Sean Boyle P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.9 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 83 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%17.6%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%8.3%
ROS IP83
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 153 IP
K: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: +1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -2.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +20.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+21STAMTotal WAR: +1.52 (153 IP)+1.5WAR
0.50.40.2-0.1-0.4262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201821ROKGCL Yankees West100156420420%1.521.3%7.8%13.4%4.4%3.604.70
201821ROKGCL Yankees West100156420420%1.531.2%6.2%25.0%3.1%3.602.97
202124MIX4 levels2710863459822437%3.222.6%7.3%15.3%1.3%1.992.85
202124MIX4 levels2710863459822437%3.228.4%6.4%22.0%1.2%1.992.19
202225MIX2 levels2827155630160342596%5.521.0%5.8%15.2%4.4%3.714.48
202225MIX2 levels2827155630160342596%5.525.4%5.4%20.0%4.0%3.713.79
202326AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders993516836127100%3.918.9%7.5%11.4%4.4%6.694.89
202326AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders993516836127100%3.921.4%7.1%14.3%4.2%6.694.67
202427MIX3 levels1622187225212%1.325.3%5.7%19.5%2.3%3.862.95
202427MIX3 levels1622187225212%1.325.3%5.7%19.5%2.3%3.862.96
202528AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders2823135585120511682%4.818.1%9.2%8.9%2.6%4.614.18
202528AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders2823135585120511682%4.820.5%8.7%11.8%2.7%4.614.00
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas237703135720930%3.116.0%6.7%9.3%3.2%5.764.33+0.4
ROS29MLBSD790833496132100%1.017.6%9.3%8.3%2.8%4.734.73+0.3
ROS29MLBSD808346310%1.017.6%9.3%8.3%2.8%4.734.73-0.0
2026 TOT29MLBSD153662118521917.9%7.9%10.0%2.9%5.204.55+1.5
2026 FULL29MLBSD83563117.6%9.3%8.3%2.8%4.734.35+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBSD111178328652810100%7.119.7%8.6%11.1%3.1%4.624.59+0.3
202831MLBSD111172306602810100%6.619.6%9.0%10.6%3.3%4.704.77+0.0
202932MLBSD101067283552710100%6.719.3%9.4%9.9%3.5%4.854.97-0.2
203033MLBSD9962260492610100%6.818.9%9.8%9.1%3.8%5.065.21-0.5
202730MLBSD442912224114100%7.219.7%8.6%11.1%3.1%4.624.59-0.0
202831MLBSD664016933156100%6.719.6%9.0%10.6%3.3%4.704.77-0.1
202932MLBSD774519037187100%6.419.3%9.4%9.9%3.5%4.854.97-0.2
203033MLBSD774719838208100%6.718.9%9.8%9.1%3.8%5.065.21-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career3123169713137662474%5.519.3%9.3%10.0%3.4%4.834.53+1.7
/ 200 IP3728200844162782875%5.419.3%9.3%10.0%3.4%4.834.53+2.0
Career1417851721924341597055%3.719.8%7.2%12.5%3.2%4.144.10+7.9
/ 200 IP5530200847168612755%3.719.8%7.2%12.5%3.2%4.144.10+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Sean Boyle (OGILVIE) 4.73 17.6%9.3%2.8% 4.77 19.5%10.6%217 +0.04
Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 29 SP- 4.12 14.5%11.2%1.5%.280 4.05 10.2%-0.2%63 -0.07 4.05 165 82
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 29 SW 4.28 15.3%8.5%2.6%.316 3.71 17.1%8.5%348 -0.57 3.16 593 82
Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 80
Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.69 FIP 31 SW 4.69 13.5%6.6%3.5%.315 4.31 11.5%3.2%106 -0.38 4.31 219 80
Scott McGregor R 2025 · 4.19 FIP 28 SP- 4.19 11.8%7.6%2.1%.293 4.19 107 80
Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 79
Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 79
Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 79
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 29 SW 4.54 12.5%9.8%2.3%.346 7.46 8.6%1.4%39 +2.92 4.54 224 75
Colin Bates R 2024 · 4.59 FIP 27 SP- 4.59 10.5%6.5%2.9%.301 4.59 111 75
Scott Carroll R 2027 · 3.78 FIP 30 SW 3.78 12.7%7.7%1.4%.286 5.39 11.2%2.6%128 +1.61 3.78 248 74
Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 29 SP- 3.93 14.6%6.0%2.4%.303 4.49 16.1%8.8%169 +0.56 3.57 283 74
Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 30 SP- 4.06 18.2%10.5%2.1%.307 3.76 17.3%6.4%196 -0.30 3.51 269 73
Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP 31 SP- 3.95 17.8%5.8%2.9%.312 5.48 15.2%11.6%35 +1.53 3.95 133 73
Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP 30 SP- 4.30 15.0%12.6%1.6%.289 4.40 22.0%10.3%115 +0.10 4.23 221 73
Aaron Brooks R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 29 SP- 4.78 17.0%7.1%4.0%.281 4.30 15.8%8.8%70 -0.48 3.61 879 73
Kolton Mahoney R 2024 · 3.59 FIP 27 SW 3.59 19.4%8.8%1.8%.293 3.44 302 73
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2023 · 4.08 FIP 26 SW 4.08 12.4%9.1%1.6%.283 4.08 107 73
Michael Blazek R 2025 · 3.92 FIP 28 SP- 3.92 16.0%9.5%1.8%.317 5.85 20.8%11.4%39 +1.93 3.05 221 72
Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 29 SW 5.09 16.9%9.2%4.1%.231 3.69 13.6%6.9%246 -1.40 3.68 424 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION57219.0%9.2%1.264.78
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67