Paul Sewald
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 36
RHP
6'3" / 219 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 89
ERA3.61
FIP3.85
K%26.6%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%19.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p6928.3%
K%
p8528.6%
xwOBA vs
p830.280
SL+2.6 (40%)
FB (60%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 44 | 0 | 51 | 195 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 5.1% | 18.2% | 1.6% | 1.75 | 2.64 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 44 | 0 | 51 | 195 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.7% | 4.6% | 24.1% | 1.5% | 1.75 | 2.20 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | 56 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 80 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.3% | 7.2% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 3.29 | 3.53 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | 56 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 80 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.8% | 6.8% | 21.9% | 3.2% | 3.29 | 3.31 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 74 | 311 | 81 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 6.9% | 18.2% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.46 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 74 | 311 | 81 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 6.4% | 19.6% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.30 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 64 | 285 | 65 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 5.46 | 3.96 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 64 | 285 | 65 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 3.68 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 71 | 297 | 74 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 6.0% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 3.69 | 3.81 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 71 | 297 | 74 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 5.7% | 19.2% | 3.0% | 3.69 | 3.38 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 5.7% | 11.4% | -5.7% | 2.9% | 13.50 | 5.63 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 5.7% | 11.4% | -5.7% | 2.9% | 13.50 | 6.60 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 1 | 69 | 279 | 114 | 19 | 10 | 2% | 1.1 | 39.4% | 7.2% | 32.2% | 4.0% | 2.87 | 2.87 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 1 | 69 | 279 | 114 | 19 | 10 | 2% | 1.1 | 40.9% | 6.8% | 34.1% | 3.6% | 2.87 | 2.51 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 65 | 0 | 64 | 242 | 72 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 5.4% | 24.4% | 4.3% | 2.67 | 3.66 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 65 | 0 | 64 | 242 | 72 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 5.4% | 24.4% | 4.1% | 2.67 | 3.49 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65 | 0 | 61 | 249 | 80 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.1% | 9.2% | 22.9% | 3.1% | 3.12 | 3.24 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65 | 0 | 61 | 249 | 80 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.1% | 9.2% | 22.9% | 3.2% | 3.12 | 3.31 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 47 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.1% | 5.5% | 20.6% | 3.5% | 4.14 | 3.50 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 47 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.0% | 5.7% | 21.3% | 3.4% | 4.14 | 3.44 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 4 levels | 31 | 2 | 28 | 115 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 6% | 0.9 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 4.13 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 4 levels | 31 | 2 | 28 | 115 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 6% | 0.9 | 25.2% | 6.1% | 19.1% | 5.2% | 4.13 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 37 | 0 | 34 | 133 | 38 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 6.0% | 22.6% | 5.3% | 4.24 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 19.8% | 3.9% | 3.61 | 3.85 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 6.8% | 19.8% | 3.9% | 3.61 | 3.85 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 51 | 204 | 57 | 13 | 10 | — | — | 27.9% | 6.3% | 21.6% | 4.8% | 4.03 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 51 | 215 | 57 | 13 | 10 | — | — | 26.5% | 6.0% | 20.5% | 4.5% | 4.03 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 47 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 4.3% | 4.39 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | ARI | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 39 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 4.7% | 4.80 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | ARI | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 5.23 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 47 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 4.3% | 4.39 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | ARI | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 39 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 4.7% | 4.80 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | ARI | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 5.23 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 544 | 0 | 562 | 2336 | 645 | 169 | 91 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 7.3% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 4.24 | 3.82 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 831 | 229 | 60 | 32 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 7.3% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 4.24 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 587 | 3 | 629 | 2593 | 703 | 179 | 89 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 6.9% | 20.2% | 3.4% | 3.66 | 3.58 | +13.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 1 | 200 | 824 | 223 | 57 | 28 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 6.9% | 20.2% | 3.4% | 3.66 | 3.58 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Paul Sewald (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.17 | 25.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | — | 5.04 | 24.2% | 16.0% | 116 | +0.87 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 75 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 73 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 69 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 67 |
| Sergio Romo R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.31 | 24.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.59 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 100 | +1.28 | 1.71 | 371 | 67 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.73 | 32.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .321 | 2.89 | 31.1% | 21.4% | 201 | -0.84 | 1.99 | 494 | 65 |
| Jay Jackson R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.29 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 261 | 65 |
| Joe Blanton R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 64 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 64 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 64 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 63 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 63 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 62 |
| Craig Stammen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 19.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | .316 | 4.17 | 22.3% | 18.2% | 129 | +1.07 | 1.87 | 407 | 62 |
| César Valdez R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.55 | 21.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | .354 | 4.18 | 17.3% | 12.3% | 260 | +0.63 | 1.91 | 882 | 61 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.86 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .295 | 5.60 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.74 | 2.61 | 339 | 59 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.95 | 30.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | .224 | 3.83 | 26.6% | 17.3% | 36 | -0.12 | 2.86 | 249 | 59 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 59 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 42 | 24.5% | 7.8% | 1.67 | 4.51 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |