Caleb Hobson — OGILVIE

Caleb HobsonOF Spokane Indians

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG.137 / .239 / .191

PA98

HR1

K%45

BB%10

ISO54

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	59	47	10	1	1	0	10	16	1	6	0	213	362	277	639	64	323	27	17	303	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	377	94	12	4	7	69	129	7	46	6	249	375	358	733	109	354	28	15	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	349	278	44	9	3	2	58	141	7	30	6	158	318	234	552	76	309	40	17	267	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	97	80	12	1	0	0	14	37	1	10	2	150	284	163	447	13	279	38	14	224	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	59	51	8	1	1	0	6	23	1	6	0	157	259	216	474	59	256	39	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	402	80	9	4	5	44	174	7	46	6	199	289	279	568	80	310	38	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	349	296	30	6	2	1	40	190	7	30	6	101	224	145	370	44	263	54	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	97	84	10	1	0	0	10	50	1	10	2	119	221	131	352	12	262	52	10	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	59	51	8	1	1	0	6	23	1	6	0	157	259	216	474	59	286	39	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	59	47	10	1	1	0	10	16	1	6	0	213	362	277	639	64	323	27	17	303	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	402	80	9	4	5	44	174	7	46	6	199	289	279	568	80	329	38	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	377	94	12	4	7	69	129	7	46	6	249	375	358	733	109	354	28	15	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	349	296	30	6	2	1	40	190	7	30	6	101	224	145	370	44	274	54	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	349	278	44	9	3	2	58	141	7	30	6	158	318	234	552	76	309	40	17	267	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	97	84	10	1	0	0	10	50	1	10	2	119	221	131	352	12	294	52	10	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	97	80	12	1	0	0	14	37	1	10	2	150	284	163	447	13	279	38	14	224	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	59	52	8	1	1	0	6	23	1	6	0	154	259	212	470	58	256	39	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	409	80	9	4	5	44	174	7	46	6	196	289	274	563	78	310	38	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	349	299	30	6	2	1	40	190	7	30	6	100	224	144	368	43	263	54	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	97	86	10	1	0	0	10	50	1	10	2	116	221	128	349	12	262	52	10	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	463	409	80	9	4	5	44	174	7	46	6	196	289	274	563	78	310	38	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	349	299	30	6	2	1	40	190	7	30	6	100	224	144	368	43	263	54	11	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	97	86	10	1	0	0	10	50	1	10	2	116	221	128	349	12	262	52	10	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	174	24	4	1	1	21	89	3	8	2	139	241	193	433	54	269	44	10	210	28	-17	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	165	145	22	4	1	2	17	72	2	6	1	146	247	214	460	67	271	44	10	220	35	-13	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	50	44	7	1	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	154	254	231	485	77	285	44	10	230	35	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	50	44	7	1	0	1	5	22	1	2	0	159	260	250	510	91	286	44	10	230	33	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	91	13	0	13	65	286	13	26	0	159	260	250	510	91	286	44	10	230	33	-50	+5	+0	-4	+14	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1231	1065	162	23	8	9	127	553	19	102	16	152	254	214	468	62	300	45	10	217	33	-21	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	85	12	4	5	67	292	10	54	8	151	254	214	467	62	297	45	10	217	33	-52	+3	+0	-4	+14	-4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Hobson (OGILVIE)	25	20	25	60	60	137/239/191	54	269	1	4	45%	10%	28	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wyatt Hoffman 2024 · A	25	34	35→30	56→55	39	160/241/214	53	277	3	21	40%	8%	33	-3.6	165/246/228	63	297	4	16	42%	7%	38	-3.2	141/227/194	53	265	3	14	43%	7%	22	-1.7
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→30	59→60	36	183/245/258	75	320	6	31	42%	7%	43	-2.8	194/263/293	99	319	10	25	39%	8%	59	-1.7	106/204/195	89	165	13	37	43%	11%	14	-1.1
✕Maddux Houghton 2024 · A	25	40	40	58→55	40	183/258/275	92	312	6	20	40%	8%	53	-2.1	187/253/288	101	310	9	22	40%	7%	53	-2.1	172/236/273	102	283	10	28	40%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Armond Upshaw 2021 · A	25	40→42	36→40	52→55	37	183/249/246	63	314	4	19	40%	7%	42	-2.9	204/272/322	118	338	11	21	40%	7%	68	-1.0	189/261/315	126	317	11	28	41%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Alfredo Reyes 2018 · A	24	39	36→30	56→55	33	186/221/249	63	295	4	22	37%	4%	30	-3.8	206/270/275	69	340	5	24	37%	8%	56	-1.9	206/284/263	57	347	4	31	38%	9%	57	-0.8
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	39	40	58→55	35	183/237/272	89	318	7	18	42%	6%	43	-2.8	200/249/288	88	326	7	16	38%	6%	51	-2.2	182/209/240	58	291	5	20	38%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	32	37→30	52→55	40	161/228/227	66	258	4	19	37%	7%	30	-3.8	172/232/241	69	308	5	27	43%	6%	34	-3.5	152/214/205	53	288	4	33	45%	5%	18	-1.7
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	37	40	54→55	39	181/254/271	90	285	8	17	37%	7%	51	-2.3	191/258/279	88	333	7	15	41%	7%	53	-2.1	145/219/197	52	305	3	18	49%	8%	17	-1.1
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	38→39	36→40	53→55	35	183/221/242	59	274	4	19	34%	4%	30	-3.8	197/239/284	87	301	7	14	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/235/285	92	297	8	14	36%	4%	44	-1.7
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36	40	52→50	37	174/253/267	93	285	8	17	39%	6%	50	-2.3	180/259/292	112	314	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/216/249	125	228	14	10	49%	8%	32	-1.4
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2024 · A	24	41	34→40	53→60	40	188/262/238	50	309	3	21	37%	8%	46	-2.6	193/253/279	86	292	7	24	34%	6%	51	-2.2	179/240/281	102	263	9	30	34%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Reggie Pruitt 2021 · A	24	43→45	36→30	59→60	38	197/257/270	74	328	3	28	38%	7%	50	-2.3	186/249/269	83	350	6	18	45%	6%	47	-2.5	122/193/178	56	258	4	25	50%	6%	4	-2.0
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Jacob Zanon 2019 · A	24	41→36	36→40	53→55	43	192/251/261	69	267	2	22	27%	7%	46	-2.6	194/247/274	80	279	6	15	31%	6%	47	-2.5	177/228/250	73	254	7	15	32%	6%	34	-2.7
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	40→39	38→40	56→55	37	192/248/279	87	281	4	18	32%	5%	49	-2.4	198/253/282	84	300	6	23	34%	5%	51	-2.2	188/244/265	77	288	5	30	34%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. 2024 · A	23	40→39	38→40	57→60	41	192/257/274	83	287	5	20	33%	7%	51	-2.2	194/250/269	75	290	5	28	33%	6%	47	-2.5	190/245/259	69	282	5	35	33%	6%	41	-2.0