Luis Martinez
Luis Martinez
P
DSL Mariners
Age 20
RHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION6 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
IP6
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 0 | 20 | 97 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9.8% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 4.43 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 10 | 0 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 14.1% | 25.9% | 2.3% | 5.73 | 6.43 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | SEA | 6 | — | 6 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 25 | 0 | 31 | 155 | 18 | 32 | 1 | 11.4% | 21.0% | 0.8% | 4.88 | 5.26 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 989 | 115 | 204 | 6 | 11.4% | 21.0% | 0.8% | 4.88 | 5.26 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Matt Walker R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 87 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 87 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 87 |
| Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 87 |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 87 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 87 |
| Brandon White R 2027 · 3.14 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.14 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.60 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 166 | +0.46 | 3.14 | 221 | 86 |
| Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.32 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 138 | 86 |
| Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 86 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 86 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 86 |
| Collin Kober R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.04 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.35 | 2.40 | 294 | 85 |
| Sean Boyle R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 470 | 85 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 85 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 85 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 212 | 85 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 85 |
| Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 84 |
| Jeff Bain R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.