Maddux Houghton — OGILVIE

Maddux HoughtonOF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .222 / .266

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP270

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	326	273	59	14	4	4	45	96	4	24	2	216	335	341	676	125	311	29	14	309	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	256	65	12	2	4	29	89	9	18	3	254	350	363	714	109	365	30	10	323	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	80	74	21	6	0	2	6	21	0	6	0	284	338	446	783	162	373	26	8	348	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	111	98	26	3	2	3	12	31	1	8	1	265	351	429	780	163	359	28	11	349	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	141	119	32	4	1	6	16	38	5	12	1	269	379	471	849	202	342	27	11	376	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	180	34	11	3	3	14	75	1	16	1	189	251	333	585	144	304	38	7	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	326	289	45	9	3	3	29	135	4	24	2	156	242	239	481	83	268	41	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	265	46	8	2	3	20	122	9	18	3	174	255	253	508	79	283	41	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	80	76	15	4	0	1	4	27	0	6	0	197	237	289	527	92	314	34	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	111	102	20	2	2	2	8	40	1	8	1	196	261	314	575	118	296	36	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	141	125	25	3	1	5	10	52	5	12	1	200	286	360	646	160	272	37	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	184	25	8	2	2	10	91	1	16	1	136	185	234	418	98	251	47	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	326	289	45	9	3	3	29	135	4	24	2	156	242	239	481	83	271	41	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	326	273	59	14	4	4	45	96	4	24	2	216	335	341	676	125	311	29	14	309	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	265	46	8	2	3	20	122	9	18	3	174	255	253	508	79	299	41	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	256	65	12	2	4	29	89	9	18	3	254	350	363	714	109	365	30	10	323	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	3 teams	—	332	303	60	9	2	8	22	119	6	26	2	198	266	320	586	122	294	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A RAW	3 teams	—	332	291	79	13	3	11	34	90	6	26	2	271	360	450	810	179	356	27	10	360	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	184	25	8	2	2	10	91	1	16	1	136	185	234	418	98	253	47	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	180	34	11	3	3	14	75	1	16	1	189	251	333	585	144	304	38	7	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	326	290	45	9	3	3	29	135	4	24	2	155	242	238	480	83	268	41	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	267	46	8	2	3	20	122	9	18	3	172	255	251	506	79	283	41	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	3 teams	—	332	301	60	9	2	8	22	119	6	26	2	199	266	322	588	123	290	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	182	25	8	2	2	10	91	1	16	1	137	185	236	421	99	251	47	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	298	267	46	8	2	3	20	122	9	18	3	172	255	251	506	79	283	41	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	3 teams	—	332	301	60	9	2	8	22	119	6	26	2	199	266	322	588	123	290	36	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	195	182	25	8	2	2	10	91	1	16	1	137	185	236	421	99	251	47	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	2%	245	226	38	8	2	4	15	101	2	11	1	165	222	265	488	101	270	41	6	221	36	-19	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	165	222	266	488	101	270	33	0	221	36	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	23%	205	189	31	7	1	3	12	83	2	8	1	166	224	266	491	100	270	40	6	223	37	-15	+1	-1	-1	+4	-1.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	23%	46	43	7	1	0	1	3	19	0	2	0	166	224	267	491	100	270	41	7	223	37	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	43	7	1	0	1	3	19	0	2	0	163	217	256	473	93	261	41	7	223	39	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	99	14	0	14	42	268	0	28	0	163	217	255	472	92	261	41	6	223	39	-49	+6	-4	-4	+14	-3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1523	1384	232	46	11	22	103	619	23	99	10	168	237	264	502	97	279	41	7	226	39	-28	+2	-1	-2	+8	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	99	20	5	9	44	264	10	42	4	168	238	264	502	96	279	41	7	226	39	-49	+4	-2	-4	+14	-3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maddux Houghton (OGILVIE)	28	20	41	64	43	163/220/263	100	270	3	7	41%	6%	36	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Will Holland 2024 · AA	26	37→36	41→45	58→60	42	179/259/279	100	282	9	29	37%	9%	54	-2.0	198/279/310	112	288	11	26	33%	8%	69	-0.9	184/276/301	117	260	13	30	32%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Cody Wilson 2024 · AAA	28	37	37→30	57→55	33	171/232/236	65	307	5	30	43%	6%	34	-3.5	185/249/263	78	330	6	20	43%	6%	46	-2.6	147/215/201	55	278	3	21	45%	6%	18	-2.1
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	35→44	41→45	56→55	35	172/232/277	105	291	8	22	41%	6%	43	-2.8	186/240/284	98	303	8	17	39%	5%	48	-2.5	130/184/192	63	220	8	22	43%	4%	4	-1.6
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	61→60	38	189/247/299	110	293	10	37	37%	7%	53	-2.1	189/246/304	115	338	12	23	44%	7%	55	-2.0	158/214/269	111	295	13	23	49%	6%	31	-2.2
✕Max Burt 2024 · AAA	27	39→35	45	55	39	200/257/319	119	279	14	22	33%	6%	62	-1.4	182/240/274	92	269	9	24	34%	6%	45	-2.7	162/221/238	76	241	6	29	34%	5%	28	-1.9
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	44→45	54→55	37	192/252/308	116	294	12	18	37%	6%	57	-1.8	187/254/289	102	354	10	16	46%	7%	55	-2.0	111/190/186	75	238	11	21	54%	8%	6	-1.6
✕Mike Jarvis 2024 · AAA	26	35	44→45	62→60	40	184/237/299	116	229	12	27	26%	5%	50	-2.3	172/226/258	86	248	8	27	33%	6%	36	-3.3	142/199/201	59	220	6	34	36%	6%	11	-1.7
✕C.J. Stubbs 2024 · AA	27	31	47→45	50	36	162/242/292	130	279	16	16	45%	7%	52	-2.2	166/250/282	116	282	14	10	43%	8%	53	-2.1	141/230/247	106	238	14	6	44%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Kevin Mattison 2014 · AAA	28	39→47	42→45	55→60	37	189/247/298	109	293	9	23	37%	6%	53	-2.1	189/248/308	119	316	12	21	41%	6%	56	-1.9	146/208/265	119	242	13	27	44%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	44→45	51→50	32	185/225/299	115	282	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	196/242/313	117	288	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/287	121	227	14	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Michael Reed 2023 · AAA	28	46→42	40→45	54→55	38	211/265/299	88	338	7	20	38%	7%	59	-1.6	211/274/327	116	327	12	17	36%	8%	70	-0.8	159/240/279	119	248	13	19	39%	9%	44	-0.6
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	205/240/299	95	279	9	22	30%	4%	50	-2.3	215/262/345	130	286	15	24	29%	5%	70	-0.9	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jeremy Owens 2007 · AA	30	39→35	45	54→55	34	198/243/317	118	298	13	20	37%	5%	56	-1.9	204/239/318	114	320	12	18	38%	4%	54	-2.0	210/238/321	110	345	9	21	40%	4%	51	-1.4
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/287	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	211/265/320	109	324	10	16	35%	6%	65	-1.2	163/209/244	81	278	5	25	41%	5%	24	-0.8
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	34→31	46→45	51→45	43	180/255/306	126	258	14	9	35%	8%	59	-1.6	183/252/297	114	256	13	10	32%	8%	56	-1.9	128/203/219	91	164	14	8	32%	7%	19	-2.0
✕Wade Kirkland 2016 · AA	27	40→35	41→45	52→45	29	194/226/287	93	307	9	9	39%	3%	42	-2.9	193/227/271	78	313	6	8	39%	4%	38	-3.2	161/185/211	50	267	3	3	40%	3%	5	-2.5
✕Ryan Knox 2006 · AAA	29	40	40	51→55	40	200/254/285	85	262	8	24	26%	5%	53	-2.1	191/245/288	97	263	9	16	30%	5%	50	-2.3	130/182/204	74	183	7	11	32%	4%	5	-2.0
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	36→43	48→50	55	35	191/246/331	141	277	17	19	37%	5%	61	-1.5	207/262/325	118	285	12	21	30%	5%	65	-1.2	203/259/309	106	275	10	24	29%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA	28	37→42	44→45	52→50	34	186/239/300	114	296	12	12	40%	6%	51	-2.2	190/247/308	118	319	13	8	42%	6%	56	-1.9	144/202/236	92	253	13	0	46%	6%	20	-1.5