 | 24.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 177 | 68 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 2.41 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.41 | 23.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | .281 | 3.47 | 17.0% | 10.6% | 75 | +1.06 | 2.41 | 158 | 68 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 67 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 2.58 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.58 | 30.0% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .211 | 2.91 | 26.9% | 18.5% | 167 | +0.33 | 2.58 | 277 | 67 |
| Ryan Pressly R 2026 · 2.45 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.45 | 34.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | .256 | 2.05 | 33.5% | 27.6% | 133 | -0.40 | 1.82 | 586 | 67 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 67 |
| Jay Jackson R 2027 · 2.84 FIP | 31 | SW | 2.84 | 32.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 29.4% | 19.9% | 41 | +0.73 | 2.37 | 261 | 66 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 2.88 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.88 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .232 | 3.96 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 75 | +1.08 | 2.88 | 249 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.