Karniel Pratt — OGILVIE

Karniel PrattOF FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .277 / .294

PA5

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	154	+12	+2	—	—	+4	1.8
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	139	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	138	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	156	20	3	0	1	20	86	3	12	5	128	240	167	407	38	275	48	11	195	18	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	153	29	4	2	3	21	73	4	22	5	190	303	301	604	111	320	41	12	267	67	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	52	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	173	283	288	572	115	384	51	11	237	47	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	50	12	2	0	0	8	13	3	11	4	240	377	280	657	40	287	21	13	286	80	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	156	20	3	0	1	20	86	3	12	5	128	240	167	407	38	275	48	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	153	29	4	2	3	21	73	4	22	5	190	303	301	604	111	333	41	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	52	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	173	283	288	572	115	400	51	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	50	12	2	0	0	8	13	3	11	4	240	377	280	657	40	316	21	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	154	20	3	0	1	20	86	3	12	5	130	240	169	409	39	275	48	11	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	152	29	4	2	3	21	73	4	22	5	191	303	303	606	112	320	41	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	53	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	170	283	283	566	113	384	51	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	51	12	2	0	0	8	13	3	11	4	235	377	275	652	39	287	21	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	152	29	4	2	3	21	73	4	22	5	191	303	303	606	112	320	41	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	53	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	170	283	283	566	113	384	51	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	51	12	2	0	0	8	13	3	11	4	235	377	275	652	39	287	21	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		288	40	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	147	132	27	5	1	2	12	44	2	4	1	205	281	303	584	98	290	30	8	275	72	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	273	245	52	9	2	5	23	79	3	8	1	212	288	327	614	114	291	29	8	283	78	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	364	325	72	12	3	8	31	104	5	10	2	222	299	351	650	129	292	29	9	288	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	418	374	82	14	3	9	36	118	5	12	2	219	296	345	641	126	292	28	9	292	83	-8	+2	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	452	404	89	15	3	11	39	128	6	13	2	220	298	354	652	134	292	28	9	293	84	-8	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	468	418	91	15	3	11	41	133	6	13	2	218	297	347	644	129	292	28	9	293	84	-9	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	473	422	92	15	3	11	42	135	6	13	2	218	298	346	644	128	291	29	9	292	84	-9	+2	-1	-3	+10	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	470	419	91	15	3	11	42	135	6	12	2	217	298	346	644	129	290	29	9	290	82	-10	+2	-1	-3	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	292	29	8	266	72	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	132	118	26	4	1	3	11	38	2	4	1	220	298	347	645	127	293	29	8	274	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	192	172	37	6	1	4	16	55	2	5	1	215	289	331	621	116	294	29	8	280	81	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	229	204	46	8	2	5	20	65	3	6	1	225	304	358	662	132	294	28	9	283	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	252	225	50	8	2	6	22	71	3	7	1	222	300	356	656	133	294	28	9	284	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	257	230	51	9	2	6	22	73	3	7	1	222	298	357	655	135	294	28	9	284	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	259	231	52	9	2	6	23	74	3	7	1	225	304	359	663	134	293	29	9	283	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	251	224	49	8	2	6	22	72	3	6	1	219	297	353	650	134	292	29	9	281	82	-5	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1623	1450	321	54	12	37	140	463	20	43	7	221	299	352	650	130	297	29	9	281	78	-34	+6	-1	-10	+35	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	22	5	15	56	185	8	17	3	222	299	355	654	133	297	28	9	281	78	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3551	3155	667	110	24	73	322	1081	50	140	31	211	295	331	625	119	294	30	9	283	78	-65	+11	-2	-18	+67	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	121	20	4	13	59	198	9	26	6	209	293	325	618	116	292	30	9	283	78	-14	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,684	37	47	219	294	346	-10	+0	0.7	0.8
/162	664	15	18	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karniel Pratt (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/277/294	94	288	1	2	31%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→50	49→45	38	202/267/313	110	283	10	12	31%	5%	65	-1.2	202/243/314	112	256	13	7	26%	4%	55	-1.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	55	45	208/278/297	89	275	6	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	201/273/331	130	270	13	18	29%	7%	71	-0.8	188/266/323	135	254	14	19	30%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→47	39→50	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	217/292/295	78	287	5	17	24%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/346	119	306	11	20	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	43	40→45	55	40	209/265/305	96	292	7	17	30%	6%	61	-1.5	207/265/296	89	300	7	20	32%	6%	59	-1.6	192/249/276	84	281	7	24	33%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	43	38→40	49→55	44	200/281/273	73	300	6	17	33%	8%	61	-1.5	202/260/282	80	343	6	8	40%	6%	54	-2.0	175/223/243	68	314	7	2	44%	5%	29	-1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	44→52	42→55	49→55	39	214/259/321	107	292	9	12	29%	5%	63	-1.4	228/287/365	137	303	13	20	28%	7%	84	+0.1	224/286/367	142	294	14	21	28%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	44→46	43→55	53→50	40	217/263/333	116	270	11	16	24%	5%	67	-1.1	216/266/341	125	279	12	9	27%	5%	70	-0.8	223/280/397	174	256	23	3	23%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→45	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	52	-2.2	213/263/314	101	299	8	14	30%	6%	62	-1.4	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps