Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 12 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 1.88 | 3.77 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 12 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.0% | 6.9% | 24.1% | 1.7% | 1.88 | 2.33 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 5 | 38 | 142 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 42% | 3.2 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 1.1% | 1.42 | 2.73 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 5 | 38 | 142 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 42% | 3.2 | 32.4% | 5.6% | 26.8% | 0.7% | 1.42 | 1.65 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 11 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 55% | 3.2 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 11 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 55% | 3.2 | 28.5% | 6.6% | 21.9% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 85 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 11 | 88 | 351 | 73 | 28 | 8 | 31% | 2.5 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 2.66 | 3.53 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 25 | 200 | 798 | 165 | 63 | 17 | 31% | 2.5 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 2.66 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franklin Gil (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 22 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 81 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 80 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 79 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 79 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 79 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 79 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 78 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 77 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .291 | 4.12 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.02 | 2.79 | 229 | 77 |
| Julian Garcia R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.15 | 22.2% | 9.4% | 1.3% | .314 | 5.03 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 177 | +1.88 | 1.61 | 328 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Clayton McGinness R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 19.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | .291 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 84 | +0.67 | 3.79 | 106 | 76 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 76 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 76 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 75 |