Diovel Mariano — OGILVIE

Diovel Mariano P ACL Guardians

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%19.6%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%2.8%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	19	0	28	121	19	8	3	0%	1.5	10.7%	8.3%	2.4%	2.9%	3.21	4.85	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	19	0	28	121	19	8	3	0%	1.5	15.7%	6.6%	9.1%	2.5%	3.21	3.99	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	14	0	22	118	18	12	5	0%	1.6	10.4%	12.7%	-2.3%	2.5%	9.00	5.19	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	14	0	22	118	18	12	5	0%	1.6	15.3%	10.2%	5.1%	4.2%	9.00	6.05	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	24	115	22	14	1	0%	1.9	13.0%	15.2%	-2.2%	0.9%	4.81	4.42	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	24	115	22	14	1	0%	1.9	13.0%	15.2%	-2.2%	0.9%	4.81	4.42	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	24	115	22	14	1	0%	1.9	19.1%	12.2%	7.0%	0.9%	4.81	3.55	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	21	0	29	126	32	18	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	17.9%	-0.6%	1.6%	3.77	4.78	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	21	0	29	126	32	18	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	17.9%	-0.6%	1.6%	3.77	4.78	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	21	0	29	126	32	18	2	0%	1.4	25.4%	14.3%	11.1%	1.6%	3.77	3.66	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	12	70	10	12	2	0%	0.8	9.7%	21.4%	-11.7%	4.0%	13.86	7.19	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	12	70	10	12	2	0%	0.8	9.7%	21.4%	-11.7%	4.0%	13.86	7.19	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	15	0	12	70	10	12	2	0%	0.8	14.3%	17.1%	-2.9%	2.9%	13.86	6.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CLE	10	0	11	46	9	8	1	0%	1.1	19.6%	16.8%	2.8%	3.0%	5.59	5.59	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	25	0	26	111	23	16	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.5%	6.2%	3.0%	5.30	5.19	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	10	0	11	46	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.5%	6.2%	3.0%	5.30	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	14.5%	6.2%	3.0%	5.30	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	124	18	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.5%	6.2%	3.0%	5.30	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		82	0	115	550	69	80	12	0%	1.4	12.5%	14.5%	-2.1%	2.2%	5.93	5.12	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	0	200	954	119	139	21	0%	1.4	12.5%	14.5%	-2.1%	2.2%	5.93	5.12	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diovel Mariano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	19.6%	16.8%	3.0%	—	5.19	20.7%	6.2%	26	-0.40	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	90
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	90
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	89
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	89
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	89
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	88
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	86
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	85
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	85
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	85
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	84
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	84