Karniel Pratt — OGILVIE

Karniel PrattOF FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .278 / .294

PA62

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	157	20	3	0	1	19	86	3	12	5	127	235	166	400	38	271	48	11	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	153	30	4	3	2	21	71	4	22	5	196	309	301	610	105	346	40	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	61	53	10	1	1	1	6	31	1	10	3	189	283	302	585	113	429	51	10	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	50	12	2	0	0	8	13	3	11	4	240	377	280	657	40	316	21	13	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	—	62	56	12	2	1	1	5	19	1	2	0	214	290	339	630	125	288	31	8	264	60	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	147	132	27	5	1	2	12	43	2	4	1	205	281	303	584	98	290	29	8	275	69	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	292	29	8	268	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	300	29	8	268	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	127	25	0	13	51	191	13	13	0	217	294	326	620	109	298	29	8	268	64	-27	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	690	601	111	17	6	7	71	263	14	61	18	185	286	268	554	83	311	38	10	251	51	-38	+5	+0	-4	+20	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	105	16	6	7	67	248	13	57	17	186	286	272	558	87	312	38	10	251	51	-36	+5	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	161	+12	+2	—	—	+5	2.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	144	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	143	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karniel Pratt (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	201/278/294	93	288	1	2	31%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	43	40→45	55	40	209/265/305	96	292	7	17	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/263/294	89	297	7	20	31%	6%	53	-1.5	189/246/272	83	278	7	24	33%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	54→55	45	207/278/296	88	274	5	19	25%	7%	59	-1.1	198/271/329	131	274	13	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	184/263/319	135	258	14	19	33%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Bubba Starling 2014 · A	21	40→46	42→45	54→50	41	197/259/298	100	284	10	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/251/323	121	297	12	11	35%	5%	56	-1.3	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	192/266/288	96	314	7	8	38%	8%	53	-1.5	150/245/272	121	261	13	9	44%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A	21	41→43	42→50	54→60	36	199/247/305	106	301	9	19	36%	5%	48	-1.9	203/245/305	102	270	10	23	28%	5%	47	-1.9	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	45→35	39→45	52→50	40	217/270/299	82	292	6	11	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/247/252	62	266	2	10	28%	6%	35	-2.8	164/223/206	43	232	0	12	27%	6%	13	-3.3
✕Wascar Adames 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	52→55	39	214/256/292	79	290	6	15	28%	5%	48	-1.9	216/272/311	95	306	6	16	30%	6%	61	-1.0	210/273/322	111	299	6	24	30%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→49	42→45	54→50	49	201/291/307	106	264	9	21	26%	9%	69	-0.4	217/273/331	114	272	11	15	24%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/314	103	262	10	16	23%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→48	41→40	57→65	42	217/271/315	97	295	9	18	28%	6%	61	-1.0	221/279/307	86	297	5	34	26%	6%	62	-0.9	221/279/307	86	298	5	42	26%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7